BANNED USER: terrible poster who never improves
sliders1234
No bio...
User ID: 685
Banned by: @Amadan
sliders1234
4mo ago
I got no problem with persuasion. But if it’s going to lose I would rather pick a different strategy that can win.
If I were a Cuban pre-Castro I would move to a strategy that can win and not a debating society. With perfect foresight I would have chopped off the heads of all the communists before they started winning.
sliders1234
4mo ago
I think the other person is correct. Free speech is only protected when you feel extremely comfortable you have won. If you have an actual threat of a communists takeover or pick your bad ideology I am 100% game for not allowing free speech.
sliders1234
4mo ago
I keep coming to a conclusion that Trump has amazing instincts. There are a bunch of areas where he ended up being correct even if he seemed like a no-nothing type. Chinese tariffs, Iran, monetary policy, immigration, German-Russian relations. I’ve gone from somewhat of a hater to now begging for him to be back. Things just work well with Trump in the White House. I’ll vote for him in 2024 and I’ll vote for him again in 2028. (He will just tell his son to run. He’s never leaving).
I thoroughly enjoyed 1/6 and still to this day felt like it had to happen. The right was boiling after years of covid lies etc. They needed to get a good riot in.
I enjoyed watching all the Dems complain about rioting after they had largely backed the summer of Floyd Riots.
As time goes on I have largely moved into the camp that Trump was directionally correct on it being a stolen election.
I’m still a bit pissed that the CIA (former guys) would straight up lie to the American people about Hunters laptop. Sure those guys were not current CIA but they did use their credentials. I think they all knew the laptop was real. I have a friend who had access to the hard drive so I knew it was real and the CIA guys could have investigated. Lying happens in politics but this always felt to me like crossing a line.
sliders1234
4mo ago
I think Pritzker is probably their best choice now. He’s very bland. He did an ok job in Illinois. You can just run the election on Trump bad again. Illinois seems to be a better spot for the left to find their candidates than the coast.
That being said Newsome is running if he can get the nomination. You don’t pass up a chance to run when it comes even if it’s not an ideal time. I think he has a lot of personal characteristics that won’t play well in battle ground states.
sliders1234
4mo ago
Fuck neoliberal. They banned me for being an origional Milton Friedman reading, Pinochet backing, University of Chicago neoliberal.
sliders1234
4mo ago
Wow. And I just checked this is an accurate headline. Sometimes you should bet on obvious things. I have no idea why betting markets have been close to 50-50. Every Wall Street analyst or hedge fund manager has said Trump 100% wins. I thought it was obvious at this point. Nothing happened tonight I didn’t expect.
sliders1234
4mo ago
Kind of fitting for a free speech post but the SC rejected a case on the government pressuring social media on censoriship. They did it on standing.
Alex Berenson says he has a better case. This was a bit of a punt. But I do wander why they didn’t or can’t just rip the band-aid off and do the case now since I assume someone should have standing. Maybe they just hope everything works out? Or want a better case later?
Regardless whatever they do looks like it will be messy because drawing a bright line anywhere of overreach isn’t going to be hard. And if the gov overreaches in the future saying they did wrong later will once again take years till you have a new administration so coming down very harsh would seem the only way to prevent this behavior.
sliders1234
4mo ago
Are you a billionaire?
Because if you knew Covid was a big deal in early 2020 you could have made tens of millions easily. But I am guessing you are not.
So saying “it doesn’t take a genius” when you easily could have made 100x on knowing what to come feels off. If the thing where everything in the past looks like it was obvious but yet almost all very smart people got it wrong.
sliders1234
4mo ago
Some of this is quantity of investable assets versus investable ideas.
There is always some big bad hanging over the market. Pre-1990 you have nuclear annihilation etc. It was only 1990-2020 when we lacked these risks.
One could also argue AI isn’t fully priced in. It could be anything. It could be a dud. The market is somewhat slow at pricing these type of things in. Covid was priced in slowly then all at once. The average person isn’t thinking about China risks. They need to make their nut today. If war happens we are all somewhat in trouble. Apple though will find a new way to produce so it’s only a temporary set back of a few years of Taiwan is invaded.
Chinese tech though does have quite large discounts.
sliders1234
4mo ago
First off restoring old things can be less productive than new things. They have components that don’t fit with new standards and working around them would be low productivity. Also factories are just more productive than one off jobs. So it’s not just GDP-style metrics.
Second, you would have a whole issue dealing with what’s new and what’s old. In an extreme example say your building a 70-story condo building and replacing an old bodega. Is it new or old if you build the new connecting and on top of the old? So you say that’s obvious new and that is maybe easy to define but you would have a huge scale of nuances to figure out the line. Which in other areas we deal with but there is going to be a gamification line.
sliders1234
4mo ago
This is like if you went to Beverly Hills High School or a school on the north side of Chicago.
The average QB becomes an electrician or pool repair guy. Which those jobs can pay well if independent. The average nerd has some middle office white collar job.
sliders1234
4mo ago
There are some interesting things here. But one thing I would avoid is bait when writing a broader point. There is no agreement and definitely not “rightfully so” he did a bad thing or was a bad man. My opinion is he was an unfortunate societal victim of the left who is just an average blue collar guy who showed up to work one day and ran into a struggling for life perpetrator having a fentanyl overdose. He may have used inappropriate technique (which he may have received training on) that caused a vulnerable victim to die. It should also be noted Floyd was saying he “can’t breathe” long before he was restrained.
It’s bait for me when something is presented as an “agreed upon fact” which is not at all agreed upon. Bait tends to distract from a broader point you are making and it’s bait because I just have a thing that I don’t want something to be said so then other think it’s settled science.
I wasn’t aware of alienated men being a progressive thing in the past. And the pedestialization does seem problematic. Personally, I see the connection with communists and the working class. I am not sure if this was as present 1930-2010 America. It feels to me like why woke is Marxists that it has reintroduced these ideas in new ways.
sliders1234
4mo ago
I think you are correct on your opinions. Reading me makes me feel that this is true : “Constitutional Democracy doesn’t scale”
Nothing in the regulatory state feels Democratic to me. I guess you could say it all flows thru the executive to gain Democratic legitimacy but it’s definitely not Constitutional Democracy.
If humans were smarter perhaps we could all understand the details of every regulation and run that thru our congressmen but we are not.
I feel confident saying the regulatory state would not pass muster on what the founding fathers believed they were passing. But I don’t know what the other option would be.
One improvement potentially improvement might be direct election of all the regulatory heads. You would add more partisan politics but atleast the people would be picking the heads.
sliders1234
4mo ago
A national sales tax, fair tax, VAT whatever you want to call it seems economically more efficient.
I am not sure if it would lower consumption or not.
The big issue with it is it’s impossible to swap systems. I guess you could do it gradually but that probably just ends up being the government gets more revenue and spends it. Older people who paid income tax on savings get hurt with a new tax on consumption.
A lot of it feels like our roads system. Since we built everything for cars it’s difficult to swap back to trains and walkable. We can debate which is better but we have everything designed for cars now. If America got nuked, we did post-apocalypse for a few decades and then we’re back in growth mode we might choose different design routes.
But since system switch is hard it leaves these tax ideas mostly to the academics.
sliders1234
5mo ago
I mean I don’t claim it’s a good thing that the only way to control immigration is having the POTUS.
The bill does nothing. I hope Trump actually does coup so we can protect the border long term.
sliders1234
5mo ago
“If” Trump is elected. I agree it gives him more power; I think some did disagree with that. But the most important thing is controlling the executive. Biden can kill immigration if he wants to. Which he did for an election.
I believe this is correct. I do believe there is data that would change my mind on HBD. I do not think there is any probability it exists.
Do I think white people just don’t want to be running backs or cornerbacks in the nfl but do have a desire to be tight ends and lineman? No. And the distribution of people who perform those jobs are so extreme that it’s mathematically impossible it’s not coming from genetics. (Current best RB in nfl is probably white and potentially best CB drafted this year is white but those are rare).
I’m not even sure if this would disprove hbd but selective breeding I guess could make the races equal across abilities. You would just need Christian McCaffrey to have a million kids and Clarence Thomas to be the sperm donor for all black kids. In 3-5 generations of doing that abilities would equal out.
But I guess that would just mean hbd is real. Environmental pressure pushing traits in groups leads to differences in groups when they were largely seperated because of geography culture (Ashkenazi separation was culture).
And we sort of see this in white people. Now that the Balkans play basketball with average male height of 6’4 they produce as high of rate or higher rate of nba players than Africans. Though they play in a different way.
One thing I have discovered in adult life is I have a lot of traits like my father - the good and the bad. That seems statistically impossible.
sliders1234
5mo ago
I feel like you were arrogant and just need to take the “L” here.
A good bit of the issue could have been solved by Biden doing his job. A bill is just a piece of paper but who is going to enforce it? Paper plus Biden without an election hanging off his head was and is worthless. No paper plus Trump solved a lot of the issue. A good bill plus Trump would be amazing.
GOP succeeded in not falling for a trap where Biden passes a bill claims he solved the issue but enforcing it for 6 months and then doesn’t enforce it after the election.
The left and Biden are not good faith actors on this issue so you can’t bargain your way to a solution. You can only take power.
I have no idea if you sincerely hold your beliefs or just fell for the lefts trap.
sliders1234
5mo ago
You are probably correct. But I had a potential opposite reaction. Maybe a bunch of them deep in their mind feel that Trump wasn’t that bad. So telling people to stay home helps Trump and doesn’t force them to flip psychologically and actually say they were wrong and support Trump.
Some of them are clearly in your camp. I can’t see the Hamas wing of the left supporting Trump at all. (Ok maybe their ideology implies whoever owned the land at 1900 is the true owner and any immigrants after then are illegal? But doubt that’s the rationalization).
sliders1234
5mo ago
I think it’s the opposite. Very low turnout means voters are largely happy with the government and don’t think it’s worth spending a few hours voting.
High turnout means you have two groups with broad disagreement that you care deeply about. It gets me to vote. In my view the left is completely insane and the right has some (not all) good policy. If I were in Europe it would be even more important as I think those countries are dying thru immigration.
sliders1234
5mo ago
Whats the issue with Ginni? She organized a conservative protest?
I don’t even think she’s been charged. What’s the issue here?
I 100% agree that Ginni and Clarence are both very conservative. They both organize (legally) conservative groups. In Clarence case it’s generally the Federalist Society where he’s a big swinging dick.
sliders1234
5mo ago
I don’t think Thomas would have moved left. First he seems like the true believer ring-leader type. His wife was an organizer of 1/6. And seems like a true believer type that the election was stolen - by real fraud - and not the mass mail-in voting by definition is fraud type arguments found here.
Also he’s black. It seems to me that minorities in a group tend to be all-in and not the type of people that jump around groups.
I guess you could argue money kept him on the court but he seems like a believer in the mission. And of course money can’t buy the status of being a Supreme Court Judge. You need like Bezos money to get that.
sliders1234
5mo ago
How can you say twitter isn’t real? Is Trump not a felon? Does he not have a 500 million judgement against himself? Did the respectable Ivy League people all pretend a mentally ill man was the nations best female swimmer? It almost seems normal that the Harvard President got fired because on the other side of the world a bunch of Jews at a music festival got raided and their women raped and Harvard basically took the side of the rapists.
It seems like the “it’s just someone on the internet” actually has power in the real institutional world. It seems to me like the craziest things I could imagine in 2005 in the darkerst of the internet are now occurring in real life.
I think that’s a tougher narrative than you think. You don’t know in advance those states will be that tight. So you run into a where and how many votes question for those states. It’s not worth doing 40k fraud votes if you actually lost by 60k. Hence you actually need to cheat a lot to clear the margin in enough states because you don’t know exactly how many you are going to need.
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