TIRM
1mo ago
I so enormously doubt "everything better and cheaper". But some things sure.
Machine looms and mechanized agriculture have put almost everyone out of their jobs. A large majority of people used to work in agriculture or cloth making. It was a black hole for labor and human effort.
And yet now clothing and food are extremely cheap and I have a job. Not a job growing food or working a loom. But a job.
If AI does some things better and cheaper then great news, prices are going to get cheaper. That's a good thing. I hope things that are very expensive to me are very cheap for future generations. Like clothing for us vs pre-industral revolution.
TIRM
1mo ago
"You shouldn't get to have a decision on AI development unless you have young children"
Okay. I'm a father. Full steam ahead I say. I graciously donate my "I'm straight and have functioning sperm" vote to Sam Altman.
TIRM
1mo ago
In 2018, the Bureau of Justice Statistics reported that among defendants charged with a felony, 68% were convicted (59% of a felony and the remainder of a misdemeanor) with felony conviction rates highest for defendants originally charged with motor vehicle theft (74%), driving-related offenses (73%), murder (70%), burglary (69%), and drug trafficking (67%); and lowest for defendants originally charged with assault (45%).
Federal prosecutors only go to trial when they are really confident, so their conviction rate is higher.
Japanese prosecutors ask the judges to declare guilt and they almost always declare guilt.
TIRM
1mo ago
Japanese people are thin and healthy, in comparison to Americans. But no amount of importing Japanese doctors or hospital systems would improve Americans.
My understanding of the Japanese justice system is that it is indistinguishable from railroading and I have no reason to think it accurately discriminates between guilty and innocent. Their conviction rate exceeds 99% and most prosecutors never lose a case.
I consider that failure to run a valid criminal justice system and certainly don't want it in America. Yeah let's lock up more people and longer. But give them the option of trial by jury with an adequate defense in order to minimize the most egregious false conviction of innocent people.
TIRM
1mo ago
Indeed.
As of January 2024, the average annual cost to house a prisoner in California was $132,860
So these prisoners toiling under the lash had better all be full time employed professional workers for the labor camp to break even.
2022 clearance rate
Murder and manslaughter 52.3%
Motor vehicle theft 9.3%
Aggravated assault 41.4%
Rape 26.1%
Robbery 23.2%
Don't be in the bottom half of murderers or bottom quarter of rapists and you'll probably get away with it.
TIRM
1mo ago
Japan has an inquisitorial justice system. From my understanding: a member of Japanese law enforcement decides someone is guilty and then that person is railroaded. No need for juries or any chance the judge will side with a defendant.
TIRM
1mo ago
why skinny people find it just as hard to gain weight
But no. Lift according to a good program and track your macros. You'll put on weight. It will happen.
TIRM
1mo ago
That blood sugar level spike is the glycemic index. I believe most people would benefit by eating more foods that are lower glycemic index. Which approximates to the obvious advice of avoiding simple carbs, but with some counterintuitive foods that are surprisingly high or low. Sweet fruits that don't spike your blood sugar that much, etc.
That blood sugar spike and following crash is not good for our moods or satiation. And also makes your body release lots of insulin.
And I hope this is real rather than yet another fake understanding of nutrition from the raggedy and untrustworthy discipline of nutrition science.
TIRM
1mo ago
“Will every one of those anomalies turn out to be an unmarked grave? Obviously not,” Mr. Lametti, a former law professor now practicing law in Montreal, said. “But there’s enough preponderant evidence already that is compelling.”
And then the obvious response of "come back to us when one of these ground penetrating radar discovered mass graves turns out to be real, when the success rate exceeds 0%".
TIRM
1mo ago
In crude base reality I live in a solidly blue state. But in spirit I feel I truly inhabit Pennsylvania or whichever state affords me greatest likely impact on the election.
TIRM
2mo ago
Fictional lolicon gets people arrested in the US? I think generally not. I see 9 cases since 2008, mostly involving people who also had real child porn which is how they wound up in court. Your average "16 year old furry comic" enjoyer shouldn't fear prosecution even if it is hypothetically possible. But sure, it is more than zero getting busted.
TIRM
2mo ago
Are you a desperately poor 3rd worlder or something? Where does this opinion come from? And where do you store your food if not the pantry?
TIRM
2mo ago
I met one renamed "Lilith".
Edit: Someone below also mentions Liliths. I didn't know that was a thing.
I have no reason to think "out and proud" people or furries are any more likely to sell secrets to the Russians or leak them on the internet.
being Out and Proud is fundamentally at odds with having enough self control to shut the fuck up
I have absolutely no reason to think this is a true statement. In the absence of compelling evidence I'm going to continue to think that OPM just generally doesn't like icky sorts of people like this furry porn guy. Not that liking Pride and "out and proud" has any correlation with leaking secrets.
This guy is right to take them to court. I'm not faulting him for getting screwed by a Federal bureaucrat and going to court. If they don't like that they can make the lifestyle polygraph focused on actual blackmailability rather than unrelated society conservative disapproval of porn and gay sex, as they traditionally have.
It harms national security to have OPM deny people based on bogus reasons, like being gay in 1994 or earlier. There is a responsibility on OPM's part to correctly deny blackmail vulnerable people and not incorrectly deny people they just like. I don't think they do a great job at this. That comes at a real price.
TIRM
2mo ago
The national security concern is blackmailability. You can't be blackmailed for what you openly do. So that's a fake reason.
I think the real reason is OPM doesn't want to give security clearances to icky people. Like homosexuals in the early 90s or people who admit to jerking it to furry porn today. And back in the early 90s openly gay people complained that the blackmail excuse didn't make sense since it isn't a secret that they're gay.
I would like national security to be correctly prioritized. And I'm skeptical that filtering out icky gays and furries is actually pursuing that goal. Especially when the given justifications are obviously false. But I also don't suppose an Executive Order 12968 but for shota furry enthusiasts is likely to be signed anytime soon.
TIRM
2mo ago
Also small drones used to ram other incoming drones. Like what Anduril is making.
TIRM
2mo ago
Security clearance depends on a low blackmail attack surface
That's the excuse yes. But open proud people are also denied. So there's an unrelated aspect of disapproving schoolmarm-ism that doesn't contribute to their goal even according to their justifications, but they like being this way so they do it.
TIRM
2mo ago
Split keyboard. I think holding my hands close together like on a regular keyboard was hurting my upper back.
your limiting factor is weight (often the case) aluminium is the best
I didn't think about that. That's actually a good point.
"With enough layers" would be the key. Not merely wrapping with a bit of overlap, which I think the typical person would mistakenly do. Multiple layers offset or wrapped in different directions. And having a DC path to ground would defeat charge buildup.
I my work I seal things correctly by putting copper tape over the cracks and joints. 3M sells it. The conductive adhesive is only good for one or maybe two sticks though. EMI shielding goes to shit if the tape is even slightly lifted or the adhesive not quite sticking on well.
And also bare metal boxes with EMI gaskets. Which if you really wanted to shield your stuff you should use.
TIRM
2mo ago
The security guards at my work all carry walkie talkies. I can't badge past a door without someone with a walkie talkie strapped to their belt watching me. I see walkie talkies a hundred times a day.
TIRM
2mo ago
That just moves the supply chain attack from the OEM to the second battery supplier. Now you get to carefully inspect those batteries for hidden modifications.
TIRM
2mo ago
I get that encasing something in aluminum with no gaps would shield it. Aluminum is the fourth most conducive metal and a good shielding design made out of aluminum would work.
But merely wrapping something in aluminum foil would leave small gaps that I think would defeat the shield. I get that you'd overlap the aluminum layers and not have large gaping holes, but I don't think that's good shielding. I sometimes deal with EMI issues at work and it is much harder than you'd think to shield parts. "Wrap it in foil" is not a clear path to success. I have literally seen parts wrapped in foil in misguided attempts to shield them. They were really quite leaky from an EMI point of view. "Put it in a metal enclosure whose lids or openings are sealed with metal EMI gaskets" is what actually works.
I think if the typical person tried shielding a radio with aluminum foil, they would screw it up.
Sure. And at that point we are discussing hypothetical scifi futures. Like in Accelerando when the Hello Kitty artificial intelligence explains to newly created people that things like monster trucks are free and they can have as many as they want.
But I'm not very concerned about all human labor being made irrelevant soon. Maybe some portion of it. And that won't be very conformable for some people. Like English clothing makers when machine looms were first made. A hard time, but society did not collapse or suffer permanent unemployment. They only had to slaughter a small number of people to stop them from destroying clothing factories. And clothes are now a tiny fraction of the cost. I'd say a clear net good. I'm hoping when HR drones are replaced with software we can figure out how to deal with them more peacefully than British soldiers dealt with Luddites. I have been told that Excel put most accountants out of business and we navigated that without bloodshed and social upheaval.
More options
Context Copy link