Glassnoser
1d ago
There is a well known case where a man told another man that he would have killed him had the judges not been in town. He was tried for threatening him and was found not guilty because the judges were in town. This was back when judges circulated between towns to try cases. Based on that case, shouldn't he have been found not guilty?
One lesson I think we should be learning but that doesn't seem to be sinking in yet is that we're actually pretty bad at creating benchmarks that generalize. We assume that, because it does really well at certain things that seem hard to us, that it is highly intelligent, but it's been pretty easy so far to find things it is shockingly bad at. Progress has been impressive so far but most people keep overestimating its abilities because they don't understand this and they focus more on the things it can do than the things it can't do.
There have been a lot ridiculous claims within the last couple of years saying things like it can replace junior software developers, that it is just as intelligent as a university student, or that it can pass the Turing test. People see that it can do a lot of hard things ane conclude from that that it is basically already there, not understanding how important the things it still can't do are.
I'm sure it will get there eventually, but we need to remember that passing the Turing test means making it impossible for someone who knows what he's doing to tell the difference between the AI and a human. It very much does not mean being able to do most of the things that one might imagine a person conducting a Turing test would ask of it. AI has been tested on a lot of narrow tasks, but it has not yet done much useful work. It cannot go off and work independently. It still doesn't seem to generalize its knowledge well. Guessing what subtasks are important and then seeing succeed on those tests is impressive, but it is a very different thing than actual proven intelligence at real world problems.
Glassnoser
2d ago
They're obviously not doing this though because they don't profit very much and no one would buy their insurance if they did. I also don't see how it would hold up in court.
Glassnoser
4d ago
How can it be extractive if they're profiting so little from it?
Trudeau is known by those who have met him to be not very bright. He's admittedly disnumeric and clearly has no interest in and almost no understanding of economics.
Glassnoser
4d ago
Well, Canada has a trade agreement with the US, for one thing. We're not asking the US to open its markets. We're asking them to keep them open as promised. We also didn't do anything to try to influence the US elections.
Glassnoser
4d ago
It will only bring down the government if the NDP decides, and they don't have anything to gain from it.
Glassnoser
4d ago
It's complicated because of the perverse incentives created by bad regulations. The people running the insurance companies don't have a choice. This is proven by their low profit margins. They're not doing this to become unfairly profitable. They're doing that to survive.
Health insurance companies have thin profit margins. If they want to get more money from them, they need to pay higher premiums. Why don't they? It seems like they're just buying cheap plans and complaining when they get cheap coverage.
Glassnoser
9d ago
Putting aside whether this is true or not the whole point of my post is that it doesn't matter since doctor salaries aren't the problem.
I don't see how they're not part fo the problem. If they increased the supply of doctors, they'd be cheaper and healthcare costs would go down.
The supply of doctors in the US is artificially constrained which means you can increase the supply of doctors while lowering salaries.
Up until that point you have no flexibility. You can’t leave your job or your life is over. You can’t choose where you live. If you get fired your life is over.
Why can't you change jobs? Every doctor in my family has done so at least once. Don't many doctors work for themselves at their own clinics?
Glassnoser
20d ago
There is no guarantee of this happening. Progress in AI could stagnate. I don't agree that very many jobs can be automated with today's technology. We may be close, but progress is already slowing down. There are a number of problems limiting progress that might not be overcome. Returns to scaling are starting to plateau, we're running out of data, and Moore's Law is coming to an end. It is definitely possible that we will find solutions to these problems and I know some think they've already found them, but nothing is guaranteed.
Glassnoser
20d ago
If something is self-evidently newsworthy, I don't see why any commentary needs to be included.
Glassnoser
20d ago
How legal was this? Did he have the power to do this and if so, what checks are there on this power? Now the the parliament voted to end martial law, is it over? Is that the proper mechanism for ending it? Do they have that power?
Glassnoser
20d ago
I read read somewhere that it works out to about $17,000 an hour.
Glassnoser
21d ago
Presumably many lawyers could have done that. Wouldn't it make more sense to pay them for the time and effort expended?
Glassnoser
21d ago
Following the logic as you've stated it, the pardon is valid if Hunter Biden didn't commit any federal crimes between the time the pardon was given and midnight last night.
Glassnoser
21d ago
Why did the plaintiffs' lawyers get so much money?
Glassnoser
1mo ago
I've heard Punjabis are wealthy because they own a lot of farmland.
Glassnoser
1mo ago
One or the other of us might move, and also, it's just interesting to know what the dating scene is like in different countries.
Glassnoser
1mo ago
As a white man who's used OkCupid's passport feature to match with people around the world, I've noticed it's really easy to get matches in certain parts of the world. Southeast Asia, particularly the Philippines, is incredibly easy. The vast majority of my likes are from there. It feels like I could date the entire country if I wanted to. The next is South America, particularly Brazil. It's easy to match with very beautiful women there. The last is East Africa.
Locally, I've noticed I tend to do well Indian women and Latinas, and to a lesser extent, Middle Eastern women.
Glassnoser
1mo ago
What's frustrating about Indians is their ubiquity combined with poor English skills. Tech forums are full of Indians answering questions with broken English that is painful to read and decipher. Call centres are staffed with Indians, many of whom mumble with thick accents and bad grammar.
Glassnoser
1mo ago
There is a reason why people kept this place heterogeneous for thousands of years.
What reason is that?
Glassnoser
1mo ago
Honda Odysseys? The mini-van? Here, they're known for driving Honda Civics.
Source?
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