ccc
2d ago
The position is MAD, which is still the only real response to nuclear threats. If Putin gets what he wants in Ukraine, every capable nation in the world starts its own nuclear weapons program. How does that fare for global nuclear war?
ccc
5d ago
He doesn't want to be a parent. He wants to be a sire. What you've described is in line with this. It may well be unusual or alien but it isn't confusing and lines up with his stated preferences, so yeah my vote is "autistic compulsion".
ccc
5d ago
I'm confused by the confusion. He thinks his genes are superior and wants to spread them, and he has the means to avoid having to raise them personally.
ccc
6d ago
I feel a bit stupid
You should feel more stupid. Even now with hindsight you can barely muster a proper mea culpa. Your failures of judgement are innumerable, yet you fall back to "I didn't even vote." And you have the audacity to say the accelerationists are full of pretense? You will learn nothing from this.
ccc
6d ago
Anyone who thought Trump 2024 would be the same as Trump 2016 was being lazy. You should feel stupid. You were willfully ignorant. Your entire plan was, "libs will save me from myself."
You knew that the only thing stopping Trump 2016 was career bureaucrats. You knew he had a plan not to let that happen again. Project 2025 was no secret. Did you think unitary executive theory was a joke? Or did you just pretend Trump would not even try, that he'd roll over and lose to the same move twice? Or did you stop thinking here and murmur idly, "libs will save me from myself."
You got what you voted for.
ccc
24d ago
Seconding that the best thing to teach would be social skills, i.e. compassion for others. I should hope you gently admonished his comment sbout the social worker.
Encouraging any more STEM studies would only further his descent into the antisocial, half-clever asshole life.
ccc
1mo ago
Why do you need sync if you're only going to write at the disconnected setup? I would think the simplest way to heed that advice is to get a machine that can't connect to the internet and write on that using some offline word processor (e.g. Scrivener). Maybe back it up on a USB drive occasionally if you feel the need.
In most places you can get refurbished office PC's for cheap that should be up for the task. An old laptop with a broken WiFi card could also work.
ccc
3mo ago
More risk than has been currently been taken.
After almost 3 years of frog boiling, there should have been 30+ escalations along the way that each on their own might receive nuclear responses but that altogether culminate in "there's so much US military involved that Russia loses everything".
Instead of properly following this frog boiling strategy, Biden had a bunch of red lines he wouldn't cross and stopped the boil at a simmer, defeating the whole point of the strategy. There should never be any red lines. At most there should be "don't do that yet" lines.
It took a whole two years to merely let Ukraine fire US supplied weapons offensively. This was not just on its own stupidly risk averse but more broadly demonstrates the failure to commit to the strategy, ultimately justifying the use of nuclear threats. The two year mark of frog boiling should at the very least have both the US air force and navy personnel directly involved, and probably even marines. By three years it should've been guaranteed to be over.
But, well, none of that was politically possible, or maybe Biden just didn't have the balls to do it. I will be pleasantly surprised if Trump escalates properly to give Ukraine the aid it needs to win and/or to get concessions out of Putin, but I'm not holding my breath.
ccc
3mo ago
This is most commonly raised as a counterpoint to "why are we spending so much in Ukraine, when {pet issue at home} is totally ignored!"
It's also maybe a compromise strategy to appese peaceniks, but this is frankly retarded as peaceniks are never appeased.
I at least fully advocate taking the risk of nuclear escalation, since the alternative (appeasement of nuclear threats) is far worse. This is unfortunately a hard sell to the American voter who cares more about culture war and gas prices. If Trump can make that sell, then I'll be impressed.
ccc
3mo ago
Nate Silver predicted "a total turnout of 155.3 million, with an 80 percent confidence interval between 148.2 million and 162.5 million", which is something like 73% odds for lower turnout than 2020 (158.4m).
ccc
3mo ago
So back in 1908, when there weren't any primaries, the US wasn't a democracy? Only in the 70s, when binding national primaries were first implemented, did it become one?
Elites always win. This isn't new.
ccc
3mo ago
he knows a lot about boxing and MMA and they spent half the interview talking about that
I got the impression Trump was bullshitting his way through this subject. He said nothing of substance, just mirrored and affirmed Joe.
ccc
4mo ago
There's still risk discounting to account for. Even if the true odds are, say, 50-50: to counteract 25m of dumb money, the sharp traders need a bankroll in the order of billions of dollars to avoid kelly ruin, i.e. approximately the total volume on that market right now.
ccc
6mo ago
It really is this simple. The age issue exists for Trump almost as much as it did for Biden and poll respondents were serious that they care about it.
ccc
6mo ago
The Australian breaking scene and the Olympic Games: the possibilities and politics of sportification (Rachel Gunn 2023). Possible that her performance (and attire?) was some kind of protest. Shitpost dancing, if you will.
ccc
6mo ago
Even with a cursory watch of the Olympics, this seems ridiculous on its face. Most athletes still look very much like natives.
Picking a random Euro country, here are France's current gold medalists:
- https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/athlete/nicolas-gestin_1880479
- https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/athlete/pauline-ferrand-prevot_1895672
- https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/athlete/manon-apithy-brunet_1916223
- https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/athlete/teddy-riner_1891323
- https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/team/france_ru7mteam7---fra01
- https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/athlete/leon-marchand_1909294
- https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/athlete/cassandre-beaugrand_1543963
Their best performer, Leon Marchand, is as French as you can get.
How on earth is this the point at which you give up on a 100+ years institution that glorifies all of individual excellence, team work, and national pride.
ccc
11mo ago
A rather banal way to get patients to remember medical advice is to... actually write it down. Memory is fickle and people overestimate how well they remember details.
Always shocks me that I can go for a 15 minute check up where the doctor will say 10+ things I'm supposed to remember in detail and none of it is written down.
Doctors writing down their medical advice also solves the problem of patients lying (perhaps not even consciously) about what the doctor said, which is unfortunately common.
ccc
1yr ago
To achieve body recomposition, you need a lot of protein and a calorie deficit. It's all in the diet.
The lifting strategy, so long as you're doing something reasonable, is far less important. You don't need a specialized program.
ccc
1yr ago
[...] just say that's what you are.
This is disarmament. So you are advocating unilateral disarmament then? Unless your demand is only for your enemies, in which case yes they will of course ignore it.
Maybe, if you can't oust a corrupt president or prosecute a guilty criminal for his actual crimes,
They should just get off without any charges? If your commitment to due process and the impartial hand of justice is that great, you can't turn around later and defend Rubiales' because he's on your team.
I'm not advocating for lawless vigilantism or witch burning. I'm pointing out that one party engaging in power politics doesn't necessarily disqualify their legitimate complaints.
ccc
1yr ago
You also can't point to some mild opportunism and say it delegitimizes all other complaints. That leads to pure who-whom, which sucks.
Your protest is like asking why the USG went after Al Capone for tax evasion instead of his actual crimes. The answer is obvious and it doesn't make him innocent.
ccc
1yr ago
Removing people on purely substantive grounds is difficult even when you're right. Ousting power requires some level of opportunism.
Unilateral disarmament would be a noble if naive goal, but if you can excuse Rubiales' blatant lies you can just as well excuse an opportunistic ousting. Otherwise it's pure who-whom, and no point discussing further.
There are very few states right now who are trying in earnest. Most still act as if the Non-Proliferation Treaty is real and that the U.S. nuclear umbrella will protect them. Ukraine thought they were still safe because they were in line with U.S. interests. They had the Budapest memorandum, and destabilizing Russia was a perennial U.S. interest. Now, suddenly, U.S. interests are... the fleeting whims of the current president, entirely divorced from geopolitical realities. So now there is a new lesson to learn: the U.S. is no longer a reliable ally, no longer a benevolent hedgemon. It's a very different lesson than one anyone learnt from Gadaffi's fate, and a dramatically different state of affairs to live in.
All these states formerly relying on U.S. protection are going to want their own nukes now: Finland, Poland, Romania, South Korea, Japan, Australia, Canada, Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand; perhaps Singapore and Taiwan as well, although those may be less practical (no land to test with, risky that Malaysia and China respectively would be aggravated by such programs before they get off the ground).
On top of that, states which were grumbling and maybe learnt from Gaddafi and were maybe doing things slowly in secret but were still somewhat checked by U.S. soft power are now certainly not going to hold back. That's at the very least Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Kazakhstan accelerating their programs.
And what's stopping Mexico and Brazil from starting a nuclear program at that point, other than lacking state capacity?
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