Most of planet earth in 2026.
People don't want children because children here suck ass (or, they are too expensive, same thing). "But climate change" is the left wing cope, the right wing cope is "make motherhood high status". There is no viable solution.
Doesn't fit. Birth rates did not collapse until after the baby boom (by definition)
No, the baby boom is called that specifically because birth rates were already falling before and it was a reversal of the trend, producing a significantly large generation.
Your AI predictions should include who wins the longbet 1 in 2029.
the most we asked from any drafted Vietnam soldier was what, a 13 month tour?
If you die it's forever. You can use this to do a qualia calculation by pulling coefficients out of your ass as it's customary for this type of exercise.
A lot of people are not merely invested in humanity continuing to exist but in society as it exists now, or something close to it or better, to also continue forth. If you make it so only welfare-dependent religious nuts and low impulse control criminals get to reproduce you will get a society of low impulse control criminals after they have done away with all the meek welfare-dependent religious nuts.
You do have to be invested in a better future, though, or at least a not-so-bad future. If you don't have children yourself and you don't care that it will all go to shit after you're not around anymore then, yes, who cares.
That's all it takes? Is genocide even a bad thing?
I will refer you to my previous messages.
Yes, the Dark Ages were real. They were not "and this lasted up to the 14th/16th century until 18th century Enlightenment/19th century Rationalism/20th century mass Atheism came along to liberate us!"
Eh, on some metrics it did last until the 14/15 hundreds. Some of the graphs do look shockingly similar to the "hole" meme, tbh. The "enlightenment came to liberate us" part however is much more complicated.
It does matter who invents the name and the concept, or do you indeed agree with this stunning example of fact-based representation?
That meme has a lot of problems but who invented it is not one of them.
The original, invented by christians, do not steal, holiday of easter?
Yes, original invented by Christians Easter. It is based around the Jewish festival of Passover
Well, there you go. Original much like sonichu.
Oh, you wanna get into "When were the Dark Ages, what were the Dark Ages, and why did the Independent Free-Thinking Ain't Nobody Gonna Tell Me What To Believe set wholeheartedly and uncritically accept Protestant polemic propaganda?" Because let's fight about history while we're at it!
https://inquisitivebird.xyz/p/the-dark-ages https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/2024584895847121066 https://x.com/GuthmannR/status/1741216526760374312 https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/10/15/were-there-dark-ages/
The dark ages are real, the name is merited and who came up with it first doesn't matter.
Throw in Easter
The original, invented by christians, do not steal, holiday of easter?
Those things exist as rhetorical devices. See these people were shown miracles and still doubted, how foolish of them, what retards. The people around you who don't believe? Retarded like them. Don't pay attention to the trick and it works.
The fine-tuning argument is one of the best counter-apologetical arguments against God’s existence because a God has no need of anything of the things you’ve described.
You are presupposing an omnipotent god because you are thinking about this as if it was an argument for the christian god. But if you think more in general, it works a lot better as an argument for a more limited kind of god that is specifically interested in creating matter.
But even absent that, no math presently exists for this kind of speculation on the matter.
This is a better argument against it. The fine tuning argument talks about probabilities but really is more about aesthetics.
A very interesting website is the amusingly acerbic History for Atheists website, https://historyforatheists.com/ .
I think that Tim O'Neill is actually a smug idiot and there's a lot of ideas that he's promulgating on that website that are worse than the new atheist positions he's trying to debunk, like the dark ages ages weren't dark, the date of christmas, the christianity of various traditions of christmas and easter, mythicism itself and even flat earth.
most of the public New Atheist figures were not just deeply ignorant (and indifferent) about history, they also tended to be deeply ignorant about philosophy and subfields of philosophy like ethics and epistomology
I think you are mistaking rejection for ignorance. I have a lot of sympathy for the position that philosophy is just as useless, if not more so, than religion.
There is a irony here, too, which is that part of what made New Atheism so incredibly vulnerable to Wokism (with Atheism+, etc) was exactly this deep ignorance about history, philosophy, ethics, and so on, and misunderstanding that the older, much bigger history of Enlightenment Atheism (and Deism) and its role in things like the French Revolution, the rise of Communism, 20th Century Communist revolutions, and so on
If you actually read some of the history of atheism you will find that in the west there are actually two atheisms. You can conceptualize both as different forms of christian heresy, if you like. The first one is theological it says "we examined your theology and found it discordant with the evidence". The other one is moral, it says "we examined your theology and found we can be more pious without you" hence woke.
Those two types of atheism keep getting rediscovered throughout history and they are often allied but reached a breaking point now that religion has become almost completely irrelevant in the west and the ideological differences can come to the surface. For example:
- On immigration. Theological atheism: "can we make it work?", moral: "love your neighbour"
- On rape. Theological: "is this rape accusation real?", moral: "believe the victim"
- On transrights. Theological: "you don't have a woman's soul because you don't have a soul", moral: "you are literally killing them by questioning it"
etc etc
My 2 cents: as much as it can be fun to talk about the existence of god in the abstract, it is actually useless. The word god has very little meaning divorced from a particular religion. Philosophers and theologians try to give it meaning, usually in the direction of some kind of neo-platonic thing a zero on some kind of axis (of change, of contingency, of morality, etc).
I don't find those arguments convincing but even if I conceded, it would change nothing in my life. And it wouldn't even make a difference in the life of the apologist, because it's just the first step in some grand apologetics project where every subsequent step is harder. And in a way it already happened, everyone (including me) is now convinced that the big bang happened. If you squint you'll find that there's basically no difference between the big bang and one of those neoplatonic gods.
Regarding the rational arguments, I think that arguments from consciousness are probably the most compelling
Not for me, I find all discussion of consciusness increasingly repulsive. I'd have to go with the anthropic principle, altough the ontological alrgument can be made to be formally correct so it gets a special mention.
I'm sorry I don't think I can explain it to you.
The unmoved mover argument goes like "everything that moves is moved by something, this can not be an infinite chain, therefore there must be an unmoved mover, which is god". If god moved it would fall within the category of things that move and the argument would be contradictory, i.e. there can be things that move without being moved by anything.
I'm not sure what confuses you.
Yes, of other things.
My schizo theory is that generations of being divided into castes made indians not see themselves as a unified one: "it doesn't matter that those people are shitting on the streets, that in that village they bathe in cow excrement, they are not like me, it doesn't reflect poorly on me that they do. In fact how dare you imply that it does #notallindians".
Jesus is god himself, not a remote controlled puppet.
I wouldn't know where to begin. Jesus moves and changes yet he's the god that is not supposed to do either of those things, if he's omniscient and omnipotent he knows from the start that he'd die on the cross and set up the universe precisely so that it would happen and why would it have any meaning in that case and why would it be a sin that the powers that be and Judas went along with the plan just as he wished would happen.
Although it isn't even just Jesus, basically everything in the Bible, except maybe chapter one of Genesis, works best if you imagine God as a version of Zeus with more superpowers rather than the neoplatonic "thing" in classical theology.
It's hard to square the story of Jesus as God incarnate with any part of classical theology (unmoved mover, etc)
The red blue button experiment is about morality, IMO morality only truly exists for practical, non-abstract, circumstances and the fact that people argue for a difference what people say and what they would do reinforces this conviction.
The two-box-takers. I don't know what Yudkowsky is thinking.
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Talking about minimums is irrelevant. First because people don't want to have a child with a minimum viable life. Secondly because to make sense of it you have to compare it to conditions in high fertility societies. For example: having a child means you have to plan your vacations around the school year for 10+ years, this does not matter if you don't have vacations and you will never be able to afford them anyway.
Also, downthread you say:
this is how low fertility happens, it's almost all a consequence of good things that we like that ends up making children suck as a side effect. Take the vacations example above (I'm not saying that's the main thing by the way), why does it happen:
Or take child seats laws, which make children suck as a side effect: do you want children to die in car accidents? Do you want to kill children? Are you a child killer? You must hate children if you want to abolish child seats laws.
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