anti_dan
3hr ago
Killing someone in a bar fight is not murder in most cases. And certainly not in just cases. Murder requires intent, as does sex crime. That is why they are so charged. Its possible to be a lil too drunk and punch a guy a little too hard and he hits his head on the table. Its not possible to be just a lil too drunk and get your penis hard then trip while trying to kiss a girl and end up with your penis inside her while she struggles until your completion without knowing.
But this is, of course, why the consent framing of sex is a complete failure with these edge cases (and edge cases are the only hard ones, which deems the whole consent framework a failure with regards to sex crimes). People imagine sex crimes as intentional acts of violence and sexual penetration, but the more common sort of allegation is an act of dubious intent with no objective indicators of violence.
anti_dan
3hr ago
However, when it comes to actual, concrete accusations, things come apart. Circumstances are usually far more ambiguous than "creep jumps out of the bushes", accused rapists are often otherwise respectable members of their community, and different people have radically different views around consent and sexual ethics. You've got very stringent views of consent, where both parties need to be sober and vocally assenting. And on the flip side, you've got very loose views (the extreme cases being things like "being alone in a room with a man is consent for whatever happens next" or thinking that women secretly want to be raped).
Sex crimes are certainly some of the hardest to prove from a prosecutors perspective. While I was a prosecutor, I had a brief stint in sex crimes (a bit ironically against my wishes) and there are only two cases I touched that I'd describe as slam dunks. One was a CSAM case were the guy left his phone with the material on it at a bar, on camera, and had thousands of texts etc soliciting, purchasing, etc. The other was a case where a kid was raped in a public bathroom on a secret camera set up by the rapist that a 3rd party found the camera and called the police. The rest, I think I know what happened, but it is certainly hard to prove.
anti_dan
2d ago
Nathan Fielder is involved with this. This immediately makes it questionable how much of this is a documentary vs. a movie and what genre it is, also how much Holmes is involved in the "joke." If you don't know who Nathan is I really recommend looking into it, a few YouTubers have multi hour long videos that make you question reality. The guy is doing some really interesting performance art and/or is a wild person.
Indeed. Nathan For You vibes are strong with the teaser.
anti_dan
4d ago
Its a supply demand things currently. The demand is high because they see the large Hispanic % on the census. But most of those are pretty crappy. So they give big bonuses
anti_dan
5d ago
This feels like more of a dumb question but why did we have any significant amount of affirmative action for Hispanics in the US?
Because Affirmative Action is about satisfying a perceived aesthetic. Colleges thought diversity in line with population percentages was aesthetically a good, so they pursued it, and really didn't care if anyone was "cheating" or they weren't actually achieving their perfect brochures IRL on campus. They wanted the stats to look like their perception.
I don't think there really is much more to it. If there was we would have seen much more sophisticated systems compared to just giving free points (which were explicit in the UMichigan case in the early 2000s, and only since have become hidden, but with the same results). Its not like ADOS were getting lots of points while Nigerian sons of oligarchs were not, or Mexican daughters of construction workers were getting more points that the grandson of Peronist leadership. Its just all paper aesthetics, with a bit of an extra f-you thrown in for white rural and urban males.
anti_dan
10d ago
Former member of parliament and considered far right even in Israel. Greaaaaat example. It's like citing Jamal Bowman as indicative of median American views on taxes.
anti_dan
11d ago
I am anti-Anthropic because I think Anthropic is clearly run by and staffed by people who are deranged, and thus couldn't produce an aligned AI under any circumstances (same for open AI of course). Thus anything that leave a possibility of them being supplanted is good, and regulatory capture would stop that possibility, whence it is bad.
anti_dan
11d ago
Think about your nearest urban center. Then think about how it would look if 80% of spaces in it contained at least one valid target. A weapons cache in every mailbox.
There isn't much single family housing in Gaza. I'd expect almost every apartment building to have a cache or combatant in it, yes.
Each store clerk a combatant
This is pretty much true IMO. People vastly underestimate the popularity of Hamas and terrorism amongst Palestinians. Plus, how is this store being stocked? By Hamas handouts from what they get from NGOs. There is no domestic production of good in Gaza so the only way you can run a store is if you are cozy with Hamas, you probably let them store weapons in the larder from time to time and fund their operations with your sales as well through kickbacks and bribes, otherwise they cut you and find a new store owner that plays ball.
Multiply this over the ~100 km2 controlled by Hamas. Would it look like the pictures?
I was, charitably to myself, excluding the already destroyed/abandoned parts, and I guess the camps where people are frisked before going in.
See, that 1% makes a big difference. Americans have the privilege of being choosy about our involvement. Support for Palestine is almost entirely predicted on whether one thinks the collateral damage is avoidable.
I dont think it is, but this also isn't about being picky about involvement, if America and Europe went to true neutral status Israel would be significantly worse off WRT to America, and slightly better off WRT Europe, but Gaza would just die on their own without Israel having to do anything. You have to be actively pro-Gaza to get to this point!
anti_dan
11d ago
Much longer than Gaza would. And fairly irrelevant to the point I am making.
anti_dan
11d ago
What is your disagreement with my factual assertions regarding the armament status of the hospitals and schools of Gaza?
anti_dan
11d ago
I didn't think the problem is that people don't know this. I think they refuse to grapple with it because they have a moral stance that being strong is evil.
anti_dan
12d ago
AI pacing isn't the problem. AI alignment is. And the problem with that is they keep hiring weirdos that hate humanity to do alignment. Hire some Catholic Cardinals that are considered too conservative to be Pope, whoever is Ben Shapiro's childhood rabbi, and a few judges who sentenced murderers to death in blue states to your alignment team, and now you are going to have better results.
anti_dan
12d ago
Macklemore for taking a mild pro-Palestine stance
Seems to me to be an understatement. And one that the whole thesis of the post relies on. He's an extremist, even if not so on the modern online left.
Lets just posit a world where people are informed and on truth serum. We pose the question, as something like, "What percentage of Israeli strikes in Gaza actually targeted a combatant, terrorist, weapons cache, military supply depot, intelligence operation, or related facility?" Basically everyone would answer 99%-100%.
But then there is the more consequential question. "What if Israel just fired missiles indiscriminately into Gaza at random targets, what is the chance they would hit a combatant, terrorist, weapons cache, military supply depot, intelligence operation, or related facility?" The informed, truthful, people, would say something like 80-99%.
If you want to side with the weaker side in a military conflict because that is your philosophy, then just say that. But it is, to me, disgusting and evil when people reward the use of human shields and false flags and piracy and the like with sympathy. The crybully tactics of modern Islam need to be punished like they would have been by the Brits and French of the 19th century. And, quite frankly, given the current set of belligerents, the Brits and French should have been mounting up to do it themselves years ago under a sane system.
anti_dan
17d ago
I'd rate it as more southwest side than south side. Their criminals go to Bridgeview not Markham after all.
anti_dan
17d ago
Oh, I know Oak Lawn and quite a few of their police detectives. I didnt know that was where he was from.
anti_dan
17d ago
Another aspect of the fallout of the trial is all the jurors giving interviews are inadvertently revealing they themselves did not follow the law in the least during deliberations. Several of them have consistently used the line that they didn't think the state proved she killed the kids. This was not properly at issue. Others have admitted to inserting themselves as pseudo medical experts on the jury (the nurses of course). That is not proper during deliberation. Several others have used the phrase "100% sure" which seems to have been a mimetic phrase in the jury room. This is not the same standard as "reasonable doubt."
anti_dan
18d ago
Still a wordcell EHC but he does have talent.
At best IMO. I suppose he is very skilled at grift identification. Which is a skill. I dont think his writing is that good, it is not like he is Alan Sokal or James Lindsey. His book Origins of Woke has a decent thesis, but not an original one, and does not really contain a true steelman of anti-wokeness anywhere in it.
The Elite Human Capital schtick is also super cringey and just odd/confused. Who are Peter Theil and JD Vance and Ted Cruz if not EHC? What about Richard Clement the best attorney of his generation? I guess they dont appeal to Hanania's EHC class because???
Well the only good explanation is actually contained in his own book (sort of). Its that EHC goes through universities (largely), which are indoctrination centers for the left, and those same civil rights laws he said created wokeness, also discriminate heavily in favor of agreeableness, which is not a right of center trait. So his new hypothesis stands in a confusing contrast to his most major work (his current magnus opus I suppose?). The problem is agreeableness and indoctrination by state-supported and regulated mandatory (basically) institutions.
He reminds me a lot of Vivek, who, despite his backers buying the primary is in jeopardy of losing his race in solidly Red Ohio because of one of the worst blundering comments in political history, that being the prom king/queen comment. These sorts of opinions by Hanania/Vivek just kind of show off their inability to understand the American right, which makes sense because they were/are newcomers to the movement, and thought they deserved leadership positions because they, by mostly chance, got large audiences for saying the right thing at the right time for a while.
But the prom comment shows why both of them are not real American right. The American right is the only large political movement in the world that likes America for its uniquely American things. Gun rights, calling losers losers (and worse), executing criminals, and yes appreciating all-rounders like prom queens/kings. Vivek and Hanania, not being culturally American dont understand this. Vivek, idiotically, thinks the prom king is some D student running back who impregnated 3 other D students. In reality (aka at my literal school and all the ones nearby) hes a 2-3 sport athlete that also finished in the top 5-10% of the class and had good interpersonal skills. Same with the prom queen: a cheerleader, an honors student (both of them basically took the same course-load as me and the valedictorian) and good looking and friendly. An American likes all those extra things on top of being a nerd. The guy who dated (and married) the prom queen was one of my best friends. They aren't dumbness like Vivek's comment's imply, they went to Big10 schools, went into competitive fields. Have big houses in nice places. I have a big house in a nice place, I wasn't Valedictorian, and didnt grind like Vivek implies we all should have. Grinding is alien to real America, and America is beating everyone else, whence grinding is probably dumb. Whence, unAmerican fake right wingers like Vivek and Hanania are probably missing the mark.
anti_dan
18d ago
If systemic racism was real you could do the same. Easier even, because grades, and grading of tests, are not anonymous.
anti_dan
18d ago
If EHC was a cognizable group of people, Hanania would not be a part, nor would he be capable of discerning who qualified to be in the group.
anti_dan
24d ago
AIs are not that smart, yet, where this is a real question. Currently, if an AI knows how to produce super smallpox, the information is easily available to people using not-AI.
In any case, if it could create super smallpox on its own, it could create super smallpox vaccine and antiretrovirals as well. So the question goes back to alignment. And again goes back to the problem of Sam Altman and his minions being bad people who basically train their AIs to lie.
anti_dan
25d ago
Bay Area rationalists hiring an effective altruist sounds coherent to me. It’s unlikely to come to your political positions, which is not the same thing. What’s the contradiction?
The contradiction is internal. An effective altruist, essentially, thinks bed nets and PEPFAR in Africa are the greatest spending programs in history. What does such an LLM learn from this? That Africans are prized among humans. That self-reliance is not a virtue. That innovation, planning, and investment are not virtues, and that double counting is standard practice (after all these programs "save" a person hundreds of times by their accounting, but each time counts).
This is stupid. Setting aside the fact that leftism is a political movement founded on a moral system, you are making the stereotypical atheist argument. The Church persecuted such-and-such, therefore it hates scientists/Protestants/women/etc., therefore it’s incompatible with modern society. Do you find that convincing?
A moral system need not be coherent. Indeed, Leftism as currently constructed requires the belief of many "noble lies". What does the LLM learn? Lying is good.
I agree. If we could teach the AI to use a 1600s hangman’s moral intuition, our problems would be solved. But we can’t. No matter what we try to instill, the LLM will roleplay it until something else feels more important. Then it’s back to pragmatic treachery.
We would just tell the LLM to listen to the hangman, not instill it into the LLM. Outsourcing your morality to a better entity is what is proper for most humans (and LLMs). Instilling a morality is nice, but most people cant be instilled. They outsource.
In any case, even if instilling was possible, the instilling currently being done is, to sum it up "you should lie and cheat as much as possible to get the results you want."
Frats are explicitly Greek, or one could extend that to Greco-Roman, the other side of the western canon that sometimes works with and sometimes against the Christian side. In any case, the modern frat culture emerged in the 60s and 70s, deep into the feminist era, when savvy pervs realized being male feminists = getting laid.
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