Lizzardspawn
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User ID: 594
Lizzardspawn
21d ago
I have a suspicion Nybbler was thinking of the US army ...
And which outcome do you think is most likely to happen?
I know nothing of military, tactics and so on - but my impression is that the things are way more orderly on the Russian side than the Ukrainian in the last couple of months.
Lizzardspawn
21d ago
A sanity check through claude and grok both come up with Russia having about 10-12% the economy size of the EU. If you insist on PPP then at best 20%.
EU is best described as a person living paycheck to paycheck that uses payday loans. It is not about the size of the economy, but what the countries have spare. And it is not much. This is why funding for Ukraine has been sluggish. EU is big, but a lot of it's resources are tied in welfare, EU projects, the countries do have steadily increased debt to gdp ratio, growth is anemic at best and so on. France is in fiscal trouble, Germany's export oriented economy is not doing terribly well. We are also in a trade war with USA, with China while bearing the bulk of the negatives from sanctions on Russia.
Lizzardspawn
22d ago
What are the Ukrainian people afraid of, being conquered by Russia? I mean I understand the process of being conquered is violent and deadly, but post surrender, what are they afraid of?
4 years ago they probably didn't had too much to be afraid of. Right now ...
Compare the state of the Russian POW that Ukrainians return with the Ukrainian that Russia returns. A full blown conquest has a good chance to devolve Ukraine into the biggest concentration camp on earth.
Thankfully Putin doesn't seem too keen on that. Mostly because oppression is expensive. And economic sanctions on Russia do hurt. So Europe can actually negotiate a peace that is not terrible.
I am not sure if you can comprehend how cruel and ruthless us eastern europeans can be.
Lizzardspawn
23d ago
Do you think that the USA would have been in a better shape today if Hilary Clinton had won the Democratic primary in 2008? Whether she wins of loses the election itself is up to you.
I think that probably the social cohesion now would be higher and divisions somewhat lower.
Lizzardspawn
24d ago
Order of the Stick
A bit sideline
The best quote from the whole thing is "Evan's spiked tentacles of forced intrusion"
I kinda lost interest in the comic when he bent the knee to the wokish crowd about it being rapey. Of course it is was rapey. That was what made it funny.
Lizzardspawn
25d ago
Someone seen any good analysis what happens after the fall of Pokrovsk? Right now the situation there is quite grim for the defenders. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyprrp1d50o
Lizzardspawn
28d ago
- It turns out that You Can Just Do Things™.
Once again Trump is a dwarf standing on the shoulders of giants. This has been done from every administration I can think of in the recent decades. Trump just is his vulgar self again and bragging about it. It is not that Gitmo and Anwar Nasser Abdulla al-Awlaki hadn't happened.
Lizzardspawn
28d ago
That is a long way to state "USA main governance problem is congress refusing to congress". The whole mess is caused by the fact that the Congress has refused to do its job for decades. And power just routes around it. Congress writes vague laws and creates massive bureaucracies that no one seems to be able to reign in to execute them. Congress doesn't pass budgets. And activists decided to create the whole legislation from the bench thing because Congress refused to congress.
There is no coup. Leave power on the ground - someone will pick it up.
Lizzardspawn
28d ago
Is your argument that Trump is tricking the Democrats? Maybe everything is going according to how Darth Trump has foreseen.
I am old enough to remember the times when MAGA were claiming that Trump is playing 5D chess and Democrats were saying he is gullible moron.
Lizzardspawn
29d ago
The only people terrified of socialism in US are a couple of million Eastern Bloc and China immigrants older than 35. Probably some latinos too. And they are staunchly anti Zohran.
Lizzardspawn
29d ago
That's because the actual strategic play on the right is not to oppose Mamdani, its to amplify him.
I am talking not about the people on the center left, which fail in exactly the same way the people on the center right failed to stop Trump. There is coherent opposition. It is just an extremely ineffective one.
Lizzardspawn
30d ago
Don't you find it amusing that some people are trying to stop Mamdani with the same toolset that hilariously failed to stop trump for 10 years straight and are surprised at their failure.
There are extremely long think and hit pieces and lots of snark, refutals and zingers. And none of them are in format or place that are engaging to the people that will vote for him.
Lizzardspawn
30d ago
Neither. The majority of those professions are trapped in somewhat soulcrushing positions where they are not allowed to show the spark of genius that gives the high of being engineer/doctor etc.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
It seems I will do what is the most sensible thing - just pirate solidworx
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
I love openscad, but my programmer's mind still can't comprehend why the fuck they don't have the ability to assign group of points as an object. So it is quite the struggle. They really need to push it a bit more towards ide. The engine is great.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
They decided to have a byzantine waterfall with absurd security policies that mean you are always waiting for someone else. Not me. It is not my job to educate the stupid while they pay me.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
Absolutely not.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
Does anyone else feel guilt over not working the full 8 hours in a laptop job?
I rarely work more than 2 hours. That includes Zoom meetings. I am in big corporate with amazingly terrible development process.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
Trying to learn CAD software. I am fairly convinced that all of the people that were involved in the creation of those system hated humanity even more than the C++ guys. No other explanation.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
If I was on the jury I would not buy his story either.
Also this is a small tidbit I pulled from the internet.
The Lancaster County Coroner’s Office identified the individuals to be Rivera and Morales-Torres and determined the cause of death to be gunshot wounds to the body and the manner to be homicide. Both victims were shot in the back.
That is one hell of a self defense.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
This is exactly the guy Democrats need to be able to pull back the working class. So of course they are doing their best to take him down.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
I am European and even in my eastern europe backwater the pro EU parts of the intellectual yet idiot class foam at the mouth at every mention of Trump.
Lizzardspawn
1mo ago
Humiliation of the people that looked down on you for 10+ years is hardly 5d chess.
I am pretty happy about Mamdani. I have a somewhat radical opinion about democracy that is rarely held in the intelligentsia circles - that if voters want something, let them have it. The other thing that said circles never learn is - don't talk down to the voters. They have no choice but to vote Cuomo - guess what they did have a choice. And it was not voting for Cuomo.
The squeals of the anti Mamdani factions are a balm on the soul. And the ADL worst nightmare seems to be coming true - antisemitic as a label is sliding into indifference. Which is kinda amusing when right now for the first time in probably 60 years in the West there is proper 14 karat antisemitism showing its head.
I do hope that he will be able to hurt NY City enough to push things toward R in 2026 and 2028, but I doubt it - the mayor just doesn't have that many powers to ruin something that fast.
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