Tomato
6mo ago
There’s a saying I’m paraphrasing that I think is basically right,
Black Bear is fine unless you startle a mom with cubs
If a brown bear sees you it’s too late
If you see a polar bear it’s too late
Tomato
6mo ago
Kelce is a Super Bowl champion, charismatic, good looking, talented, and interesting to a lot of people because he’s dating the most famous woman in the history of the world. It don’t think it’s anything besides that.
Tomato
6mo ago
My Korean wife seems 100% unaware of this but in her defense she spends most of her online time-wasting reading about domestic drama on a Korean coupon-clipping forum and a Korean credit card churning forum.
Tomato
6mo ago
And even the people who have success there (according to whatever their definition of that is), both men and women, regard it as a necessary evil.
It's no wonder men and women hate each other: they know each other only through the adversarial, hierarchical, soul-destroying apps.
I may be an extreme outlier in this but I’ve met, hooked up with, and dated a lot of women (and eventually married one) from dating apps and both me and the women I met for the most part regarded the experience as fun and rewarding. I’m close friends with a couple of my former partners and we’re all happy about it. It was not appreciably worse than meeting women in person. This was mostly in the Bay Area so maybe it’s an unrepresentative market for how good online dating is/bad in person dating is. I’d be happy to keep hooking up with bumble chicks if I hadn’t met my wife.
Tomato
6mo ago
vast difference between 'fax machine' and people doing research being able to access practically everything interesting that's ever been written.
One would think so but it doesn’t show up in aggregate productivity unless you really really squint.
At least with software development internet enabled cooperation increases productivity by a big factor.
Maybe, but see above.
Tomato
6mo ago
What exactly are you looking for?
Something to be appreciably different in people’s lives that’s attributable to AI. For an extremely small subset of people I don’t doubt that their workflow has changed a lot but there’s not much else to point to.
Tomato
6mo ago
Krugman was right about the Internet at least in terms of aggregate productivity/gdp growth. It’s true that we switched dramatically from using red widgets to blue widgets to do basic communication tasks but sort of so what.
Tomato
6mo ago
Related, how long do I have to wait before I can start calling LLMs a nothing burger? Everything that has come out of it seems so small and near-pointless. Marginal productivity increases at best. When does the fun stuff start happening?
Tomato
7mo ago
Unless the ideology is merely that ugliness is desirable.
This has been a conspiracy theory on the right for a while. “They” are trying to demoralize you by insisting that ugly things (architecture, art, music, people) are beautiful. Very common /pol/ thread topic. Also comes up whenever female video game protagonists are mid. I don’t quite understand the objective or mechanism here but this is a very mainstream claim among that crowd.
IB analyst/associate is a fake job to give 22 year olds a few years to learn some basic professionalism and finance skills. After a few years of polishing they move on to a somewhat more real job (real in the sense that they’re doing something with real-world consequences, not necessarily socially useful) like PE or more senior banker.
Banks provide this training for various reasons discussed downthread but it’s not surprising that as revenue decreases they start cutting back. They don’t want to announce to clients that they’ve been charging them to train Harvard grads with fancy finance jobs for even fancier finance jobs all this time, so instead they pretend it’s about AI. I am skeptical that LLMs are actually good at doing what junior bankers do, rather, what junior bankers do is close to pointless.
So I'd like people with more domain knowledge to weigh in on what aspects of these financial jobs are liable to be automated today and what the forecast for the field is like.
The classic IB/PE role/career track will definitely survive. I don’t think AI/LLM is very relevant to what a more senior person does. Junior roles are cyclical (related to the state of the economy, not AI developments). Back-office or support-type roles like IT will probably be most impacted for the same reason that these kinds of roles will be impacted economy-wide.
Tomato
7mo ago
Fortunately none of them were raped, but it goes way beyond the MRA strawman of “trying to flirt while being unattractive.”
Tomato
7mo ago
it doesn’t reach the men it’s supposed to reach, and only reaches men who don’t need feminist messages in the first place
This is asserted a lot in spaces like this with a kind of nerd-smugness but I don’t think it’s true. Why would one expect the proverbially socially adept frat bro who never heard of /ssc/ to have worse social awareness than the only-rarely-interacts-with-women loser who receives this messaging? My Bay Area female friends/fwbs/hookups/etc have showed me plenty of receipts from respectable seeming nerds who very clearly need some social education.
Having commuted past the rival Palestine and Israel protest tents for most of their existence, I can say that the account in this story is hilariously overwrought and overdramatized.
Many people are anti Zionist to some degree. It’s not an extreme view. I guess if you’ve grown up in a particular bubble this might come as a shock to you as you enter the real world.
Tomato
8mo ago
shadowstats
For anyone reading this be aware that shadowstats is extremely fake and gay.
https://www.fullstackeconomics.com/p/no-the-real-inflation-rate-isnt-14-percent
Tomato
8mo ago
I saw some statistics lately suggesting that the vast bulk of job growth has been for recent immigrants. American citizens are actually experiencing a mild job loss. I'd wanted to write a top-level about it, but I had no computer at hand.
This stat is pushed around in various right-wing and conspiratorial circles online but it is fully explained by the fact that natives are older than immigrants and are aging out of the workforce. Unemployment among prime working age native adults is near historic lows and their workforce participation rates are very high.
Tomato
8mo ago
Real incomes for the lowest earners have risen much faster than real incomes for higher earners. Higher earners are noticing that the cheap servant they used to pay to deliver their doordash is earning more money.
Tomato
8mo ago
You can’t borrow real things from the future, and when people are discussing the economy being good they are talking about real consumption, investment, etc.
Tomato
8mo ago
I’m 40. If you denominate those prices in hours worked you should be much better off, unless you are facing a major and unusual skill issue.
Tomato
8mo ago
This comment kind of perfectly encapsulates what I’m saying. Everything you’re saying about the state of the economy, for example, is just wrong and easily disprovable from tons of independent data sources.
Tomato
8mo ago
As a dirty dozen but not politically obsessed elite, I unironically believe most voters are just uninformed and not really equipped to think about certain important issues like climate change or immigration. The typical voter can’t articulate what an externality is or reliably identify one in nature. The typical voter has empirically incorrect ideas about immigration and its connection to crime and the economy. I’m not in the politically obsessed “we should cheat at elections” camp but I do firmly believe the current US government is doing an outstanding job all things considered and people who disagree either have incoherent ideas about what’s going on or are politically motivated and think that because Trump isn’t president, the economy must be bad. I think Biden is old but I don’t care because the deep state is benign and competent, so I hope he and his crew win.
Tomato
8mo ago
What happens when the whining is so intense that it actually distorts people's perception of reality?
Have you considered that you’re affected by the same thing? Honestly everything you wrote sounds like a really unhinged rightoid conspiracy theory to me. Maybe this is just evidence that everyone’s brain is broken.
Tomato
8mo ago
It feels like the left, or at least the leftists in my life, are taking an infantile tactic: we better win or we'll whine and complain for 4 years.
From my position as a moderately liberal griller this sounds like exactly what the right did after Trump lost: whining about stolen elections, utterly and embarrassingly paralyzing Congress, leading half the country into a fact-free conspiracy fantasy land, and so on.
Scott was absolutely correct here in how it played out.
?? Biden has been extremely moderate and a bunch of far left cultural elements seem to be coming to heel. What’s going on in the movie you’re watching?
Tomato
9mo ago
I think you visit cities incorrectly. Before I was married my trick was to go on a dating app and arrange a couple dates with locals. You’ll meet in some real neighborhood, go to a nice bar, see where people actually live, and get laid if you play your cards right. The last time I was in Seattle, a bit post pandemic, I had a really fabulous time. Lovely city, lovely people.
Same in SF, same in LA, same in San Diego.
Tomato
10mo ago
Are modern women just that impulsive when feeling unhappy in a marriage? Or misled? Do they have illusions about singlehood?
Why isn’t the most direct explanation—that many women are unhappy in their marriages and leave because of that—on the table?
Everyone who bothered to chime in seemed to agree with the notion that divorce is usually a net negative for the wife, both romantically and economically
I don’t really understand how one can objectively rule out that they were really unhappy in the marriage and are happier outside of it, even though they’re poorer or have fewer partners or whatever afterwards.
Tbh this kind of sounds like an MRA revenge fantasy. I’m sure that women (and men) probably overestimate their out-of-marriage prospects a bit, which would lead to “too many” divorces, but most people also have a really strong “make it work” determination that probably counterbalances this somewhat.
It's literally a coupon clipping/deal-searching forum but there seem to be a lot of unrelated dramatic threads. I don't speak korean so I have no idea.
https://www.missycoupons.com/
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