Lizzardspawn
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User ID: 594
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Context please?
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
https://youtube.com/watch?v=AD-E2B5GfI8 Works well
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
If Russia blew up Zelensky, that wouldn't solve their problems.
But it will solve Ukraine's biggest problem. Zelensky is better as martyr than as a narcissist in lead that cares only about Zelensky.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
What's the alternative? Full scale war? Some peace deal?
No just Xinjiang is enough
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
I would be happy if we see again removable batteries in devices.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
It's not purely software. Too valuable to waste on such small target.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Technical part is not interesting. Many ways to do it. I am not sure how exposing this capability now helps Israel.
This is one of those - it can work only once things. So they either had some imminent threat to deal with or...?
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Amazon is instructing corporate staffers to spend five days a week in the office, CEO Andy Jassy wrote in a memo on Monday. The decision marks a significant shift from Amazon’s earlier return-to-work stance, which required corporate workers to be in the office at least three days a week. Now, the company is giving employees until Jan. 2 to start adhering to the new policy. Corporate employees will be expected to be in the office five days a week “outside of extenuating circumstances” or unless they have been granted an exception by their organization’s S-team leader, Jassy said, referring to the close-knit group of executives that report to Amazon’s CEO. “Before the pandemic, it was not a given that folks could work remotely two days a week, and that will also be true moving forward — our expectation is that people will be in the office outside of extenuating circumstances,” Jassy said.
Amazon's corporate moto has always been "I Am Altering the Deal, Pray I Don’t Alter It Any Further." so it is of no surprise that they are the first of FAANG to reinstate the office policy. I don't think that they chase any productivity gains because most white collars are as useless and unproductive in the office as they are as useless and unproductive at home. And all this extra workforce on premise will probably cost them more since they are not saving as much on office space and so on.
So couple of explanations - those are soft layoffs - some of the high value people will leave, but probably the majority of the people will be the one with somewhat unrealistic opinion of their own worth. And it is not as if the tech and tech adjacent industry are not filled with primadonnas.
The other one is - middle managers try to show the plebs who exactly is running the show. The tech company is no longer in weaker bargaining position - so it is payback time bitches. It has been more than two decades since tech workers had to negotiate from position of weakness and I think it will be quite the rude awaking for some. I guess the other FAANGs will move soon in the same direction.
As a bonus - I think that offices will move until the economy is tight to be a bit more apolitical space since managers dislike crybuillies even if they share ideology.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Wilson was The first tier player and he overrode his allies desires for more realpolitik based solution.
A good summary can be found in the The New Face of Diplomacy: Wilson and the Treaty of Versailles chapter in the Kissinger's Diplomacy
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
The bad guy in WWI was Woodrow Wilson. Stupid and incompetent all the way. When you are dealing with a power that needs to be contained after a flare you have two options - first bloody them and then offer them generous peace and allow them to save face or beat them up really badly and punish them with harsh punitive peace.
Due to Woodrow Wilson's influence - he was so stupid that thought that league of nations is a good and viable idea the winning powers took the worst of the two approaches - punitive peace with no real enforcement mechanism, a german state that was not weakened enough to not subvert them, leaving sizable German minorities in their neighboring countries, a huge internal vacuum because of the revolution and a huge vacuum in the east due to the collapse of the russian empire. It was a recipe for disaster.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
There are very fine rifles on both sides
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Is the They Eats Cats in Ohio the best meme so far in the election? The memes from the right are chuckle worthy which hasn't been in a long time and the left is in the (un)usual for them defensive mode since Kamala nomination to debunk.
The best I have seen so far: https://images7.memedroid.com/images/UPLOADED489/66e3727adde1f.jpeg (alf with a cat sandwich) https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXcp_JCWQAA8gO8?format=jpg&name=medium (woman and cat arguing)
Lots of alf memes on the topic anyway. Also a lot of ai generated memes in which trump saves cats. I have seen a parody of the chick-fil-a ads, cats in combat fatigues getting deployed to ohio, tiktok trend with shocked dogs when trump says they eat pets in there.
All in all surprising memetic hit.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Blocking that off with tariffs makes everyone (possibly excepting the factory workers who would have lost their jobs) poorer.
But low Gini coefficients usually make places nicer to live in them. So it also should be included in the calculation. As an IT - my experience has shown me so far that optimizing for a single variable is rarely the wisest thing to do.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
This ignores so many other effects of drunk driving.
As a driver - alcohol is way less dangerous than sleepiness. I personally think that we should have field capacity tests - for reflexes and judgment. If you fail them no matter of the reason - inebriation, drugs, tiredness, old age - you get fined massively.
Anyway with self driving taxis now reality this discussion will probably be rendered moot.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
harsh punishment for first time offenders, and zero tolerance for crime no matter what the criminal’s past is.
You need inevitability and timeliness of the punishments. Harshness should be just enough. You can get this way most rational people to behave. Case in point speed cameras - everyone learns to slow down around them. Eventually.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
godwin's law is measured in picoseconds now.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
The internet and DRM. I thought that the internet can never be tamed and that DRM will always be circumvented. Now I learned that google is making it's own denuvo style vm which will solve the unfortunate legacy problem of people being able to sideload and modify apps without actually banning that sideloading.
I was also wrong about EU - I was optimistic in the early 2000s.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
He got pulled out of the car and onto the ground with such ease that I can just imagine the locker room barbs he will be subjected to.
Second - there was one moment at exactly 02:00 when I thought for a moment that he was gonna get out of the car aggressively. Him putting the window down exactly one inch didn't help his case.
The cop escalating the situation with pulling him out of the car was rushed. I think that if he had given him more rope he would have hanged himself enough to justify the force since he obviously had absolutely no intent of complying.
When a cop pulls you over you put your window down and say "good day officer". Then you wait and you are polite.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
In my corner of europe yes.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
How to model the chance that North Korea will detonate a nuclear bomb by end of year?
On foreign soil 0. Making another test - close to 0. The world has forgotten they exist, they win nothing in grabbing attention.
Chance that monkeypox will spread to the West? Distribution of expected deaths?
Probably 100 to get at least some cases. Extremely low death count, probably concentrated into fisrt gen third world immigrants and immunocompromised people that lead risky lives. Everyone is vaccinated against smallpox in the west and it provides at least some protection.
How to model the spread of conflict? How to model which states matter in the world?
Magic 8ball is your best bet. The world is moving towards readjustment of the balance of power. It may go totally peacefully, absolute bloodbath or a series of local flare-ups that are contained. We are not exactly in 1914 - I don't think anyone want a real war, but things may get out of control.
What will happen with Bangladesh?
Probably nothing. Modi doesn't want short victorious war right now, so probably will ignore some harassment of Hindus there. The country doesn't seems to move towards civil war, so whomever is in power will probably try to keep things under control too.
Some states are three families in a trenchcoat. What's up with that? Particularly in the case of Pakistan: it's a nuclear state, but it also just has a lot of difficulty projecting power into rural areas...
Nuking a village is a waste of resources. As long as the area 5 km around centaurus mall is safe and under control they mostly don't care.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Polls for Kamala seems to be bad lately. And Nate silver model is bearish (last prospect is almost 60/40 for trump). And today there was NYT/Sienna poll that showed Trump leading her narrowly. She seems to be sliding almost unexplainable mirroring her rise. And there hasn't been some major errors on her side.
Can anyone toss some suggestions. I don't think that there exist sizeable sliver of people that were enamored and then disillusioned with her.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
Fun idea - Miller (the Capitan played by Laurence Fishbourne in Event Horizon) is actually Doom Guy from Doom 2016. Event horizon always vibed more Doom than Warhammer to me. He gets thrown into hell at the end of EH. And is actually pretty good fit as someone who would become unkillable demon slaying machine driven by pure willpower and hatred.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
I think a lot of people would prefer to be a Roman emperor, even if they would miss smartphones and flush toilets.
Only the first year. By my second year of my reign we would be firmly into the 1860 technology wise. And probably catch up with ww ii tech by the end of the first decade.
Lizzardspawn
2mo ago
I think that this was when you got standing ovation. Or we are talking some other case?
That is why you make mosh pits. They are eternal.
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