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FiveHourMarathon

Listen to Pierre

14 followers   follows 6 users  
joined 2022 September 04 22:02:26 UTC

Lord, make me an instrument of your peace: where there is hatred, let me sow love; where there is injury, pardon; where there is doubt, faith; where there is despair, hope; where there is darkness, light; where there is sadness, joy. O divine Master, grant that I may not so much seek to be consoled as to console, to be understood as to understand, to be loved as to love. For it is in giving that we receive, it is in pardoning that we are pardoned, and it is in dying that we are born to eternal life. Amen.


				
User ID: 195


				
				
				

			

		

	














	


		


			



	

		

			

			

				

					

						

							
						

						

							
							

								
FiveHourMarathon


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				
Listen to Pierre

				
				
				

				

					14 followers  

					follows 6 users  

					joined 2022 September 04 22:02:26 UTC
				


				
					

					
Lord, make me an instrument of your peace:
where there is hatred, let me sow love;
where there is injury, pardon;
where there is doubt, faith;
where there is despair, hope;
where there is darkness, light;
where there is sadness, joy.
O divine Master, grant that I may not so much seek
to be consoled as to console,
to be understood as to understand,
to be loved as to love.
For it is in giving that we receive,
it is in pardoning that we are pardoned,
and it is in dying that we are born to eternal life.
Amen.



				

				

				

				

				

					

					

					
					
					

					
User ID: 195


					
					
					
				

			


					

						
					



		

	

 











			
			

			
			

			




	


		

			
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 28, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I'm just trying to resolve a prediction from sometime I respect between


"Butch Coolidge will lose his upcoming match because his opponent is an up and coming star and too fast for an over the hill has been"


And


"Butch Coolidge is going to lose his upcoming fight because I saw him come out of Marcellus Wallace's joint and tuck a packet of cash into his jacket."


Both are predictions based on knowledge, but reflect very different observations.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 28, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
So you assume that "staying out" of Israel-Palestine would lead to Israeli victory, rather than the collapse of Israel absent constant American support?


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 28, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
So No, it's not assuming a mostly legitimate election, it's assuming a high probability of a stolen election?


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Rereading the introduction, they're in a proposed order of writing which seems to be pretty idiosyncratic to the editor and is not universally accepted.


Still honestly very freaky to me. I'm not superstitious but I'm a little stitious.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 28, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Is this assuming a mostly legitimate election?


I don't mean to interrogate you, I'm just curious how one reaches that assumption. I'm less comfortable with Trump than you, and I'm thinking Kamala basically did her job of losing gracefully for the Dems.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 28, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Dude.


If you're a camp counselor and you're even considering raping the kid, you should not endeavor to teach the kid a sport. That is NOT the normal dilemma faced by a normal tired dad.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Weekly NFL Thread: Week 9
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Flacco went 4-1 with most of this same Browns team last year. Merely competent QB play could deliver a winning record, though probably not enough to reach the playoffs.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Weekly NFL Thread: Week 9
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
She was asleep during that game so I managed to restrain myself.


I am comforted by the fact that the last thing she ever watched on TV was an embarrassing cowboys loss. A true birds fan to the end.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I need to know: what is the standard index order for Plato? What order are the dialogues put in?


Why is the Phaedo 4th in my copy? Why would the one that chronologically must come after all the other Socratics be 4th? Why was it that last night, sitting with my grandmother on her last night, I found that when I opened my copy I just happened to be on the dialogue specifically about facing death and the nature of the soul?


At least I didn't decide to reread the first chapter of Evgeny Onegin.


2spooky4me


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Weekly NFL Thread: Week 9
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
That fumble was way worse. Losing the ball on the one yard line on a trick play is on the coach. Having what appeared to be a QB spy on a hail mary was also weird.


A coach can't come down hard like that unless he has credibility to do it. Mike Tomlin or a Bill Belichek can cut people, Eberflus can't.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Weekly NFL Thread: Week 9
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Not attacking you specifically, but it's weird to me that everyone is giving so much credit to Jayden Daniels. He played a great game on the whole, but he put up 18 points against a weak Bears team, and the play at the end was 90% luck on his part to get the TD. He wasn't even really targeting the receiver who came away with it, it was an arm-punt into a crowd and hope for good luck. That play, executed exactly that way with no additional Daniels contribution, would be expected to have less than a 1/5 chance of success I would guess.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Weekly NFL Thread: Week 9
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I spent Sunday sitting bedside for an ill relative, she was mostly unconscious so I wound up watching three straight games on mute in between reading, helping her reposition herself, and reassuring her that no, she was not standing on my foot, she was in fact laying down.


Luckily it was an excellent football Sunday.


The Eagles had their most convincing game since 2022, winning in Cincinnati for the first time in franchise history. They won the turnover battle 2-0, for what feels like the first time in forever. Hurts played his best most complete game, hitting some deep balls, running enough designed run plays to keep the defense worried, scrambling when he isn’t contained, and of course hitting the Brotherly Shove trick for first downs and TDs. This is the best version of Hurts: a pretty good Lamar Jackson imitation with a cool trick to get one yard on command. Barkley crushed it, the local boy has loved playing for Philly. The ball spread around reasonably well to Smith, Brown, and backup TE Calcaterra. Still waiting for Jahan Dotson or any other receiver to do much of anything. But when Hurts is at his best, with Barkley in the backfield, 2.5 possible targets is enough to run a passing game because the defense is on a swivel trying to keep eyes on the run game. The Eagles Defense finally got some takeaways! The Bengals will probably be downgraded as a win by the end of the season, they are probably just bad if they lost to the Eagles like this at home, but they’re at least a real team that was playing to save their season this week. They have a fantastic quarterback and a star receiver. They’re not tomato cans. This loss probably ends competitive hopes for the Bengals season, unfortunately.


With Jameis Winston stepping in for the injured Deshaun Watson, the Browns snuck past the Ravens on some hero ball from Winston. The Browns season is probably already over, they’d have to win out to get to 11 wins, which makes some good performances from Winston so exquisite for me as a hater. Winston can play competently, or at least not worst QB of all time bad, get the Browns nowhere because they’ve already lost six games in a tough division, and then Winston is going to want starting QB money somewhere, or at least a shot to start, and will probably leave Cleveland where he is only under contract for one year. Cleveland still probably has no realistic way out of the Deshaun Watson contract (unless I’m right that the injury is fake and he simply never comes back letting the team take the insurance payout as a salary cap relief), they can’t pay two QBs and field a competitive team around Winston, and the mess will be fantastic in the off-season, with the team and its fans faced with just how stupid and immoral trading for Deshaun Watson was. I was really ready to root for the Browns in the Mayfield era, now I’m a hater, and not just a hater rooting for them to lose, I’m happy to see them win just enough to make them suffer more.


Bears v Redskins was a fantastic game. I regret to inform everyone that Jayden Daniels is a legit QB, and will be for some time. The ultimate outcome of the game was luck: if the Bears don’t flub a goal line handoff into a fumble at the 1 yard line, or the bounce on the Hail Mary doesn’t go that way, then the Bears win. But Daniels looked good. The skins have always been an annoying team to play in the division, but now they have some legit talent. Going to be two exciting games coming up. Caleb Williams looked good as well, but expect the Bears to do whatever they need to do to pick up some offensive line help in the near future. Makes me appreciate the Eagles O-Line situation: Stoutland University is a meme, but when you see Fred Johnson come off the bench to replace a Pro-Bowl LT and the team avoids giving up a sack against Hendrickson, that kind of Next Man Up mentality keeps the team competitive when there are problems. The Redskins looked beatable, they only put up 18 points on the Bears, but those are going to be two games to look forward to for the Eagles.


And oh man, the game I was more excited for than the Eagles game: SNF, Dallas against SF, season on the line for both teams desperate to get back on track after tough losses. A Cowboys loss was great, that both Dallas and the Niners looked beatable is even better. I was happy to have a reason to root for Brock Purdy for a change, and he played pretty well. Dak Prescott was in classic form, getting the team deep into a hole throwing interceptions, then leading half a comeback in garbage time so the game ends up looking close, before inexplicably throwing the ball into double coverage to end the game. Classic Boys loss. They'll probably still play the Eagles hard, but it's tough to worry about them going on a run to take the division.


What a weird week of football. We're starting to see the tiers of the league separate themselves, but power rankings are going to be a mess.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I just have strong priors against "government gets all the money then moves it around" so I wanted to clarify.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
How do you picture this money "going back to the middle class?"


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
In my quest through Plato I've gotten through the Euthypro, the Apology, the Crito, and I'm now on the Phaedo. Good hospital bedside reading.


On audio I just finished Moby Dick. A truly universal work, it feels like an allegory for the presidential election 175 years early. I've now started lonesome dove, which I recall someone here recommending, and Lord in heaven is it amazing. After reading a lot of non fiction and literary fiction, lonesome dove is like a firehose of content. Just action on action on allegory on allegory on setpiece on setpiece. The book just GOES. I'm totally digging it.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


But is it worse to cook your fried egg at home in vegetable oil than bacon grease?




I don't really know and I don't worry about it too much. I tend to go the bacon grease route, I rarely use vegetable oil at home. But I'm not going to ask what oil the recipe used when I eat at someone's home, and if I eat some junk occasionally I'm not going to sweat it.


Sensitivities vary, of course. Maybe there's an allergy response some people have.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
When it comes to caffeine, after finals every year in law school I would need to cut back severely, but I got headaches if I went to none. So I went from drinking about six shots of espresso every day to drinking two cups of hicaf tea, to drinking just enough black tea to keep the headaches away, to cold turkey. Would normally take two weeks to get down to nothing.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


What's bad about processed foods? Does the act of processing a food introduce sin into the food that causes obesity?






Talk of hyper-processed foods causing obesity seems very hand-wavy to me.




I literally explained the proposed mechanism in the next sentence:




The majority of technical diets that major in the minors just track with "create a restriction that prevents you from eating at a convenience store or fast food restaurant;" this prevents most people from eating mindlessly and serves as an effective calorie stopper.




Most Americans/Westerners aren't getting fat off of home cooking, even though one can quite easily make high calorie foods at home. Most people are getting fat off of fast food, takeout, and grocery store junk food, not high calorie home cooking.


The sin being introduced is mindless availability of calories. I would bet that consumption of seed oils tracks obesity less closely than percentage of meals eaten outside the home.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


There is probably also something to be said for good technique. Are you having trouble at high cadences/efforts specifically or more broadly?




I'll say this: I thought the idea of technique on a stationary bike was silly coming from much more technical exercises, but it takes time to get the rhythm right.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
It's possible there's some minor impact from eating particular foods, but I am generally an IIFYM guy when it comes to the big obesity/health stuff.


Seed oil consumption tracks obesity because it is used in so many processed foods. The majority of technical diets that major in the minors just track with "create a restriction that prevents you from eating at a convenience store or fast food restaurant;" this prevents most people from eating mindlessly and serves as an effective calorie stopper.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Small-Scale Question Sunday for October 27, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Endorsements from newspapers are probably also increasingly irrelevant to persuadable voters so the choices are weighted differently.


If it was worth a two percentage point bump towards Kamala on the Nate Silver model, but if Trump wins there's a strong chance of retaliation and/or it causes a loss of conservative subscribers, that's one thing and I think the papers would have endorsed under those circumstances.


In reality, virtually no one is persuaded by a newspaper endorsement. The readers are mostly all liberals already, and any conservatives left won't be persuaded by the editorial board, but they might finally be driven away by it. If anything, the strategic move would be to not openly endorse, to try to keep as many conservatives inside the audience as possible, where they'll be exposed to liberal (or to the true believers in the newspaper "truthful") reporting. There's no or negative actual value in the endorsement.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 21, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
This is just the reversed version of arguing that we should vote for Trump because of the possibilty of another Jan 6th type event.


One can't be held hostage. Even if it's utilitarian true it has too much moral hazard.


Utilitarianism doesn't work when you're playing an intelligent opponent.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 21, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
For Twitter? Not his immensely valuable, industry leading industrial and tech companies? The one that isn't making any money, that's hemorrhaging users, that runs off advertising that's in steep decline?


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 21, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
So school desegregation was a big project of the 50s and 60s. But because kids attend local schools, and neighborhoods were segregated, lots of schools are pretty segregated without segregation.


So there was brief effort to live up to ideals and force schoolbuses to cross neighborhood lines. This was wildly unpopular, a bad idea, and ultimately binned.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of October 21, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Importing foreign doctors is vaguely possible if you are okay with decreasing the value of American healthcare (which is a massive segment of the economy) and reducing quality of care (which you don't believe is important)




You're putting a lot of words in my mouth, which I'll attribute to your repeatedly mentioned intellectual exhaustion.


Quality of care for the average patient will improve with increased access to doctors. Which can most easily be achieved by increasing the number of doctors.


I'm admittedly not in medicine, but growing up basically all my high school best friends wanted to go into medicine. Only one out of seven still wanted to go into medicine by junior year of college. These were all guys with SAT scores within a shout of mine in the mid 2200-2400 range. Why? Because they looked at the available slots and realized that if you have the misfortune to be white or Asian and interested in medicine, you face a series of gatekeeping processes that heavily limit your odds of making it. Return to the article I linked:




On March 17, 2023, nearly 43,000 medical school graduates will anxiously await the chance to continue their journey to become licensed physicians. But with just 40,375 available residency positions available, what will happen to the remaining 2,500 applicants that fail to match into a slot? While a lucky few may be able to ‘scramble’ into an open position, most will have no choice but to wait an entire year to reapply for the privilege of practicing medicine.




And that's after you get into med school.




The overall allopathic medical school acceptance rate for the 2022-2023 year was 43%. There were 55,188 applicants and 23,810 applicants were accepted. 22,713 students who were accepted actually matriculated.




I argue that much of the lack of interest from top students in going to med school is that 57% chance of not getting into med school at all, followed by extra gatekeeping and artificial systems that might still leave you without options and certainly leave you without prestige. Much of it tied up in racist affirmative action policies and destructive undergrad competition. Why not opt out and go into consulting or finance or tech, as many of them did, where you've got a comparatively high chance of making it into the industry and little gatekeeping to prevent your rise after you are employed?


Make it seem easier to become a doctor and more people will become doctors. Make being a doctor seem less horrendously awful, as you repeatedly claim it is, and more people will want to become doctors. Create more doctors and more of them will choose to move to Arkansas. These things are really economics 101 stuff.


Alternatively, I'm sure we're only a few days from Trump proposing that doctors shouldn't pay taxes.


As for foreign doctors, my general belief is that we should not restrict immigration of high human capital candidates. Every (legitimate) Masters degree should come with a green card stapled to it. If we need to do outside testing to insure quality, let's do it. But that's a technical issue not a strategic one. Regardless, that's not a solution I'm proposing.