lollol
1yr ago
Hi, long time lurker, but I have a few questions regarding the Vault. The Vault is near and dear to me because it was some random High Quality contribution crosspost, idk bestof or something, that brought my attention to TheMotte years ago. I like the Vault because it gives me a full list right away of writing to checkout/read. But I do have a few concerns.
- Is it updated every month? or is it like a yearly thing because currently I'm seeing HQC from July 2022 and not June 2023 on the Vault. Maybe I missed a detail somewhere that says that.
- Is there a way to capture and display the context surrounding a HQC? I think the quality contribution is best read in-context. If it's a reply, it's the dialogue/interplay that really highlights the quality of a HQC. Even if it's a top-level comment, the replies/inspirations/counter-arguments that spawn off the HQC are worth noting because a HQC already made me, the reader, keep wanting to read more on that topic. Maybe a) only direct replies to the HQC, b) only parents up to 3 levels of the HQC, c) any children threads of the HQC that includes replies from the HQC's author.
For years now (since at least 2018), whenever my parents ask me "who's going to win?", I point them to Nate Silver and says I trust whatever he says. And I don't think I have been proven wrong yet. For this election, my gut was telling me Harris was gonna win, I won't deny that I was only reading stories and news from very left-leaning-space, but I have very incredibly high stakes in this election but no responsibility (still on work visa) and venturing into right-leaning-space meant more mental energy than I could bear. Even on election night, while scrolling through fivethirtyeight's prediction thread, I keep telling myself "how can these guys think Trump is gonna win?". The only voice of reason in my head was Nate Silver (and on some level Ezra Klein and that Astead/Run Up podcast from the NYT). Silve himself said "Don't trust your gut" a week or two before the election and look at that, my gut was wrong. This election has proven to me once again that polling works, and that data doesn't lie, it's the people that read the data that lies to themselves and others.
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