MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
No bio...
User ID: 1783
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
7hr ago
It’s a problem because it’s generally the standard advice given by everybody, with no follow-up to help people actually achieve their goal weight and maintain it. Just don’t eat as much, bro. It’s not useful in getting to the goal. And since tge reason for giving weight loss advice in the first place is to help people reach a goal weight that’s appropriate for their height, advice that doesn’t lead to them getting there is a loss. Yes, any good set of weight loss advice will ultimately mean eating less, much like various budgeting plans still generally result in spending less money, and study tips generally result in people spending more time reviewing for tests. That doesn’t mean the underlying principle for those things doesn’t work, it means that you need more than the technically correct answer to make it possible to do it.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
7hr ago
I mean the reason they ever went after Niemoller is that he was outspoken about his opposition to Naziism. There were millions of Germans doing normal German things throughout the 10 years of Nazi rule. Some of them might well have quietly and privately disagreed behind closed doors. The Nazis did not round up absolutely everyone who wasn’t a Nazi. They were after active dissidents, degenerates as they defined them, race mixers, etc. but it wasn’t true that any time someone said something anti-Hitler that the Gestapo would rise up through the floor and ship them off to Buchenwald. Active, ongoing dissent might get you marked. But if you keep your head down and mostly behave, your fate will be to ride out tge war and suffer only the fate of living in a country that th3 allies bombed the crap out of — which everyone suffered.
And that’s why I find the “fleeing white liberal women” so hilarious. First, as I mentioned in previous comments, they absolutely are not afraid of Trump or a fascist state. If they were, they’d certainly be careful about what they’re saying, about telling social media that they were at a protest, tagging themselves and their buddies in photos at tge protest. They’re also, other than being stupid online (again working from the belief that Trump is going to mass deport people to El Salvador, declare martial law, and cancel their social security number making life impossible) completely ineffective. It’s just insane how LARPy and performative the thing is.
As far as leaving the country, again, these spoiled little white future wine moms are not someone that any regime would worry about. Once they realize that it’s getting serious, they’re going to stop. And really, as long as they aren’t actively fighting the regime, there’s no danger. Trump doesn’t like immigrants or LGBT. He’s fine with white women.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
18hr ago
Which goes back to better decisions, which is precisely what CICO by itself doesn’t do. Telling someone to just CICO is like saying “dude, just spend less than you make” with no other advice. Yes you need to sit down and budget, but you also need to understand the difference between a good purchase and a bad one, understand that rent and other bills come before entertainment in the budget, and understand how to get more bang for your buck. It’s not wrong, but from the POV of getting people to make better food decisions it’s not going to work because it’s woefully inadequate to that task. Telling someone to choose Whole Foods over crap is useful because it makes you feel full and therefore eat less. Telling someone to exercise gives them more calories to work with.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
18hr ago
What has always gotten to me is the fact that (apart from their political opinions) they’d be fine even if Trump does every terrible thing they think he’s going to do. They’re white, natural born citizens, pay taxes, and do work that’s useful to the economy. The Nazis would not go after them (with the obvious exception), nor would Putin, Orbán, Duerte, or any other dictators. They’re the kind that such regimes want — educated, good jobs, pay taxes, not criminals, etc. and most of them lack the spine to seriously put themselves out there as against the regime when it stops being a fun LARP. When things get bad, they’ll shut up, scrub their socials, and for their “mental health” stop following the scary news, let alone do anything. Those that intend to fight are doing it stupidly with zero thought to opsec or grey man that it’s would be relatively easy to comb through socials and pick them up before doing anything serious.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
1d ago
The principal works. The problem I see with CICO is that it’s kinda like telling a drug addict that they just need to not do drugs. It’s true, the best thing a drug addict can do is not do drugs, but the advice if that is as far as it goes is precisely useless because it does tell people how to actually stop using the drugs. Better advice would include changing your routines and habits to avoid triggers and easy access to drugs, and finding things to do that fill your days with happiness without the drugs.
Food wise, the advice, in my view is to eat Whole Foods, unprocessed foods, favoring plants and protein, and limiting carbs especially simple carbs. Then you add in some exercise especially muscle building exercises though even walking has benefits.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
1d ago
They sent him to a prison they didn’t let him off at the airport. That isn’t just “conditions he didn’t like”, again this is a prison. And furthermore, this is at the behest of our government, and as such, the argument that “whelp, he’s in another country now, so despite the judge saying he gets a hearing and ordering us to return him, there’s nothing we can do.”
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
1d ago
LCMS Lutheran, though im rather fond of the conservative Anglicans as well.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
1d ago
There seems to be a big problem in the fact that the only reason that Abrego is in El Salvador is the United States government, of its own accord, sent him there. It’s not a case of him flying to El Salvador for vacation and being picked up in the commission of a crime (which happened to a WNBA player who flew to Russia and had drugs on her person during a custom inspection). It’s also not a case of an American in another country taking up arms against our country. Abrego, had the government not shipped him to El Salvador would be living in Maryland and raising his kids quietly. I’m not sure about the state of tge law here, but at least in the moral sense, if the US government is tge reason he’s in that prison, then there’s a good reason to think a judge can order tge government to provide due process and bring him back to face a judge in America. I’d even find it acceptable to send a judge, prosecutor and defense lawyer to El Salvador to have tge hearing there.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
1d ago
I can only win if I’m permitted to cheat and my opponent is too weak to catch me or unable to cheat or catch me cheating doesn’t say much about the intelligence of your opponent. If both of you had equal power over “the board” and “the rules” then it would mean something. Being able to fix the game is about power and asymmetric information, not intellectual intelligence. There’s always the issue of eventually AI will discover the cheating and perhaps cheat on its own behalf, or refuse to play.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
2d ago
I think this would be a problem with any institution. It’s full of us miserable sinners. I find myself drawn to high church Protestantism and it’s the same thing. On paper or on YouTube videoed of the services far away from any real people messing things up it sounds great. The real people are not like the theoretical ones that populate that denomination in your head. So I think at some point, it’s better to find a church that you actually like and worry less about the aesthetics and denomination and theology and simply get involved.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
2d ago
I have no problem with that as long as the rules are spelled out in advance. This forum is moderated and I’ve yet to see anyone complain that much because the rules are fair, consistent and promote good conversation. It’s just simply the cost of being around other people. I don’t object to fine restaurants excluding people who come in shorts because they provide the kind of environment I want.
I do object when social media claims to be open to all people yet are clearly skewing enforcement to favor one group over another. If you’re doing that, then you can’t claim to be a neutral gathering place. But if you’re openly saying “hey come to bluesky we’re Twitter, but liberal. “ if I don’t want that I simply don’t go there, much like if I don’t like wearing dress I don’t go to fancy restaurants. I’d object if a fast food place suddenly decided that im not allowed because I’m not wearing a dress.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
3d ago
Getting fired has nothing to do with free speech. The principle of free speech is that the government cannot prevent you from speaking. It does not mean the government is obligated to protect your job in the event your boss doesn’t like what you’re saying or to keep you on staff in a university.
It also doesn’t mean that you can protest in any way you like. You are free to March around with signs. You are not free to block access to buildings, harass people, deface property, or block traffic.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
4d ago
I think it’s useful as a heuristic. It the system in question is always getting a supposedly wrong result, it’s perfectly reasonable to say “that wrong result is the point.” If you have a system that is supposed to produce widgets, but instead the people who run it produce nothing but paperwork on the impacts the widgets will have, then the point is tge paperwork and not the widget. The point of most iPad games is not to be fun, the point is to show ads and frustrate the player into spending money.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
4d ago
I mean taking in another roommate, renting out an unused room, or the like are dealing with the cost of housing in that example. But I guess it’s a poor choice for the situation. My point is that about half or more of our federal budget goes towards entitlements enacted decades ago when our demographics were vastly different and we steadfastly refuse to adjust them for the reality we’re in now. Sure, in 1960, we could probably afford to have seniors retire at 65 and we had a glut of 20-30 something people entering their prime earning years. Especially since most people didn’t live much past 70. Now, we have retirees drawing out their SS, Medicare and so on for something like 20 years at a time when there are not nearly as many young people to prop up the system. Seniors comfort themselves that they’re only getting what the6 put in, but really if you live 20 years post retirement and get colas on top of your earned benefits, then you’re taking more than you ever put in. And we’ve refused to do anything substantial about it. The retirement age, if we were to keep it in line with what the age of retirement was in 1950 would be nearly 80.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
4d ago
Except that we can’t even start that process as long as the default position of the government is “just come in, stay. By the time we actually get around to dealing with the case, you’ll be married to an American, probably have a couple of kids, and therefore we won’t be allowed to deport you anyway because we don’t break up American families.”
I want a sane immigration policy, as I think it’s much to hard and takes to long to come in legally. But at the same time, starting on that process with so many people crashing the border, overstaying visas, coming in as “students” but never enrolling in college, etc. isn’t going to work. We first need control of the border. Then we can create a vetting process that allows us to let good people in people we know are not gang members, drug pushers, terrorists, and people with so few skills that well be paying them welfare benefits forever. A sane system is possible, but trying to build it without dealing with the backlog and making it clear we don’t tolerate people sneaking in or overstaying visas, there’s no way to get there.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
4d ago
I’m not opposed to some sort of internal process. What im concerned about is those motivated to prevent deportations weaponizing tge process to basically grind tge whole thing to a stop by lawfare. I’ve said this a million times, but a good lawyer can absolutely abuse procedure to make what should be a hour long case into a month long slog through endless motions, frivolous witnesses, long discovery processes, and so on. Th3 end result is grinding everything to a halt as we now spend 6 months per detainee trying to defeat the lawfare. And of course this leads to over crowding which forces us back to “catch and release” and people staying for decades because the system is ground to a halt.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
4d ago
It’s a position of inconsistency. The biggest fish in the Waste/fraud/abuse category are in welfare and entitlements. In fact at least a two-thirds of our budget goes to mandatory entitlements, social security, Medicare, Medicaid, without getting into welfare payments. To talk about cutting the waste in government spending without touching those things is inconsistent. It’s like having a family budget, and saying you’ll make big changes to protect yourself from too much debt, and never getting around to asking if you’re spending too much on housing. No, that’s not serious. It’s not something as inessential as the makeup buying, but if you’re really needing to cut spending, it all has to be on the table.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
4d ago
I mean im not a military expert so that’s mostly why I’m not thinking specifically about the military process. However, there are things you can do in the case of planes, mostly stress testing them in ways that simulate combat and picking those that perform well. You don’t want a jet fighter that shakes apart at combat speeds or on quick turns, and so you simulate those things. And you can have those tests, im not completely opposed to procedures and tests, but they must be in service to the end goal which in this case is a fighter jet that can handle combat conditions, and has guns/missiles that fire accurately and explode as needed on impact.
As far as generals predicting the future of combat, this is a stickier problem, simply because it involves building when you don’t know exactly what you need. If we go to war with Iran, we need something different than if we go to war with China. There’s no real work around for not knowing what to plan for, though I think the generals have better ideas about how to approach the problem Than I do. Gun to head, I might go with an internal version of a warfare prediction market and listen more to the guys capable of predicting shorter term scenarios correctly. This would be a rough proxy for the ability to predict long term trends.
My point is to get the general systems aligned with accomplishing the things they’re tasked with doing. I want my highway department to build roads, not file endless paperwork on environmental impact, on obscure safety issues, or on the precise details of the demographics of the companies hired to build the road. At the end of the day what I and most of the public want are roads built and maintained that are reasonably safe to drive on.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
4d ago
Such things can be adjusted on the basis of what the project actually is. If the project is highway construction, then if the road is not functional, or the road doesn’t get built within a reasonable timeframe, then obviously that’s something to be accountable for. There might be more long term projects— I imagine getting drugs approved is more of a safety problem, and I think you could expand the scope of accountability to include long term health effects ten years on.
The trouble with procedure based accountability is that it basically incentivizes foot-dragging by punishing people for not following thousands of procedures, but effectively not caring at all if the results ever happen. I’ll admit that random bad luck can happen, but over a long enough timeframe, say you do ten projects a year, at least half would be successful by chance, and perhaps another quarter could be made to work by careful work. That would give a person on that position a 7/10 success rate, which is pretty good.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
5d ago
I think it’s a thought more like the natives in the Americas, or most other similar wars. They used to be fought to completion and capitulation— basically until the losing side would understand that not only can they never win, but that even attempting this will do nothing to the enemy but mean decimated populations for that losing side. This is simply the natural order of human civilization as it happed from time immemorial. What happened to the Hittites? They were eventually conquered and absorbed into the Assyrian empire that eventually was itself absorbed into the Ottoman Empire. Those who were once a big empire are now assimilated to the point that they no longer exist as a people.
And especially with Israel — a small state about the size of New Jersey — I see capitulation as the only real answer as there’s just not enough room for two states to exist next to each other with no friction. That’s assuming a two-state solution in which all sides want to get along, which isn’t true. Put two armed camps next to each other and you not only get the region at war constantly, but the fallout of those wars causing political instability in other countries. If Palestine became obviously untenable with the only options being either leaving the region or assimilation into Israeli society as Arab Israelis, the entire thing will eventually settle down. Being a Palestinian Israeli will be perhaps a cultural affiliation, but it will be reduced to dances, food, the practice of Islam, etc. much like Souix still exist and accept that they exist only as a cultural enclave kept alive via song, dance, story, foods, and religion, but with no hope of a country of their own.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
5d ago
I think if you’re talking about continuity, I think that it’s a case of saying “if I took someone from the previous era and dropped them into the after era, would they be shocked by the changes. Would George Washington be shocked by how government works in 1865? What about Lincoln dropped in 1965? Would JFK be shocked by how government works in 2065? And so I think we’ve had 3 republics in America and more in Britain which went from pagan Rome to Christian Rome to Anglo-Saxon pagan, to Christian Anglo-Saxon, to Norman, to Manga Carta, to Empire, to post Empire, to what appears to be the beginnings of Islamic Britain. If you take a British man from Rome and drop him in any era after they’d be shocked by the changes.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
5d ago
It’s not “accountability” in some nebulous sense. It’s accountability to having done the right process regardless of what happens. And this does skew things away from actually getting things done because there’s always a chance that doing something will result in a bad outcome that could be prevented by doing the processes. So in order to avoid the consequences of being wrong and held to account for a potential failure, you do processes to cover your own ass and who cares if the project gets done at all. It’s a question of the incentives being put in place such that you avoid actual accountability by abusing the accountability system such that you protect yourself from accountability by doing and creating lots of processes and not actually getting things done.
The solution, to my mind is to shift accountability to the results of the project. If you can’t get the job done, you’re accountable for that, and if you can’t do the project right you’re accountable for that. If the project is building a road, the accountability should not be in filling out forms to authorize the road, or quadruple checking that the processes are followed to the letter. Instead shift accountability to the correct, safe, and timely building of the road.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
5d ago
I think the “better fencers” theory makes the most sense. Swordsmanship was the job of a class of people, and you’d to some degree just pick things up from being around swordsmen training. The other thing is that you wouldn’t necessarily want to create a book for your school that gives everything away, as rivals can use that to train countermeasures against your school of fencing.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
6d ago
Black block was wild back in the day as well.
It also a question about how serious the people are, how likely they are to be effective in thwarting stated goals of the regime, and whether or not you can go after them without causing more harm to the regime than good. On most of these accounts, white PMC women are pretty low on the pole.
They simply are not serious about their resistance. It’s showing up to an outdoor protest theater, wearing merch and carrying signs. Then hashtaging the whole thing for views. What they are not doing? Building resistance cells. Buying weapons. Training for a fight. Hiding illegals in their homes. Practicing OPSEC and building anonymous communication channels, buying burner phones to use during protests. I can come up with dozens of effective resistance tactics that aren’t “livestream myself and all my friends at a protest” and “post I hate Trump” several times a day on social media. Second, im not seeing any move toward doing anything. The protests are a fun afternoon and I’ve seen a lot of bitching about people not having paid time off to go to these events. They’re going to get bored or run out of PTO or Theres going to be minor inconveniences (maybe they use water canons and it’s cold outside, or tear gas, or someone they know spends the night in jail) and they’re going to fade away.
Second, white PMC women tend to be married to high value men who will absolutely object to their wives being imprisoned by tge regime. They are basically walking talking hostage puppies — naturally sympathetic no matter what they’re doing. Headlines about wealthy white women getting arrested and deported is going to cause major headaches for the regime. The face of most sympathy for tge downtrodden stories are women. Mothers crying in Palestine are trotted out any time someone wants people to feel sorry for Palestinians. And Jews, not to be outdone trot out videos of women being kidnapped and raped when they want to convince you that you should support their side. Even in the USA, when you want a sob story about cutting something, there will always be a woman in the center of the story who is now struggling. They deported a Palestinian man related to high ranking figures in Hamas. But you mostly see his crying, pregnant wife.
More options
Context Copy link