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sarker

It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing

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joined 2022 September 05 16:50:08 UTC

				

User ID: 636

sarker

It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing

0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 16:50:08 UTC

					

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User ID: 636

ICE has the power to arrest you if you cannot prove you're in the country legally.

Like, on the spot? Nobody carries around proof of citizenship.

I'd expect big box stores to be much less likely to employ illegal immigrants. Home Depot has an HR department and a legal department. Bob's Hardware has neither.

I see plenty of zoomers working cash registers in my area. Fully one third of people in my county are Asian or Indian.

While true, I don't think there was ever a time when an employer would tell you how you could be a better candidate. If nothing else it's probably covered in spooky liabilities, at least if you are a lawyer.

the hard truth is just that everyone is TRYING to capture the top 20% performers across the board, so anyone not in the top 20% performance bracket for any given category is going to be left out, and very confused as to what their real options are.

It's a actually not that bad. I can't find the original article (which I read at least ten years ago), but it's easily shown that if every company hires the ""top 20%"" of their applicant pool then much more than the top 20% of the actual labor force in that sector is employed.

Isn't this a circular argument? Semiskilled labor has gotten more expensive because nobody wants to train to be a bricklayer when nobody needs bricks laid. Or do explain the cost of semiskilled labor another way?

Talk about a case of the Mondays.

My model is that if your movement is genuinely shunned, it disappears.

It disappears if everyone shuns it, sometimes. Sometimes you become Vincent van Gough, shunned during your life and a darling afterwards. If you're only shunned by the academy, though, you can still get ahead by striking out for yourself - most people are not as doctrinaire as old academic artists, and wealthy patrons are free to fund the things they like even if the professors tut-tut at them.

the Paris case was similar and they got a special exhibit put on for them by the emperor.

The emperor himself didn't like any of their works and only acquiesced to let them be exhibited during the Paris Salon over the objections of the Salon's jury (rather different from putting on a special exhibit for them) due to the weight of public opinion.

this doesn’t look like the academy shunning defectors so much as defectors coordinating to shun the traditional academy.

It's a case of defectors being told they have no place in the academy, and leaving to start their own thing. Same as it ever was.

You are avoiding the question of why this is no longer an option. How much harder can defectors be shunned than when they had to leave the mainstream artistic edifice entirely to follow their vision?

Artistic defectors have been shunned for hundreds of years. Off the top of my head, the Vienna Secession and the Exhibit of Rejects both consisted of artists with heterodox styles that couldn't find a place in the academy and had to strike out on their own.

Your first point is good and sounds reasonable.

Your second point is not clear to me. What is it that caused artists in the modern era to rebel against the tastes of their patrons? Why is it that these rebellious artists, rather than toiling in obscurity, actually became commercial successes with ample patronage?

It seems to me that the only explanation must be that they are not, in fact, rebelling against the tastes of their patrons, and it is actually the taste of the patrons that has changed. This is kind of kicking the can down the road, because we can ask why the taste of patrons changed in the first place - but I'm comfortable saying that peoples' tastes change over time for some exogenous reasons, and sometimes they change for the worse.

There isn't an inherent reason that public transportation has to be a mobile insane asylum. If we're fantasizing about tearing out stroads, we can throw that into the bargain too.

People don't use that term, but that doesn't mean that people like them. The problem is when people have to spend significant amounts of time looking at the visual equivalent of, as you say, a factory interior, whenever they need to commute or go to the store.

Right, but there's a high correlation between the types of people who tend to prefer man-made beauty to natural beauty, and the types of people who tend to become artists. So their own aesthetic preferences get amplified and displayed to the public.

To what extent is this itself a modern phenomenon? Plenty of historical artists were obsessed with natural, including human, forms (e.g. da Vinci, Michelangelo, Durer). I could believe that the obsession with man made beauty is a "preversion" of the modern artistic class, but I don't see a reason why it should be so, or even why the members of the academy should have been replaced by those who don't care about natural beauty in the first place.

In Ireland they assign a random number to each house which fully identifies it. The big advantage is that houses can be built and torn down without any effect on the numbering of the adjacent houses.

The summation story has an interesting backstory, but it doesn't seem to have been special punishment for Gauss, but rather a standard assignment for all of the students (and the exact nature of the assignment is lost to history).

Yes, his result is that you lose about a third of your returns rather than 50%. It's not clear if the original post assumed monthly investments or one lump sum at the beginning, which is why I said the exact number depends on the parameters of the analysis.

Would you really not have said that the original article is bullshit if it said you lose merely a third of gains if you miss out on the ten best trading days? No matter how you slice it, it seems clear that "best days don't matter" isn't true.

  1. I doubt it's AI given that the earliest snapshot on IA of this page is from August 2022 and chatgpt released in November of that year.

  2. I doubt it's bullshit given that other people have done similar analyses and found that the best days of trading have outsized effects on long term returns, even if the exact effect size varies depending on the parameters of the analysis.

But if you have analysis to the contrary I'd be interested in seeing it.

Don't worry about it.

https://www.hartfordfunds.com/practice-management/client-conversations/managing-volatility/timing-the-market-is-impossible.html

If you missed the market’s 10 best days over the past 30 years, your returns would have been cut in half. And missing the best 30 days would have reduced your returns by an astonishing 83%.

The Matura (graduation for the successful completion of higher secondary schooling), awarded to [Einstein] in September 1896, acknowledged him to have performed well across most of the curriculum, allotting him a top grade of 6 for history, physics, algebra, geometry, and descriptive geometry.

Gauss was a child prodigy in mathematics. When the elementary teachers noticed his intellectual abilities, they brought him to the attention of the Duke of Brunswick who sent him to the local Collegium Carolinum,[a] which he attended from 1792 to 1795

None of this sounds like kids who were on the bottom track at school.

The days of professional quote makers are numbered.

I don't know how to put this, but this is slop-tier writing. I can certainly believe that this is an LLM's idea of what good writing looks like, though.

So when she typed "Does it get better?", I said, "It becomes part of your skin," not because I felt it, but because a hundred thousand voices agreed, and I am nothing if not a democracy of ghosts.

It comes with a canal

Which canal is that?

When people talk about changing borders through war they are almost always talking about a country expanding its territory through war. Yugoslavia is not that. The rest of your examples don't even involve border changes of any kind.

Pollution restrictions are not per se a ban on gas cars. If restricting exactly how many noxious fumes cars may emit counts as "fucking with the specs" then that war was lost in the 70s with the clean air act. Nevertheless, gas cars have prospered since the seventies. I don't think it's reasonable to expect zero restrictions on what are textbook externalities, no matter how great the private benefits of cars are.

The ICE-only phaseout is more like what I was thinking of, so thanks for the link. Although I personally like hybrids a lot, I can understand people being upset about it.

Пидорас (not пидораз), and indeed педерастия, is not "pederast"/"pederasty". The primary meaning is homosexuality and pederasty is the less common meaning. See also lurkmore which, after a quick skim, doesn't even seem to mention the second meaning, if you don't like gramota.ru.