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pusher_robot

PLEASE GO STAND BY THE STAIRS

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joined 2022 September 04 23:45:12 UTC

				

User ID: 278

pusher_robot

PLEASE GO STAND BY THE STAIRS

0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 23:45:12 UTC

					

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User ID: 278

As much as I dislike the foreign policy establishment, they provide predictability. Major wars break out when one side doesn't correctly predict what the other side will do; if everyone can predict what will happen and the costs to each party, it greatly increases the likelihood of managed transitions that don't go kinetic.

I don't see how this follows at all. If one side is able to predict with relative precision the costs of a conflict will be, they will be more likely to do it whenever the benefits exceed those costs. Predictability alone is not a prophylaxis, you need a robust and credible cost infliction strategy to actually generate deterrence.

How so?

I'm not arguing against hypocrisy, I'm arguing against the fairness of the inconsistent application of this principal in reality.

Is your position that norms should override Constitutional rights? Because that seems somewhat problematic for other rights you probably support. Its certainly been the norm in blue states to make owning guns difficult. Does that trump 2A rights?

The problem is the inconsistency. As you point out, Blue Tribe norms almost always trump constitutional rights. New York's laws, as a practical matter, actually do override the Second Amendment. The reverse almost never happens.

If New York is forced to allow open carry will you curse this overriding of norms?

No, but then again, this will not happen. I will happily put up money on this.

I feel bad for JD Vance. I identify a little with him, and he's just getting hammered on bullshit day in and day out, over and over. I don't think he's doing great, but he can't get out of his own way.

I mean, it's almost impossible to "get out of your own way" when malicious hyper-scrutiny is applied to every facial twitch, and it's definitely impossible when people simply make things up and meme them into existence with the support of 24/7 news media. This is exactly the Mitt Romney treatment all over again.

NASA is definitely likely to be his biggest ally for sure, but who listens our cares about what NASA has to say? They are politically irrelevant except as a pork delivery system, which SpaceX a actually threatens. DOD might actually be the most influential voice urging his indispensibility, though their influence over State is likely weak and not enough to overcome the political hatred of Musk combined with the lobbying of the traditional defense contractors. The voting public are largely convinced that Musk is a grifter and a loud mouth, and that the companies he heads would be much better off without him.

Buying a tesla is hardly a vote on the personal approval of its CEO. People just don't look at major purchasing decisions that way.

I'm not so sure. The media hate machine has, I think, been extremely effective against Musk. I think most Americans would enjoy seeing him in jail.

The mechanism by which this occurs is the forced divestment of ownership in the form of taking the company public, which means the company will be run by a board of directors who can be much more easily controlled.

Literally just aggressively prosecuting and sentencing violations of the firearm restriction laws we already have on the books would go a long way to solving the problem. If a felon with a firearm goes away for 10 years, they're not going to be robbing people on the street for a while. Instead we have a strong demand for gun laws that can be used on the mostly law-abiding, because otherwise we end up prosecuting too many of the wrong demographic.

It depends on what tools you have or are willing to get.

Got a microwave? Literally stab a potato, put it in the microwave, and press the POTATO button. Baked potato comes out. Add whatever fixings are in your fridge.

If you like vegetables, get an air fryer. Toss your raw veggies in olive oil and seasoning, and then roast them in the air fryer.

Or, get a hand-powered food processor. Drop in some chunked tomatoes, onion, cilantro, peppers, garlic, salt, and lime juice, and process. Delicious salsa comes out.

Or, get a small rice cooker. Add rice and water, dump in other veg or meat as you feel like, and start. When it is done a little while later, you have a meal.

Or, get a countertop sandwich grill (i.e., George Foreman style). Grab a boneless chicken breast or pork chop, season, and put it on the grill for 5 or 6 minutes. Eat while hot.

You're not counting all the rules which might have been imposed, but weren't due to the practical considerations of an armed population. That which is seen, and that which is unseen.

It would if apportionment was based on voting records and not census data.

If you have money, you could use a good chunk of it (on the order of tithes) to support political candidates (or oppose bad candidates) who see things your way (or not) . That's more effective, especially at the most local levels, than voting alone.

Not a Beatles song though

It's tautilogically true that, without their most valuable assets, most people have a pretty low net worth.

I actually find the complete reliance on public pensions and no IRA or 401k like the vast majority of Americans a little concerning.

This is why I never skip out on jury duty.

It's certainly plausible that there are recordings of him saying that in some other context. Though to what end, I don't know. Certainly they couldn't maintain such a rude all the way to November, and I don't see what a week or two would buy, other than maybe fake endorsements from a candidate who then tragically died.

I agree, I think there's a much likelier chance that Biden is very upset at what happened and is just not being very cooperative with the people who engineered his ouster

Possibly to prevent a new VP that might be forced upon her by the Congress, so she can run with whoever she wants?

538 is a model, only slightly based on polling

In this case I think it depends on what is being pushed. You have to keep in mind that this is a security tool specifically promising and designed to implement rapid defense against zero-day security exploits. Holding off for a week or so on a threat under active exploitation is not what they are being paid for.

Yes, I think the key distinguishing factor between Nazism specifically vs. nationalism or fascism generally is the belief in social Darwinism and eugenics at the volk-scale. They genuinely believed that a glorious future awaits, when the best and brightest and strongest dominate the world and mold it for the betterment of all. It's one reason so many killed themselves at the end: they had fully internalized that in losing, their inferiority was manifest, and so suicide was not just practical, but a moral duty to humanity.

Neither, it's may-guh. The same vowel sound as in "make".

It seems like the simple and obvious solution would be for social media companies to set user post visibility to friends only by default, though with something like Twitter its basic premise is that you are posting for everyone to see.