zeke5123a
15d ago
I think it is a fair critique that Harris ran to her right. The problem with running to her right was that it was fake. She didn’t assure moderates because she couldn’t explain why she switched on numerous positions (it felt fake). But her left wing was pissed because she ran from them.
zeke5123a
15d ago
But the same pollsters aren’t polling worldwide elections or generally local races.
zeke5123a
16d ago
Wait you are saying there is a 1% chance he will die in the next 90 days? That seems unlikely
zeke5123a
16d ago
Well the point I am making is that the poll guys basically are non falsifiable since the samples are too small so I don’t give credence to their “I was right but sometimes you hit red on roulette” schtick
zeke5123a
16d ago
This is an evergreen response “my percentages were correct but sometimes things happen.” But I can buy it with the weather man (you make 365 predictions pa). But elections practically happen once every two years.
zeke5123a
16d ago
Yes. Don’t get me wrong. I love Ron DeSantis. But a trump loss meant RDS had a chance at the 2028 nomination. Now it seems like it is Vance’s for sure.
zeke5123a
16d ago
Oh the popcorn will be delicious when the tell alls start to leak from the Biden camp
zeke5123a
16d ago
Just wanted to point out the big losers of last night were:
- Harris
- DEI (with Harris being the epitome of the DEI candidate)
- Selzer
- Silver
- RDS (clearly the party will be JD’s after this term though I could obviously see RDS as a running mate)
The big winners:
- Vance (his star is ascending massively)
- Trump
- Betting markets (crushed the poll prognosticators)
- Elon
zeke5123a
16d ago
I think pulling out of Afghanistan was the right call. I think how they executed was terrible. They were managing to a sept 11 timeline. That’s dumb.
zeke5123a
16d ago
Starlink is going to be a worldwide telecomm company. Coupled with how cheap they are making it to put satellites into orbit, SpaceX will be worth trillions.
zeke5123a
16d ago
If they win the house, they could try to say he is an insurrectionist. But…in that case that would require some swing district Dems overriding the will of the people.
zeke5123a
16d ago
He had a grueling campaign (did more rallies compared to Harris). Dude is going to get some golf in and come back strong. But yes he is going to delegate.
zeke5123a
16d ago
Yeah I can’t believe Iowa went Harris. Oh wait no that poll was off what 15 points? I was told by many here that my pointed criticisms of that poll were merely politically motivated.
zeke5123a
16d ago
It just seems obvious to me — if A goes before B, then it gives B a chance to cheat
zeke5123a
17d ago
They could just make the next speaker Donald J Trump and avoid the resign point
zeke5123a
17d ago
This just seems like an odd argument for why it takes so long. Hire a few more people.
zeke5123a
17d ago
This isn’t what I’m talking about. Take Lancaster country for example. They found approx 2500 fake registrations by a Dem aligned NGO. This now has been found in about four counties in PA. Add in VBM and there you have a GOTV effort n
zeke5123a
17d ago
Let’s say you have Area A and Area B. A votes R and B votes D.
A and B are supposed to be open 9-9. But B decides it will remain open an extra 2 hours.
B making the decision to stay open is unfair unless A also gets to stay open longer.
They wrote articles before the switch about her terrible of a candidate she was including how vapid she was.
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