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MaiqTheTrue

Renrijra Krin

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MaiqTheTrue


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				
Renrijra Krin

				
				
				

				

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				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 11, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think this is a textbook case of the wisdom of keeping things that will be addictive as hard to ge5 as possible.  Sports gambling in a casino might not be so terrible.  The steps necessary to get to a casino for any sort of gambling serve as an important brake on the behavior.  The fact that such gambling can now but done using stored credit card information on a device that is carried in the pocket makes it almost impossible for anyone with the proclivity to addiction to ever have control.  And this is true of other potentially addictive behaviors— if you have your addiction always available, you can’t easily say no to it.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 11, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I’m not sure it’s naughty thoughts so much as a deep need for a cause to fight for.  For most people the dominant issue is boredom in some sense.  There’s no greater thing in most people’s lives than going to work and coming home.  It’s a bit empty and quite boring.  At the same time our culture has been heavily promoting the idea of heroes saving the world.  We’re part of the culture of the spectacle and our dominant way of interacting with the outside world is screens.  We’re seeing a movie and want to be the heroes of the movie.


I think there is a rather large dose of narcissism involved here.  They’re hoping for disaster so they can be a hero or heroine.  I just don’t under the need to put yourself in the center of historic events.  I’m hoping for a nice quiet, boring life.  I can’t imagine that it’s going to even be helpful to anyone caught in the crosshairs to have the fight taken up by people doing it out of boredom.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 11, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I mean it’s not for everyone because it requires major lifestyle changes.   But for the right set of individuals, major lifestyle changes are possible. People do it all the time.  Immigrants leave their homes and businesses and families behind and move to places with alien cultures.  People join the military which is a huge change from civilian life.  Such major changes aren’t for everyone, but even modest changes can be accessible to most people.  It’s harder than most people think, but it’s perfectly doable.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 11, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Trans people I’d kinda get, there’s a plausible explanation n the fact that the far right wants to delay transition until adulthood, as well as remove trans people from opposite sex changing areas, restrooms and women’s sports.  That’s at least a cause.  The women crying in their cars are none of that.  Even if abortion were illegal, most women making cry TikTok’s could afford to fly to Toronto to get an abortion as needed.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 11, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think that’s a bit obtuse.  While you can’t go join the Amish church, you can in fact quite easily band together with likeminded people and build a homestead in some rural area.


To me I think a lot of what’s missing is the community.  Being poor in the modern world to me sucks a bit more because you’re an atomized individual with much less support in a world that rubs the lifestyle of your betters in your face through the media.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 11, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think there’s some subset of people who at least unconsciously want these bizarre nightmare 1984 and literally Hitler and handmaid fantasies to be real.  I say that because most of the people doing this seem to have similar profiles: almost invariably white, upper middle class, professional, college educated, and highly likely to be female as well.  Which if you’re keeping track, is the one demographic, that even if the absolute worst nightmare scenario happens is going to be affected the least.  It just doesn’t make sense that the people worried about an illegals roundup are the richest, whitest, best educated people in the country and who live in a bright blue state to boot.


Further, the “resistance” thus far, is the opposite of serious.  The protesters in Hong Kong were seriously trying to protest the Chinese government crackdown.  They weren’t doing things to make themselves easily identifiable, they weren’t posting about it on social media, they weren’t making videos of themselves #protesting.  They did things like wear masks, carry cash and leave phones at home so as not to be tracked.  They did things like black bloc does.  Our #resistance is doing things like shaving their heads and wearing cute little blue bracelets they bought for $25 on Etsy.  These actions as well as the constant posts, videos, selfies, etc., are absolutely not the actions of a people actually afraid that the government is going to go after them.  I say that because if you’re afraid of being singled out, you’re probably going to try to blend in, and while they might protest, they’re not going to do so in ways they know can identify them.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 11, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Except that you have the same issue that makes adding more lanes a bad idea.  Which is that people who ordinarily would not be looking to Eugene OR as a potential place to live suddenly do because housing is more available there.  If there are 50 apartments and you’re looking between several areas, you might pick Eugene, even if without the extra housing you’d probably say F it and move to some nearby town or suburb or exurb instead.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Hype can certainly help.  Without some positive attention even the best product will sit on the shelf.  On the other hand most people will be smart enough to notice when the sales pitch is overselling the actual product.


Kamala had a lot of negatives that were pretty obvious.  She’s annoying and has a nervous laugh that’s obnoxious.  She can’t give interviews, and when she does, her obvious non-answers are barely comprehensible.  She cannot generate enthusiasm for her own ideas.  Her rallies needed concerts just to get people to show up.  At the end of the day, all the marketing in the world can’t make New Coke taste good.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think pure data is a directionally useful way of looking at the world, and useful for most problem-solving purposes.  I am a theist so I think there’s more beyond just physical reality, but whether or not it’s true, I think that for most projects, reducing the universe to data is going to work just fine.  Consciousness is produced in the brain, and definitely experienced there, so I think you can get something like a conscious AI simply by recreating a brain.  Might be easier to start with a dog or something like that, but I think even though there’s a metaphysical aspect to consciousness, that doesn’t mean that there’s no point to studying it in brains.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The alternative would be to not hold funds hostage.  You want bike lanes, pass a law making bike lanes and fund them. As a completely separate thing.  What happens often is that the money for I.e highways is contingent on X miles of bike lanes.  Or school funding rests on the enactment of policies like trans rights and trans students in women’s restrooms.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Nate Silver: The model exactly predicted the most likely election map
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think the difference in requirements for agreement are due to the position of each group in the American dominance hierarchy.  Democrats are still pretty dominant in most spheres, and therefore they don’t need to tolerate a situation in which they are hearing wrong-think.  They don’t need Allies who are imperfect because they control most of the consensus building organs completely.  Republicans and conservatives need those imperfect allies because they’re on the bottom of that hierarchy.  They don’t wholesale own social media, in fact there’s only one social media platform out of 3-4 big ones where they aren’t actively suppressing conservatives.  The6 therefore cannot simply move on if they hear something they don’t like.  They’d have to cede the entire thing.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I mean sure, it’s plausible that in some odd universe that it’s possible that someone might pull a gun on a FEMA agent.  But again, even with millions of Trump supporters there’s no incident like this.  There’s perhaps a need for caution, but there’s a difference between “there have been threats made, so be careful and buddy up” and “avoid houses with [out group] signage because those guys are more likely to be the shooters.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think just as a matter of principle, we need to prevent commerce clause abuse and the abuse of federal funding which both end up being used as a back door way to force states to do whatever the federal government wants them to.  As it stands the government can dictate through federal funding that roads be marked for bike lanes, that schools must teach LGBTQ narratives, that the state can regulate environmental protections on products that have never and will never leave their state of origin.  It’s ridiculous.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Except that there were no such shootings.  It literally never happened, and to my knowledge no one actually pointed a gun at anyone working for FEMA. The idea that they were worried about getting shot is a just-so story.


Second, it is part of the job.  The job of a FEMA agent is to get people aid, and “I’m scared” is no more valid for FEMA than it is for the local cops.  You don’t get to join a first responders agency and then be too scared to respond.  Especially if you’re doing checks on the safety of Americans in a hurricane situation.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Logistics would be a nightmare as you’d need cops on every corner to prevent defiance.  Even at that, I’m not sure if it’s possible.  There are enough hotheads with guns in America that if Americans decided to actually resist an order, you’d have to either back down or bomb cities like Gaza to do it.  I’m not sure if even with the police and NG you’d have enough people to pacify 300 million Americans who want nothing to do with a lockdown.  At the very least, it would take a lot of effort.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Even at an unknown, the known negatives of lockdown are known — and the end dates given by the authorities are known to be suspect.  If some government officials told you to lockdown for “two weeks” given what happened in 2020, very few people are going to believe that the lockdown is actually going to end within 6 months.  They also know that they won’t get much in the way of support when the lockdown forces people into unemployment and to close businesses, or schools or forbidding social gatherings.  And given that, and given the knock on effects of inflation and shortages, it’s going to be very very difficult to convince people to go along.  Covid wasn’t exactly a nothing burger but it also wasn’t something that justified the extreme measures taken to slow the spread.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
He’s head of a movement though.  And the movement is not a bunch of limp wristed hand wringing party loyalists.  They support Trump as the guy who’s there to basically clean house of the establishment and in their view restore the republic to its glory days.  They aren’t going to sit home and do nothing if that establishment doesn’t allow the changes to happen.  They’re at minimum going to attempt (probably successfully) to primary any republicans who don’t give them what they want.  And that’s if they’re nice.  We also have a fairly good sized militia contingent who might not be so nice about it.


Trump is perhaps irrelevant except as figurehead.  JD Vance is probably more aligned with the movement as I see it, and he’s definitely going to work to implement MAGA and Project 2025


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I would generally put anything law enforcement on a national level into Coast Guard (maybe rename it to state security or something) just for the ability to unify such things under a single legible chain of command.  As it sits, CIS, CBP, CG, ICE, TSA, and CG are all doing similar things and even at times crossing purposes without any cross communication possible.  A bunch of Migrants picked up by the CG would be handed over to BP or ICE, but why?  What’s the purpose of doing so when you can simply dump them off at a port in Mexico and shorten the process by days or weeks?


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
They’ll be pacified (and this is true of much of trumps base) if the state allows them to actually win.  What you saw on Tuesday was a Revolution, and the people who won are going to insist on actually winning and not symbolic victories.  They want Trump to clean house, they want the deep state brought to heel, they want their agenda to happen.  And unlike the last time, the6 won’t take no for an answer.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Wouldn’t they also have to consider public compliance?  After 2020, I don’t think a lockdown is going to be allowed to happen.  You won’t get anyone to abide the lockdowns even if it’s Cordysepts of zombie apocalypse fame and mobilized the entire US military to enforce it.  It would be resisted and probably violently so.  The government would have to be insane to try it.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I’ll be honest in that most people are, in my view mostly consensus driven as far as actual morality goes.  Maybe one in a hundred would have something akin to actual morality— as in a code of morals that the person would risk any substantial losses to uphold a moral code.  It’s hidden in various ways behind arguments about the definitions of words — in this case fetus vs baby or child, though similar arguments were had in arguments about slavery and the definition of Negro and just how human those Negroes are, or perhaps in the Nazi era there were arguments about how much Jewish ancestry tainted a person as untermensch.  The arguments might well sound rational, but the purpose is not to define terms but to define away humanity.  Pragmatism often does the same, hiding cruelty behind the line items of a budget.  There is always money for more bombs, but rarely for school lunches.  We can afford prisons, but paying for schools is not pragmatic enough.


Morality is something we should strive to develop, but in 99% of cases, it is simply to be expected that people will go along with whatever the wider society wants to do.  The limits are not some strange scruples that people hold, but thei4 own aesthetic preferences.  As long as the nasty business is done in ways that you don’t have to actually watch the deed done let alone do it themselves.  Keep it within those bounds and you can get most of the public to be perfectly fine with anything the wider society wants to do.  You want to flatten a city, most people are perfectly fine with it, so long as the bombing isn’t on their screens.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The problem I have with social constructions is that virtually everything in society is at some level a social construct.  It’s meaningless as a claim.  Religion is a social construct and likewise contains legions of subgroups and deviations that make generalizations difficult.  And that also isn’t a good reason to say religion is unimportant.  Just because Southern Baptists, Anglicans, and Greek Orthodox Christians are all Christians, that doesn’t mean they’re identical or interchangeable in obvious ways.


Further, most of the ideas of what to do (generally deconstruct it) are silly.  Just because it’s no longer seen as anything other than a social construct doesn’t mean it doesn’t have something of a force of reality.  People are affected by social constructs, gender roles, social norms, and other social conventions because that’s how society actually works.  Even if we recognize that we drive on the right side of the road in the USA as “just a social construct” that doesn’t mean that change is desired.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Wellness Wednesday for November 6, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
But if that’s true, I’m still saying no to this one.  It cannot work if you’re going to be in her life socially. Sooner or later you will be at a party or something and the topic will come up.  Probably not Trump specifically, but some future iteration of the same.  And if she feels the need to be proactively politically correct online, she’s not going to allow you to be yourself in the presence of her friends no matter what her IRL friends think.  If she’s doing it for a career move, you’re going to either have to act the part or at least bite your tongue whenever politics comes up, or frankly most social issues.  And I don’t see tha5 working long term


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think you misunderstood the issue.  The anti-vaxx portion of the base is very vocal and they won’t hesitate to primary a senator blocking RFK from the FDA.  O I’m not sure about Gabbord, simply because I don’t know much about her or the base’s opinion of her.  But the thing here is that the people putting Trump in office want to put those types of people in to secure an actual victory, and they’re not shy about insisting on the changes they fought for.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Demographics isn’t the only story here though.  Trump made serious headway with conservative Hispanic voters, which proves that the GOP doesn’t have to be a rump party for grumpy white men hrumpfing their way to demographic irrelevance.  The thing drawing people is that the conservatives are also the Christian Party and the party of such values as anti-abortion, pro-marriage, not wanting to trans your kids, teaching the Tem Commandments in schools, etc. all of which conservative Catholic Hispanics would be mostly in favor of.  The GOP is also the meritocratic and capitalist party in which hard work and private ownership of goods, businesses etc. are seen as the keys to prosperity.  This would also tend to draw the same demographics as they’re fleeing actual socialism, and they know exactly where it leads.  They’re not going to vote for socialism in their new country.