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Magusoflight


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 01:37:00 UTC

				

User ID: 347

Magusoflight


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 01:37:00 UTC

					

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User ID: 347

NYT is projecting an 80 percent chance of a Trump win

But I don’t know I’m getting 2020 vibes, feels like deja vu. Someone know how this is different this time around? Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Arizona all look like a toss up and could go for Harris

Requires voter ID. Which is racist and therefore going to be fought tooth and nail

Ironic given Jewish voting preferences in America

It’s possible it sends the wrong message and confuses noncitizens who end up voting when they shouldn’t

If republicans ever wanted to fight fire with fire (probably the only way we ever get meaningful reform) what noncitizens would they need to import who could be counted on to vote red? Russians? Hungarians?

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1852849659347124434

AtlasIntel CEO confirms that if white male turnout is high, Trump wins. That’s a big if! But also still plausible

As rich as he is now would be a huge hit to him, given we should expect large growth. Or do you mean he will still be the richest man on earth?

I don’t mean literally survive, I mean he’ll be ruined from a business perspective

Elon musk lottery?

Women do tend to be more likely to vote than men, especially young women.

Which demographics is she pulling in 2024 that Biden DIDN'T pull in 2020?

…even MORE women? That’s the only demo I can see since it’s A) a female president nominee, and B) abortion.

With that in mind, I don't know how the Republicans ever win any elections.

My impression is that people will say one thing and vote another. It’s the only explanation, because I see the same pattern of virtually everyone hating on conservatives or its ideology.

Yeah, I’m thinking the same. I’m disappointed since I think illegal immigration is going to be a huge issue for the western world in the coming decades and we needed to set a strong precedent with Trump for mass removal, as well as his government efficiency and moves towards Musk being big bonuses. But unfortunately the sole champion we had was this guy who couldn’t get enough women on-side, because he is quite frankly a pig and a womanizer, and such a megalomaniac he couldn’t take an L

My only hope now is that Kamala wasn’t lying with her pivot towards the centre. It’s a very slim hope; I know.

I wish my boy Musk luck - not sure he will survive a Kamala term.

There’s been a major swing in predictions markets with Harris gaining serious momentum.

this is due to a new Selzer poll. Selzer is apparently one of the most highly credible polling firms out there, with very high historical accuracy, and it shows Harris winning Iowa by several points. If true, this signifies a potential Harris blowout victory across the entire country.

Either way, it seems polling is fundamentally broken for calling elections now. Emerson is showing a 10 point lead for Trump in Iowa. All the other polls showed Trump ahead for a long time, but they either were subject to “herding” or were just massively off in the opposite direction of previous elections.

Previously I thought Trump had a pretty solid shot at winning this but I’m seriously thinking Harris has it in the bag now, against all odds.

Maybe someone did eat the squirrel? Or did they give him a proper burial?

I have nothing to say except it would be hilarious and very fitting if this election was swung by the killing of a squirrel

Have you ever tried modifying your diet? I have a friend who said their sinutitus improved significantly after eliminating certain foods (dairy I think)

I’m not wishing it to happen, but saying that would be the best future possible from a political perspective

I have to say JD Vance would be my favourite pick for a president, ideal situation is Trump gets elected. Dies soon after (of old age), and JD gets a few years to right the ship. It might be the only way we get someone who is rationalist-adjacent into such a influential position.

Is that the cause of your disability? Are you aware of a new breakthrough drug for schizophrenia recently was announced?

Read some Marcus Aurelius

If you are distressed by anything external, the pain is not due to the thing itself, but to your estimate of it; and this you have the power to revoke at any moment.

You have power over your mind - not outside events. Realize this, and you will find strength.

Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth.

Congrats bro, I wish health care providers were more aware of beta blockers use for anxiety. My family doctor didn’t want to prescribe it because my blood pressure was fine so apparently only SSRIs are all he’s willing to give.

As for exposure therapy I doubt it will work with propranolol since the point is you need to FEEL the anxiety. A better strategy is to get a job that forces you to speak to strangers on a very frequent basis, that will help moreso than beta blockers in the long run

Lower risk of Parkinson’s as well. I would use nicotine more but stimulants seem to affect my anxiety/insomnia in a bad way, so I limit my use to the point I doubt there’s any health benefit

The interview a big W for the Trump campaign in my opinion. The podcast has the biggest reach of any other, and more exposure the better, he didn’t blow up or look dumb, not sure there’s any undecideds left to convince but this could just be a nice reminder to Trumpy people “oh yeah there’s an election I better vote!”

Instagram and TikTok are for tabloid tier infotainment meaning there's very little chance of the content from those platforms polluting the memespace of serious discussions and they can be safely ignored/excluded.

You’d be surprised how many people exclusively use TikTok instead of any other social media. There’s plenty of channels on there that offer news coverage as well. I think it plays a huge negative role in influencing the current zeitgeist and how young people especially view things, which is probably why America is banning it soon