Aleph-nought
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User ID: 1303
Aleph-nought
1yr ago
Keep in mind that the 'data' here is a poll by a right-wing think tank. The data basically says that conservative parents said they have a good relationship with their children and that their children have good mental health on a single survey. /shrug.
Am I missing something here? The second paragraph says this:
My colleagues and I at Gallup launched a study this summer to understand the causes. We surveyed 6,643 parents, including 2,956 who live with an adolescent, and we surveyed an additional 1,580 of those adolescents. We asked about mental health, visits to doctors, parenting practices, family relationships, activities, personality traits, attitudes toward marriage, and other topics, including excessive social media use, as discussed in prior work. I present the results in a new Institute for Family Studies and Gallup research brief.
The author is one Jonathan Rothwell, who is an employee of Gallup. This is easily verifiable by Google. So the polling wasn't done by the IFS but by Gallup. Is Gallup a right-wing think tank? Furthermore, he claims that they surveyed the adolescents as well, quite comprehensively given the large list of topics he describes them covering.
What is the basis on which you're claiming that the results are simply from conservative parents claiming their children have good mental health?
Aleph-nought
1yr ago
I haven't looked in to these cases to be sure but your description of things sounds like an almost textbook example of Simpson's paradox.
Aleph-nought
2yr ago
Are you sure this would be true if missile defence technology advances to a degree capable of drastically muting the Russian nuclear arsenal? How could a system which couldn't deal with the hundreds of Chinese missiles be of any use against Russia's thousands? Surely the premise of this line of argument is a credible defence against Russia's arsenal - which dwarfs China's.
I think this is a large part of it. Scott even has an essay on this topic where he discusses reasons the Amish pay between a fifth and a tenth of what the rest of us pay for healthcare. A few of those reasons (the second, fourth, sixth and arguably the seventh too) basically come down to the Amish being honest and everyone else knowing they're honest.
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