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miras_chinotto

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joined 2022 September 05 01:38:45 UTC

				

User ID: 348

miras_chinotto

certified low iq

1 follower   follows 1 user   joined 2022 September 05 01:38:45 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 348

Twitter is so useless these days. Why lock threads behind an account?

It's my industry, so I think it's as good as it can reasonably be.

How well do you think it translates to other jobs?

The crux of such a study would be in how you're defining output or productivity. Is that lines of code and is more lines good? What is the equivalent in other fields, how is it being measured, etc.

I think it's much more likely to increase the concentration of incompetent workers. WFH or hybrid schedules are going to be worth tens of thousands of dollars a year to your typical professional type. This is effectively being told you're all taking a huge pay cut and the only people either publicly or privately who would endure such a thing are the ones who don't think they can do better in the private sector or they are in their position for non-monetary reasons like ideology.

Blanket RTO orders are great for temporarily juicing stock at a company but they are cutting labor costs by removing your most competitive workers.

Do you know if any of the new Trump EOs will affect MBEs? There are massive federal subsidies and quotas to companies that are owned by minorities and in my experience it's grift at every level - state, city, etc.

He said this after making the gesture twice did he not? I think he knew what he was doing - how could he not? He's not some everyman in his first public appearance ever, he's one of the most powerful men on the planet whose primary contribution to his affiliated companies these days seems to in fact be public and private appearances.

He claims that this is an ultimate goal for him but that doesn't mean it's something he actually values nor does it give much predictive power for his actions.

If he accomplishes it, many dumb trolling events like this can be forgiven.

I don't think accusing people of being nazis had much weight even back during the Bush years. It's been a silly insult for decades now.

You are mistaking me. I think the government does need downsizing. I don't think Elon and the like are capable of doing so effectively. They are much more likely to just fire people based on contrived criteria or, now that we've seen the RTO mandate, push out the smart ones and keep only the least competent workers.

That is probably correct, I suppose. It would match some of the justifications I've seen which go along the lines of "he's just trolling" or "the libs lied about this thing so they're obviously lying about this too". The Satanist comparison is apt - these are the people saying bad things ostensibly ironically to make red tribers angry but they are still bad things to say. Tit for tat is satisfying in the short term but self destructive in the long term.

I certainly think he did so. Probably intentionally seeking to rile people up since I don't think he has any meaningful political philosophy let alone nazism.

Good. I frankly don't trust or expect people like Elon to be able to meaningfully be able to separate wheat from chaff within the federal government.

It's not correct to assume there are only antisemitic right wingers and zionist right wingers. There are a great deal of Republicans who are noninterventionist either out of libertarianism or as a result of Iraq/Afghanistan and there are many who, like me, have a great affinity for Jews while seeing Israel as morally no different than the terrorist states they fight. This isn't a coalition, but it's certainly a larger group than the "Holocaust didn't happen but it's a good thing" types. If it's enough to contribute to Democrat election losses, then that means it's enough to contribute to Republican election losses.

And that's not delving into the conservative voting Muslim or global South origin issue.

Eh, if the reservoirs aren't depleted, then the lack of water pressure at the hydrant is from some other bottleneck. The processing plants, lift stations, and distribution system are almost certainly not designed for this sort of load. Are they underdesigned? Who can say without intimate knowledge of the system itself.

I think the over-abundance of fuel (from the admittedly complex lack of prescribed burns issue discussed below), lack of manpower, and lack of equipment for LAPD are better indicators of dysfunction than the hydrants running dry.

It's basic infrastructure engineering. You can allocate nigh-infinite resources to making something safer or stronger or higher capacity and there will still be a theoretical load case that will exceed it. We don't have anything close to nigh-infinite resources to throw at anything so you determine an acceptable level of risk or design load case based on the probability of exceedance and the cost of mitigation and that is what you design to. This isn't California specific, this is the case in all responsible engineering everywhere.

What is possibly California specific is not having additional options available when their design cases are exceeded, i.e. reservoirs holding that excessive rain from last year. Or if some of those videos are to be trusted, not even having extra buckets and hoses for LAFD to use.

If California is so determined not to collect rain water, I don't see why they don't invest in (nuclear?) desalination plants. Would solve a great deal of the water disputes they seem to be having with adjacent states as well.

Thanks for this post. I hadn't considered that the conditions for controlled burns could be so restrictive and in the context of California, there's almost certainly permitting and approvals required that add additional cost and time to it.

The lack of water in hydrants isn't anything surprising. No water system is designed for a wildfire that's impacting 2000+ structures. Depending on how the system and lift stations and such are planned out, you're typically planning for 1 or 2 residential fires per zone, more for commercial, more for industrial. And you have to keep in mind that once a structure becomes compromised, their water pipes are going to be effectively turned on at max (the pipes and valves being compromised by heat or gravity loads) creating even more demand on the system. Reservoirs are pretty much your best and only affordable option for water for wildfires and such.

It also notably was not binding on either the US or Russia (in the case of the US, such treaties have to be ratified by Congress). The concern at the time was that Ukraine didn't have the funds to even pay soldier wages let alone secure or maintain the Soviet weapons stockpiles, so this was a more of a "pat on the back, don't worry, here's some cash for your nukes" agreement.

It's also worth noting that both the US and Russia trot out this Budapest Memorandum line when convenient. Russian propaganda mentioned it several times back during the Maidan crisis in 2014 and it was just as silly then.

It's perhaps uncharitable, but one of Bari Weiss's motives is likely out of her pro-zionism stances. She has throughout her career framed Israel's flagging US approval as a PR issue and become increasingly defense over even the most anodyne or factual criticism of Israeli actions in MENA. There is a large surge of Islamophobic writing on the right currently due to the NOLA attack and this is a convenient way to try to continue splitting Muslims from the liberal coalitions in the US and UK.

The timing of this surge in interest, when we've known many of the facts about the rape gangs for a decade, suggests to me that both Bari and Elon are using this opportunity to deflect. That doesn't mean they're deflecting for the same reasons though.

I haven't paid attention to new developments but are we sure this was an intentional explosion? The photo of the burnt out truck bed seemed to show that it wasn't even particularly full and some large fraction of the fireworks appeared to be bottle rockets from the video of the explosion (which would seem to be the worst kind of firework for this purpose).

Could be he was on the margin mentally had packed up a bunch of stuff for a new years bash in the desert (or a suicide in the desert?) and at the last minute decided to shoot himself in front of the Trump property? Could such a shot possibly set off flammables in the trunk?

I'm probably just grasping at straws in the face of the disjointed acts of a depressed or worse man.

Do we know in what conflict zone he worked in? If he was working out of a gulf state or Ukraine, it would significantly change what any political message he was sending if it was intentional.

just naturally sign up with ISIS because, well, what else would they do?

Why don't you try to consider it from their perspective? Almost overnight, their careers are ended and are made unable to support themselves and their families and their own government and fellow people subjected to tremendous violence and destabilization more or less for no good reason. Why wouldn't that radicalize a person?

This was both the anticipated and actual outcome of deBaathification.

Shouldn't we be thinking of people like this in similar terms as we might view southern Confederate sympathizers during and after the American Civil War?

You mean we should have extended them a blanket pardon conditional on an oath of loyalty? Yes, I think that would have been the ideal outcome and may have stopped Iraq from sliding toward Iran puppet-state status by having continuity and more robustness in its institutions.

There is quite literally a direct line of causality between deBaathification in Iraq and ISIS. Purging the Iraqi military and public service resulted in thousands of professional soldiers and officers as well as otherwise peaceful professionals like graphic designers, accountants, intelligence analysts, etc being unemployable overnight and so they joined up with fledgling ISIS and that's how it became such a competent organization so fast. This was even predicted by US analysts and foreign policy writers at the time, but Rumsfeld et al proceeded any way and only rescinded after most of the damage was done.

It would be very exciting and cool for this to be ayys, but each of the videos I've seen ends up looking either like a regular drone, a commercial airliner, or something else that happens to have FAA red-green lighting (which wouldn't make sense for a military stealth drone experiment or for alien aircraft).

So yes, I think you're right. We are seeing mass hysteria possibly coupled with people just not having taken the time before to notice just how many flying objects are actually in your typical American night sky. And really, I can relate to this (at the risk of typical minding I suppose) because over the last year, my toddler has become obsessed with planes and seeing them at night so I didn't have any idea myself how active and busy aircraft are at night until we started watching them all the time.

Thanks I was really confused why it was linking to a deleted reddit comment or whatever.

Can you double check your link?

If terrorism is your objective, a guaranteed kill isn't really necessary. A drone can probably carry enough of a highly flammable liquid or powder and cause severe burns or death and in many ways that's the stronger signal. It would however result in a lot less of a folk hero image though.