ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
No bio...
User ID: 626
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
23d ago
Normies deal with what is, but get very upset if you accurately describe them as they are, instead of how they ought to be. Autists can deal with things as they are, as long they're labelled correctly, it's the dissonance between the actual state and the description that drives them nuts.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
23d ago
It's not, even if replacing everyone is instantaneous, it doesn't change anything I'm the example.
It relates to the question by demonstrating that organizations aren't just groups of people composing them, at least legally.
Wish I knew, my bet is on the (possibly deliberately) poor construction of the basket, but I have no way of telling. I don't know the precise number either.
Look, the whole conversation started with KnotGodel saying inflation is not a big issue, because it's only 3%. When people dispute that he goes on his "actually it's perfectly consistent with the official data you're disputing" spiel. Well, if it's perfectly consistent with the data, and the majority of Americans are saying that it is indeed a very big problem, then all that means that either the 3% number is wrong, or that number actually means inflation is a big problem.
You brought political bias into the question. Fair enough - it exists but is not big enough to dismiss the concern. KnotGodel's original argument is still wrong. Unless people psyopped themselves into believing the prices are higher than they are.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
You'll have to point me to where I denied this is biased along partisan lines. I'm saying that even taking the bias into account, you'll still get results implying a number quite a bit larger than 3%.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
Maybe I'm mentally Ill, but that graph looks perfectly readable to me.
Anyway you'll notice that even in these polarized times, and with a metric as nebulous as "sentiment" you still get something coherent. The election times flips notwithstanding, the for each party, and the independents, are moving in the same direction at the same time. You don't get Democrats saying everything is getting better over the years as Republicans are saying everything is getting worse, nor do you get each side maxing out their respective values.
Inflation is no different. Yes, fewer Democrats think it's a problem than Republicans, but that still leaves us with 52% Democrats thinking it's a "very big" problem. Maybe they got psy-opped by TikTok, maybe 3% is already a very big problem for a lot of people... Or maybe, just maybe, the 3% number is not representative of the increases hitting people each month.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
The reason I brought up national surveys (which I could be strong about! It's just one of those factoids that got absorbed into my head somehow) is that it le's us get past the bias of this forum, or even right-wingers more broadly. I suppose it's entirely possible people are irrationally taking out their life's frustrations on the consumer price index, but I hope you'll understand why some might be taken aback, given the sheer magnitude of the phenomenon you're proposing.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
Since I'm not American my only two options are to go with the official numbers or give some credence to other people's subjective reports. At the end of the day this is a purely intellectual exercise for me.
I think you're making a mistake by saying this is political. Haven't surveys been showing pretty handy majorities concerned about inflation?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
Well, I'll just say that if people see their bills go 3x you're going to have a hard time convincing them inflation is fine even if by some statistical vodoo you can get the numbers to show 3%.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
2.92% inflation in the last 12 months. If you measure inflation as "absolute distance from 2% target" this is 54th percentile for all years since 1990 (a hair worse than average)
So, as usual I'm somewhat limited in what I can back up with my own to eyes from where I sit, but what do you make of gimmicks like this?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
You can still say it's better for them to individually go outside and make a mess, then to allow groups of drug-zombies to collectively make a mess.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
I don't see how it can be coherent at all when organizations are simply groups of people.
Isn't it weird then how their legal status is not that of simply a group of people? You could, if you wanted, replace every single person in an organization,, and the government would treat it as the same entity.
HighSpace
This has been a slow week for me. Was quite busy with the kind of work that puts bread on the table, which left me with little energy to do even more programming afterwards.
Goals for last week were:
- Add annotations for the FS2 scripting API (previously: "Document code with annotations").
I managed to finish the LUA annotation generator, but it's not exactly in a state that I can show off to the FS2 people, like I was planning earlier, but the latest Pull Request contains the (rather massive) file with the docs for the entire API. I think that will be enough for that task for a while.
- Map AI: Aggro and chasing
I managed to make some progress, but this is still half-open with not much to show off, except a proof of concept involving the player ship having a very bad time.
- Distinct icon for bomber wings
Didn't even manage to get to this bit, even thought it's one or two line of code :(
So tasks for this week will still be:
- Finishing the map AI - Hopefully this week is more chill, and I'll be able to have some working proof of concept by this time next week
- Icon for bomber wings
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
That's the nature of politics. Anything that hasn't specifically been banned is in play.
If that was the case, these tactics would be announced loudly and proudly, not done under the veil of plausible deniability.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
Who said anything about violence? I'm just talking about the police exercising their competences to direct traffic.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
If the police decided strategically blocked streets to hinder access to majority polling stations with majority-Democratic populations, would you be saying the same thing?
Cheating in what sense of the word? Influence campaigns? Those have been run by everyone. Intelligence agencies, state actors, private companies, etc. Anyone who has something to gain by one administration winning can try and convince people. That's how the system runs.
This is absurd. If soldiers can have their First Amendment rights suspended for the duration of their service, then clandestine, not-democratically-accountable state agencies can (or rather should, because apparently they cannot) be told to keep their hands off elections. The idea that public service should remain politically neutral is not particularly novel.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
Alright... Taylor Swift rapes illegal immigrant.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
24d ago
Cheer up, China might throw a few scraps in return for subservience.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
25d ago
For all the efforts of the NYT and Slate, for some godforsaken reason I know where Loudon Virginia is, and more about Hunter Biden than I ever wanted to know. When a story gets momentum, it goes.
I don't think you're exactly a typical normie.
If you live in PA (the keystone swing state) and you get CNN, you also get Fox News NewsMax and OANN. Twitter is somewhere between open to and pushing right wing stories.
This might have (and did) work back in 2016, people were a bit more open mided back then. Nowadays any news coming from the outgroup is immediately dismissed.
People still do really believe and care about things.
I sure hope you're right.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
25d ago
The stalemates in Israel and Ukraine are the best results the mainstream can get. Any side "winning" would be horrible for her.
Am I missing something? A Ukraine win sounds like something she could brag about, though obviously it's not about to happen before the election concludes.
And she's constantly at the mercy of various ongoing crises allowed to fester in America. An illegal immigrant could rape a sufficiently photogenic blonde. Some teenager who thinks they're trans could beat up a girl in a locker room. Some particularly bad wave of fentanyl overdose deaths could run through the country. Letting these things fester puts you at the mercy of the eye of sauron.
All of these can be swept under the rug by the media until she wins. You need something that breaks containment. A recession would probably be the worst that can happen to her.
Just as a quick sanity check - would you say any establishment Republican could beat Harris relatively easily, because she's not well liked?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
25d ago
There's something to be said about us growing older and more cynical, remembering all the shenanigans they managed to pull off with impunity, and going from outraged amazement to it's-all-so-tiresomed resignation, but personally I think Trump stands a decent chance of winning. The fatalism might set in later on, because the first question I want to ask is "so what?", after seeing how his first term went.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
25d ago
The problem is that I fucking hate typing on touch screens, and anything that can help me minimize it is a plus. There's an open question if the medicine is better than the disease, and if the best solution isn't just to postpone my shitposting until I'm in front of a keyboard.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
25d ago
It isn't. Most voters reject it.
I don't know about the latter, but it's definitely frustrating to have that frame pushed here by default, without anyone bothering to make an explicit argument for it.
Wake up babe, the definition of woman just dropped.
The year was 2020, trans issues have already made their way through our social consciousness, and some women were getting frustrated at the inability to congregate without trans women showing up, and - in the minds of the TERF inclined - spoil the party.
Enter Sall Grover, a bold enterprising spirit, that recognized two facts:
She quickly joined the dots, and thus the Giggle app was born. In order to register you had to upload a selfie, which would be run through a sex-recognition AI, and non-females would be automatically rejected. The AI was deliberately calibrated to minimize false negatives, wanting to spare cis-women the humiliation of appealing the process, Grover figured it's better to let a few false-positives through and deal with them manually. For a while, the whole system worked wonderfully, and the women congregated, giggling happily.
But, as we all know, there is no Giggle without a Tickle... In February 2021, Roxy Tickle uploaded a selfie to the Giggle app and the AI was so amused at the word pun, it forgot it was supposed to be an image recognition algorithm. Roxy got through! Her joy lasted for several months, until she was caught by manual review as she was applying for premium features of the app. After a short and unsuccessful appeal attempt, she decided that the only way to resolve this dispute is in court.
Roxy Tickle argued that this was an outrageous injustice, that she was being discriminated against for being trans, and that this constitutes a violation of the Sex Discrimination Act of 1984. Sall Grover argued that this is nonsense, that Giggle does not discriminate against trans people, it merely excludes people on the basis of sex. The law hasn't outlawed sex-segregated spaces over the 30 years it was in effect, Roxy Tickle was treated no different than any other male-sexed individual, and therefore no illegal discrimination has taken place. The judge had to rule if Giggle excluded a man, and was well within it's rights, or if it excluded a woman and indirectly committed discrimination against a trans person. He was therefore forced to settle that ancient question - what is a woman? Last week we finally received the verdict, and the way I understood it is "a woman is anyone who the state identifies as a woman". It turns out that sex is mutable, and that Ms. Tickle is a woman because she has a state issued document saying so. Australia's legal system seems a bit complex to my eyes, but at first glance that seems to also boil down to "a woman is anyone who identifies as a woman".
The consequences of the verdict might be more interesting than the verdict itself. After all, if an app for women cannot keep an AMAB out, how can all the other controversial spaces like sports, prisons, waxing salons, etc.? We've covered enough of these cases over the years that I think it should be clear this isn't a hypothetical, and as connoisseurs of TERF content will know, hacking "gender violence" laws has become a pretty regular occurance in countries that lean on the self-ID side of the debate. More importantly, and/or ammusingly, normie men are deciding all that male privilege just ain't worth it, or perhaps the Spaniards are just more cheeky than average. In any case, if any such self-ID laws / rulings are to be maintained, I think they'll require some major qualifications.
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