Magusoflight
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User ID: 347
Magusoflight
16d ago
I tend to be easily blackpilled due to my anxious temperament. That’s my excuse why I let that poll sway me so much.
Magusoflight
16d ago
NYT is projecting an 80 percent chance of a Trump win
But I don’t know I’m getting 2020 vibes, feels like deja vu. Someone know how this is different this time around? Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Arizona all look like a toss up and could go for Harris
Magusoflight
17d ago
Requires voter ID. Which is racist and therefore going to be fought tooth and nail
Magusoflight
17d ago
Ironic given Jewish voting preferences in America
Magusoflight
17d ago
It’s possible it sends the wrong message and confuses noncitizens who end up voting when they shouldn’t
Magusoflight
17d ago
If republicans ever wanted to fight fire with fire (probably the only way we ever get meaningful reform) what noncitizens would they need to import who could be counted on to vote red? Russians? Hungarians?
Magusoflight
19d ago
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1852849659347124434
AtlasIntel CEO confirms that if white male turnout is high, Trump wins. That’s a big if! But also still plausible
Magusoflight
19d ago
As rich as he is now would be a huge hit to him, given we should expect large growth. Or do you mean he will still be the richest man on earth?
Magusoflight
19d ago
I don’t mean literally survive, I mean he’ll be ruined from a business perspective
Magusoflight
19d ago
Elon musk lottery?
Magusoflight
19d ago
Women do tend to be more likely to vote than men, especially young women.
Magusoflight
19d ago
Which demographics is she pulling in 2024 that Biden DIDN'T pull in 2020?
…even MORE women? That’s the only demo I can see since it’s A) a female president nominee, and B) abortion.
Magusoflight
19d ago
With that in mind, I don't know how the Republicans ever win any elections.
My impression is that people will say one thing and vote another. It’s the only explanation, because I see the same pattern of virtually everyone hating on conservatives or its ideology.
Yeah, I’m thinking the same. I’m disappointed since I think illegal immigration is going to be a huge issue for the western world in the coming decades and we needed to set a strong precedent with Trump for mass removal, as well as his government efficiency and moves towards Musk being big bonuses. But unfortunately the sole champion we had was this guy who couldn’t get enough women on-side, because he is quite frankly a pig and a womanizer, and such a megalomaniac he couldn’t take an L
My only hope now is that Kamala wasn’t lying with her pivot towards the centre. It’s a very slim hope; I know.
I wish my boy Musk luck - not sure he will survive a Kamala term.
There’s been a major swing in predictions markets with Harris gaining serious momentum.
this is due to a new Selzer poll. Selzer is apparently one of the most highly credible polling firms out there, with very high historical accuracy, and it shows Harris winning Iowa by several points. If true, this signifies a potential Harris blowout victory across the entire country.
Either way, it seems polling is fundamentally broken for calling elections now. Emerson is showing a 10 point lead for Trump in Iowa. All the other polls showed Trump ahead for a long time, but they either were subject to “herding” or were just massively off in the opposite direction of previous elections.
Previously I thought Trump had a pretty solid shot at winning this but I’m seriously thinking Harris has it in the bag now, against all odds.
Magusoflight
20d ago
Maybe someone did eat the squirrel? Or did they give him a proper burial?
Magusoflight
20d ago
I have nothing to say except it would be hilarious and very fitting if this election was swung by the killing of a squirrel
Magusoflight
21d ago
Have you ever tried modifying your diet? I have a friend who said their sinutitus improved significantly after eliminating certain foods (dairy I think)
Magusoflight
21d ago
I’m not wishing it to happen, but saying that would be the best future possible from a political perspective
Magusoflight
22d ago
I have to say JD Vance would be my favourite pick for a president, ideal situation is Trump gets elected. Dies soon after (of old age), and JD gets a few years to right the ship. It might be the only way we get someone who is rationalist-adjacent into such a influential position.
Magusoflight
26d ago
Is that the cause of your disability? Are you aware of a new breakthrough drug for schizophrenia recently was announced?
Magusoflight
26d ago
Read some Marcus Aurelius
If you are distressed by anything external, the pain is not due to the thing itself, but to your estimate of it; and this you have the power to revoke at any moment.
You have power over your mind - not outside events. Realize this, and you will find strength.
Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.
Magusoflight
26d ago
Congrats bro, I wish health care providers were more aware of beta blockers use for anxiety. My family doctor didn’t want to prescribe it because my blood pressure was fine so apparently only SSRIs are all he’s willing to give.
As for exposure therapy I doubt it will work with propranolol since the point is you need to FEEL the anxiety. A better strategy is to get a job that forces you to speak to strangers on a very frequent basis, that will help moreso than beta blockers in the long run
Magusoflight
26d ago
Lower risk of Parkinson’s as well. I would use nicotine more but stimulants seem to affect my anxiety/insomnia in a bad way, so I limit my use to the point I doubt there’s any health benefit
Just the aging process could explain it
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