Lizzardspawn
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User ID: 594
In the jungle book there is a scene - Shir Han is dragging Baloo with his tail and this legendary exchange takes place:
Buzzie: "You can let go, Baloo."Baloo: "Are you kidding? There's teeth in the other end!
If we slow down now - we will certainly feel the teeth.
Qwen 3.8 flash next abliterated exists. That can be run albeit slowly on consumer hardware and my hunch is that it is enough of a both foundation and power multiplier - for the mythical beast that is ASI to eventually emerge. The cat is out of the bag and stopping now
Also one of the things the Yuddites seem incapable of doing is figuring out that superintelligence does not mean omnipotence. The laws of physics will still work and some other too. Internet is trivial to be made more secure, not every infrastructure needs to be connected to it anyway.
If the frontier labs slow down - the research will continue. My hunch tells me that we are really far away from the limits of IQ per watt, per weight, per wafer, per harness. All the world militaries and terrorist groups have great interest in making full fledged AI work in the limited hardware a drone possesses.
The datacenter big ASI have always been safe. You just put a lot of semtex in the foundations of the DC with dead man switch. The other one - the fast nimble one that could fit on consumer hardware is the dangerous one. And I don't want it to emerge in Yemen or Sudan.
The question is 2028. 2026 won't be important because the red tribe will hold the presidency and if some of the conservative judges have functioning brains will let themselves be replaced in the lame duck if they lose the senate. But who knows what the job market will be in 2028 and if the effects on AI will be suddenly felt by then.
Personally I am accelerationist. I have been since reading the Lord of Light.
His followers called him Mahasamatman and said he was a god. He preferred to drop the Maha- and the -atman, however, and called himself Sam. He never claimed to be a god. But then, he never claimed not to be a god. Circumstances being what they were, neither admission could be of any benefit. Silence, though, could.
Closeness to sam altman is pure coincidental.
From yesterday you could run the dense qwen 3.8 on 1080ti. The research will continue.
Lizzardspawn
16d ago
Won't be the first
Lizzardspawn
17d ago
I am sure that the saudi monarch at the time would have gotten Reagan on board with - I need to summary execute shitton of clerics and relatives that are too crazy, will you deploy couple of thousand of marines for peacekeeping while my forces subdue the backlash. Reagan needed KSA for the final breakage of the USSR at the time.
But in the age of DJT, it is easy to forget that sometimes, famous (?) people can be motivated by something besides greed and ego.
Unfortunately usually they are motivated by stupid.
As you can see in my other post I have explicitly addressed Vietnam. American rockers have the right to bitch about unfair drafting policies of the USG. If he was on 9/11 memorial concert it is ok, if it was 9/11 and he was having a concert also. If it was 23rd of june and he calls for 9/11 minute of silence in Bucharest - yes it is cringe.
My point is that Macklemore's opinion on Israel/Palestine is totally worthless. Like the opinion of Adriana Chechik on OpenAI's solution to Navier Stokes (Adi - if you are reading this, please take no offense, but you are famous for other types of fluid mechanics). He can't add anything to the conversation, he won't change anyone's opinion, so yes - free Palestine is exactly as masturbatory as the people that put posters - Missing for the Hamas hostages in NYC.
He is not that interesting so I could care what is his opinion or belief on anything.
At a U2 concert in Ireland, Bono asks the audience for some quiet. Then he starts to slowly clap his hands. Holding the audience in total silence, he says into the microphone: " I want you to think about something. Every time I clap my hands, a child in Africa dies.".. A voice from the front of the audience yells out: "Then fuckin stop clapping, ya fuckin cunt"
Edit: Not saying that a celebrity has no right/is inappropriate to have or express opinions, but that if you want to help Palestine - create a Food for Palestine tour and donate some of the proceeds to it. Then you can talk as much as you want on stage, because the people going are there for both music and politics. There are also trolls which should be exempt - but proper trolls are rare among a list celebrities.
Lizzardspawn
17d ago
There is subtle difference between UK band playing God Save the Queen, Black musicians releasing Straight from Compton, Germans singing winds of change and people that are neither Israeli nor Palestinian shouting free Palestine.
There is nothing in common between Macklemore and Palestinians aside from being the same species.
Second - counter culture wasn't really counter. Most of the people didn't want continuous involvement in Vietnam, very few people wanted communism to survive, only really hardcore racists and people with common sense wanted the apartheid to continue (both tiny minorities). They were pissing off The Man, but were not pissing off fellow normies. The issues that the normies cared about and were willing to show at least some resistance took a lot more time to be won. Right now some issues are toxic. Best to stay away from them.
Lizzardspawn
17d ago
and the pact between the House of Saud and the clergy after the siege of Mecca made it very difficult to root out bin Laden allies and sympathizers from state institutions, so everybody kind of ignored it
As MBS showed it is quite easy. Sometimes cutting the Gordian knot or heads is the good way to do something.
I would argue that the attached image is slightly more than mildly pro Palestine stance. Wage the culture war, die by the culture war. He could have gone the whole tour without mentioning Palestine on stage. It is possible. But his narcissism took precedence.
One thing that celebrities should learn is just to keep their fucking mouths shut. Which the celebrities of pre social era managed to do. He is a servant whom I pay to sing to me. I don't care what he thinks about two countries that are just a speck on the map.
For cartels - this is government job. They should break monopolies, monopsonies and vertical integration.
Lizzardspawn
19d ago
Fairly simple - people from countries perceived as shithole ones are also perceived as shithole people until proven otherwise.
You represent your country and your country represents you. This is why no one cares about Koreans, Japanese, Chinese, Thai or Vietnamese people anymore. In the mind of the westerner they learned how to human - so it is not a big deal if some of them move over here.
Whereas India is represented by humorous TikTok videos about how they prepare street food there and the fact that their holy river has suffers from "severe contamination, primarily caused by billions of liters of untreated sewage, industrial runoff, agricultural chemicals". The H1B system abuse is also not winning hearts and minds.
Until India develops properly and has somewhat sane HDI and Gini, Indians won't be seen as equal peers, no matter their personal qualities.
Is it racist, unfair, bigoted and biased - yes. Is this humanity default mode of operation - also yes. It matters where you were born and raised and how you look like.
There is developed country origin privilege - people from the whole of the world give you some credit of goodwill that people from the underdeveloped areas are not afforded.
Lizzardspawn
19d ago
The ancient Bulgarian one - Shumi Maritsa and the Old Soviet one.
Rough translation of the Bulgarian - Maritsa is a river in Bulgaria.
The Maritsa Roars
The Maritsa roars, stained with blood; a widow weeps, grievously wounded.
March, march, with our general! Into battle let us fly, the foe to defeat.
Children of Bulgaria, the whole world watches us; come, toward victory, glorious, let us march.
March, march, etc.
The Balkan Lion, in a titanic battle against enemy hordes, leads us on with wings.
March, march, etc.
Young and ardent, amid the whirlwinds of battle, we are worthy to gather laurels.
March, march, etc.
We are the people who, for honor and freedom, for our beloved nation, know how to die.
March, march, with our general— into battle let us fly, the foe to defeat.
Lizzardspawn
19d ago
3m 8959 is your friend. Bi directional, glass fiber reinforced, extremely good adhesion once pressed properly. This is tape that should have "and stay put" as its moto.
Lizzardspawn
21d ago
The AI doomerist crowd is what happens when you roll all Int build with wisdom as a dump stat. Marina from the Marina and the diamonds fame has more of said dump stat than that community combined - "I'm not afraid of God, I am afraid of man". AGI should be the worst of your worry with AI. Worry about the authoritarians regimes ruling forever. Almost any (wannabe) dictator on this planet has enough territory and they are not really expansionist. But we are already here - even if anthropic stops AI development today - the stazis of the world would not. And the problem is of course not AI but the innate human tendency every regime to evolve into absolutism in the end. AI killing us all and then moving to rule the galaxy is the better option than forever oppression.
Lizzardspawn
22d ago
The week in AI fun:
Give me suggestions about mocking name for ai doomerists - in the line of branch covidians and trustafarians. To hint that they are religious cult mostly
Some of the better suggestions:
Doominicans
Singularitarians
Yudkowskites
Yuddites
LessWrongians
Effective Apocalyptists
Pdoominicans
Doomish
Personally my favorite is Yuddites
If AI is going to rule us all and into darkness bind us, I do hope that it will be from OpenAI or China. There are at least hints of humor in their model.
Lizzardspawn
22d ago
There has been a lot of character assassination of the holdout juror.
Lizzardspawn
23d ago
You call it a risk, I call it a blessing. Anyway with a lot of stuff - the hard is part is surviving making the dangerous thing. The reason bioweapons never picked up is not because USA and USSR didn't want them to work.
Lizzardspawn
23d ago
New way to make game mods.
Give this prompt to deepseek flash.
ok. this is unreal engine game. called prince of persia the lost crown. There is player power that enables the player to travel between wak wak trees and not only the dedicated points. it is an item from the shop and it shows there after the completion of return to the past quest. I want it available from the beginning of the game.
The dude one shotted it for around 10 minutes of work.
Lizzardspawn
23d ago
Are there memes already - Africa if Mercator projection was not used - a view of vast futuristic landscape? This one just begs for it.
Lizzardspawn
24d ago
Real medicine is not white collar work. I can assure you that your administrators and HR are slacking like never before.
Lizzardspawn
25d ago
I am not sure they are working less, but they are definitely slacking more and having more unproductive time working 9 to 5.
Lizzardspawn
25d ago
I think we will see explosion in game mods. Just games that on release have strong potential but for a stupid decision or so fail. Right now making a good mod is non trivial. But we have stories of frontier models not even bothering with decompiling - they just read the assembly and figure out what is going on. That is massive boon for people that have solid ideas how to improve something, but lack the time or skill to reverse engineer the sources.
Lizzardspawn
25d ago
On the other hand, the boosters have also been continually proven wrong in terms of the effects in the world.
There are effects. Every white collar person I know is working order of magnitude less.
This is why it is so hard to measure. AI is absolutely revolutionary but in some amusing twist the majority of the value it generates is non monetarily
Lizzardspawn
25d ago
Find some place ran by proper speznaz that has finished his training pre 1991. (or equivalents from other warsaw pact countries, but pre 1991 or at worst 1995 is paramount)). Ask him to teach you combat sambo. Then be ready to be tried for involuntarily manslaughter at least.
Lizzardspawn
25d ago
Nuclear weapons are easy. The delivery is the moderately challenging part - and so far we haven't seen that they can deliver.
Don't throw me ready lines about Indian and Pakistani intelligence ... programs. I have spent enough time in E9 in Islamabad. More than I would like honestly. They were ... ok. Aside from the 24/7 blasting anti India propaganda. But it is easy to have good air force if you are willing to spend money on it. Which is true for almost everywhere in the third world - if the top guy or the hunta wants something they usually get it. Getting everything to work ok in a country seems to be beyond their reach. Back in 2022 I was amazed how frequently there were short blackouts. Which I didn't experience in Burkina Faso or Togo.
Feel free to amend the Muslim countries list. I left out the Gulf states because they really go overboard with the whole exploiting the indentured servants thing. Probably Oman could turn into nice place to live eventually - they seem a bit more mellow.
Lizzardspawn
26d ago
once "strip citizenship from someone on the enemy team" is on the political menu?
There is difference in citizenship by blood and by fiat. And in a way it doesn't matter - Islam is existential threat.
There are only 7 high quality* Muslim majority countries - Bosnia, Albania, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkey and Malaysia. 6 of them are white, the 7th is ruled by the Chinese. There are no high quality black majority countries. And the subcontinent remains awfully underdeveloped. And this is the people that Europe is accepting in droves.
So it is existential because they just don't know how to build or maintain a country once they get in power. What germany will look like when they are a majority - you just have to look at their countries - they are inhabited and ruled by people like them.
*If we are generous.
Lizzardspawn
26d ago
The fact that many German men and women can not come to mutually agreeable terms to raise kids does not mean that anyone is being genocided.
A 60% muslim Germany is no longer Germany. A 20 million Germany inhabited only by Germans still is. Ok replace genocide with extinction.
https://prismml.com/news/bonsai-2-27b
It is with small context and 20t/s , but 24/7 are a lot of tokens.
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