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SfgouAdS


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				

				
				
				

				

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				Culture War Roundup for the week of February 14, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Glenn and John have responded to Radley Balko, who has been attempting to discredit the documentary The Fall of Minneapolis. Balko has thus far written two articles, [1] and [2], and a third is planned. Balko has an obnoxious writing style, so I made a summary of the main arguments with the help of ChatGPT (free version):




    

  1. Misrepresentation of Training Techniques: The article criticizes Coleman Hughes and TFOM for misrepresenting the Minneapolis Police Department's training techniques. They argue that Chauvin's actions deviated significantly from the authorized Maximal Restraint Technique (MRT) and were not in line with department policy.
    2. 

  2. Chauvin's Use of Force: Chauvin's use of force on Floyd is characterized as not merely a departure from policy but as callous disregard for human life. The article contends that Chauvin's failure to adhere to training protocols and heed warnings about positional asphyxia directly contributed to Floyd's death.
    3. 

  3. Misleading Interpretation of Testimonies: Hughes and TFOM are accused of distorting testimonies from MPD officials to suggest that MRT justified Chauvin's actions. The documentary allegedly manipulates statements from officers to fit its narrative, ignoring crucial context about the nature and limitations of MRT.
    4. 

  4. Disputed Presentation of Evidence: The article challenges the assertion that Chauvin was trained in the specific technique depicted in a training slide. It argues that Chauvin's defense failed to establish the relevance of the slide during the trial, and subsequent appeals courts rejected the argument that its exclusion prejudiced Chauvin.
    5. 

  5. Implications for Chauvin's Conviction: Despite attempts to portray Chauvin's actions as justifiable based on training, the article contends that the evidence presented at trial demonstrated Chauvin's failure to follow departmental guidelines, leading to an unjustified use of force resulting in Floyd's death.
    6. 

  6. Medical Examiner's Statements: Dr. Andrew Baker's early comments to prosecutors stirred controversy, with critics questioning his objectivity. However, interpretations of his remarks vary, with some suggesting he was transparent but cautious, while others believe he may have been influenced by bias.
    7. 

  7. Expert Witnesses: The near-consensus among medical experts was that Chauvin's actions caused Floyd's death, with the defense's lone witness facing skepticism due to past controversies.
    8. 

  8. Floyd's Drug Use: The article explains that Floyd's drug tolerance as a longtime user might have masked the severity of the drugs in his system. Expert testimony from specialists and forensic pathologists presented during Chauvin's trial further refuted the notion that Floyd's behavior was consistent with a drug overdose, as he exhibited energy and was mobile prior to his encounter with the police.
    9. 





In previous videos, Glenn and John reacted to TFOM and interviewed the filmmakers. I'm sure none of this is news to many people here. I'm hoping to elicit some discussion and also to check my understanding of what happened when Floyd died. My current thinking is:


    

  • 

    Chauvin's actions that day, while not sanctioned in the training manual, were perhaps not unusual within the MPD. I strongly suspect that he kept Floyd in that position simply because it had worked for him in the past and he hadn't been corrected.
    

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  • 

    With high confidence, Chauvin meaningfully contributed to Floyd's death.
    

    • 

  • 

    Floyd's drug use, including any drugs he may have taken immediately prior to his death, probably made him more fragile than he otherwise would have been, but I find it unlikely that the drugs alone alone killed him.
    

    • 

  • 

    I find it implausible that any of the officers acted with malice.
    

    • 

  • 

    Convicting Chauvin of manslaughter or second degree unintentional murder, but not third degree murder, would have made more sense.
    

    • 



There was a Metaculus question for the Chauvin trial. At the time, the community was divided on whether he would be convicted of anything. This gives us a sense of how surprising the reaction to Floyd's death was. Have we been able to make sense of it since then? Decades from now, will anybody care? Or will none of it matter in the grand scheme of things, especially compared to the pandemic?


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of January 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
A different model solves this. If you treat the proportion of greeblic bloxors as an unknown parameter, then assign a prior to that parameter, you can have both


    

  1. 

    a single bloxor has a 50% chance of being greeblic
    

    2. 

  2. 

    the chance of 70/100 bloxors being greeblic is not negligible
    

    3. 



This works because the bloxors are no longer independent; they are related through the proportion parameter. Observing one bloxor would change your belief about the parameter, and thus about the other bloxors.