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ulyssessword


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 00:37:14 UTC

				

User ID: 308

ulyssessword


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 00:37:14 UTC

					

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User ID: 308

Isn't a 3x price hike only a few months of deflation for LLM prices? I was under the impression their prices were dropping by more than an order of magnitude per year, so I would expect OpenAI o1 to reach GPT-4o prices early next year.

Do you have small cans, and a good variety of spices (from a commercial spice rack or simply self-assembled)? Just make one of each, and see how it turns out. I wouldn't imagine that cinnamon tomatoes tastes great, but I've been wrong before.

vote for them when it's "in their interest"

This is one of those phrases that says more about the speaker than about the subject. If you can imagine having principles beyond selfishness and greed, then that objection rings hollow.

Sure, Mozilla, Google, and DuckDuckGo each know about me, but what are they going to do with it?

In the Google-Google-Google world, they can gather data from the services, put ads and "customization" in search, and prevent adblockers in the browser. I made the switch before AMP and Manifest V3 existed, so I'm feeling pretty vindicated with my decision.

From Astral Codex Ten:

I've read lots of interesting discussion on how much power tech oligarchs should or shouldn't be allowed to have. But this is the first time I've seen someone suggest their powers should include a magic privacy-destroying gaze, where just by looking at someone they can transform them into a different kind of citizen with fewer rights. Is Paul Graham some weird kind of basilisk, such that anyone he stares at too long turns into fair game?

I'm not sure if you're wrong, but I'm leery of the idea that famous people restrict your actions (and/or reduce your rights) just by looking at you.

Firefox and DuckDuckGo.

Using Google Search and Google services on a Google browser (i.e. all of them except Firefox and Safari) is a bit too centralized and vulnerable for my tastes, so I went to the closest alternatives.

And a followup question: In what sense is a party that got 1/3 of the vote "far-" anything? They seem objectively mainstream based on that measure. Should I be using something else to categorize parties?

Try using that in a conversation with a friend, and pay attention to how he/she responds. I have a feeling they would find it unnatural.

In their defense they are like the various right wing commenters here who refuse any compromise...

Then just come out and say it.

"No gun control" and "Full ban on abortion" are both within the Overton Window, albeit as fringe positions. "No new development in Ontario" would be derided as batshit insane. If they're going to refuse any compromise, then they should at least have the balls to stand by their convictions.

State your arguments, gather support, and fight for your goals. Anything less than that has too many shades of conspiracy for my tastes.

A missing mood in development news: Environmentalists pin hopes on tiny fish to stop Highway 413.

From a plain reading of the article, the logic goes:

  • Activists don't like the proposed Highway 413
  • They searched for a way to stop it.
  • They found these fish, and the strategy may be effective.

In a sane world filled with people arguing in good faith, you might see a similar situation:

  • There are endangered animals in an area
  • Environmentalists discovered development posed a risk to them
  • Therefore they oppose that development

If you trust the CBC's reporting, then the activists would be better described as anti-development rather than environmentalist. The discussion is centered on the highway, the political situation around it, the promises that Doug Ford (bad!) made, and the actions the Federal Liberals (good!) took which slowed it down.

You don't have to call me a "they," I'm not non-binary.

Well, you've narrowed it down to a 50/50 choice, but IMO "they" is the appropriate pronoun to use when facing that unknown.

...you can safely ignore it.

I don't think that's correct. One playthrough I got different slides and got an alternative bossfight because of it. (I think I almost won, but I'm not sure of that fight's mechanics).

EDIT: and one more complaint: Under "Story Mode" on the main menu, you can choose "New game" or "Continue". One is black, one is gray, and both are valid options.

I was vague on purpose. I was aiming at whatever accomplishes "...a city in which people don't have to commute long distances."

In existing car-centric cities, how many houses are within car-commuting range of a given workplace? In proposed walking cities, how many?

If you drop that number too low, then people will have to relocate to find work, even if it is just relocating across the city. I'm not sure if that's any better than commuting.

Sure. Given the areas my commute goes through, it would speed things up for me. I suspect it would help everyone else as well.

Just got it, and it feels janky.

  • I have no idea what the black and white bar that randomly pops up at the top is, what actions make it move, what my goal is regarding it, and what its state is at any given time. I suspect it's important, but I have no idea what to do with that feeling.
  • You can't use keyboard shortcuts, so turns are twice as long as they should be.
  • Tooltips are slow in general (which is unfortunately a common UI choice), and for some reason they are disabled on some elements. This is particularly annoying in events, where some of the choices have known consequences (e.g. sacrifice 60 current HP to gain 70 max HP), while others are vague. You have to mouse over the option and wait for the tooltip to fail to show up to figure out if you should know what you're choosing.
  • You can't reorganize your inventory.
  • Set items are only identified by a tiny symbol (not even a name, even if they are thematically similar)
  • Auto-equipping new items is only offered some of the time (when it's a higher rarity?)
  • The map is 110% of the screen size, so you lose out on a simple overview without gaining any increased detail.

All that being said, it's a worthy member of the genre, and I'll probably add it into my regular games.

I don't want to spend an an extra hour (actually 0:58 by Google Maps) getting to work every day. Do you have a way to resolve that issue, or will I just have to deal with it if you have your way?

Why can you drive faster than the speed limit ?

Passing, for one.

If you A) don't tailgate or cut someone off, and B) don't speed, then you can't pass anyone going >=70% of the speed limit in many designated passing zones, even assuming instant acceleration and good luck with oncoming traffic.

What could possibly be done in the manufacturing process to make them unsafe...

Potentially nothing, as some oils are simply not edible.

This site lists Wintergreen, Eucalyptus, and Tea Tree oils as toxic if ingested.

waxing salons

I think that was a reference to Jessica Yaniv, who tried to get scrotum waxing from estheticians that sold labia (etc.) waxing services. She launched a human rights complaint against the (independent, immigrant) people who denied her, claiming that they offered female genital waxing, and therefore were discriminating by not waxing her female genitals.

She lost the case, eventually.

Good luck! Is it position number three that's broken, or the spool that you have loaded there?

Here's a simpler* one: parental income is divided by the number of children for determining financial aid.

If your parents have an income of $200k and you have two siblings, you would be treated the same as an only child with $83k-income parents. I know that many costs scale sub-linearly with the size of the family (never mind just the number of children), but it wouldn't be very effective program if it was merely cancelling out an existing bias.


* Simpler isn't always better, of course.

Per the policy, this is deducted from the 44% when you eventually sell the assets, so this is just requiring earlier payment, not an increase in overall tax burden, unless you were planning to die to avoid paying taxes, but that's exactly what is being fought here.

See my run through the numbers here.

If you pay off your capital gains taxes by selling your capital (and paying the taxes to pay your taxes), then you'd sell off half your stake by the time it gets ~10x the value (higher multipliers for faster growth). And you'd still have to pay 44% for the part you haven't yet sold.

In that scenario, you'd be purely better off with a 70% (realized only) capital gains tax than the 25% unrealized + 44% realized tax.

EDIT: just realized you had already responded to my comment before posting this one. My numbers are completely incompatible with your description of the "net change", so it would've been nice to have my math directly challenged rather than pointing out an exception for private companies.

So you end up having to sell a pretty big chunk of your stake.

31%, if I calculated it right. You would have $3.1B of realized gains ($1.36B tax) and $6.9B of unrealized gains ($1.73B tax).

Let's say you start with 100% ownership of a $1B company, then start paying your capital gains taxes with your capital gains. When will you become a minority shareholder if it doubles in value each tax season?

  • Year 1: $1B to $2B total valuation, you have $1B of gains, sell 0.31, and keep 0.69, ending at 1.69/2 = 84.5% ownership
  • Year 2: $2B to $4B, you have 1.69B of gains, sell 0.52, and keep 1.17, ending at 2.86/4 = 71.5% ownership
  • year 3: $4B to $8B: 60.34% ownership
  • year 4: $8B to $16B: 50.98% ownership
  • year 5: $16B to $32B: 43.08% ownership

What about 10% annual gains?

  • Year 1: 1 to 1.1, keep 1.069/1.1 = 97.2% ownership
  • Year 24: 10 to 11, keep 50% ownership

That isn't even a particularly slow form of asset seizure.

I like something like $300k over-a-period-of-time ~= $100k down-payment + 10% extra annual tax based on your income for 5 years.

I'd flip the sign on the tax: $100k down payment, and $40k - (10% of your taxes) per year. If you're paying $400k in tax, you get in for just the down payment. If your taxes are only $10k, then you pay an additional $39k per year.

You want to encourage (and select for) taxable work as much as possible.