hydroacetylene
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User ID: 128
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
Seconding this- tradcath women have babies from marriage to menopause. Lots and lots of babies with forty-something mothers. Of course these women mostly had their first baby at twentysomething.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
The institute for family studies has some interesting research showing that states in the US with more alimony have a higher percentage of married women as homemakers and a higher fertility rate within marriage.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
How much of that is specifically wanting a foreign husband rather than having a shortage of local men? There could be a variety of reasons for the former; either they think Russian men are all wife-beating drunks so they're better off with a foreigner(there are at least some Latinas who prefer gringos for this reason, so it's plausible), or they would like to live in a country with a higher purchasing power parity than Russia(of which there is no shortage), etc, etc.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
Do you think they're doing this?
In any case, Iran is unlikely to be executing gay soldiers only. Either the follow the geneva conventions or they don't.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
Aggression and physical conditioning are still very important to infantry combat, though- men sprint faster, jump better, etc. The physical advantages are all around, not limited to upper body strength(and given modern combat kit loadouts, this is likely less reduced in importance compared to the age of the phalanx than you might think). And non-infantry combat specializations might have different demands, but if one of them favored women the Israelis, Soviets, or North Vietnamese would probably have figured it out, and they didn't. IIRC competent artillerymen basically have to be male because it involves a surprising amount of moving heavy objects, at the very least.
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
I think the main motivation was that senior male employees preferred to spend time working with women, especially young women.
And of course some of this is that women are, in general, more pleasant to their bosses than men. They tend to be politer, they tend to document things better, and they tend to be easier to boss around. These seem like, from a management perspective, genuine advantages.
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
Your daily reminder that 40% of Mexicans are phenotypically white, and most Hispanic people prefer to be regarded as white if possible, and the justice system is more than happy to let them because it doesn't care.
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
Define 'white'. I'll bet you the definition used in these databases is different from yours- probably self ID(and in Hispanic cultures 'white' can mean something very different from what it does in the anglosphere).
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
I think the legitimacy principle of two terms only is far too strong- we're more likely to get a king than a president for life, and we're more likely to get a libertarian president than either.
An annointed Trump successor, on the other hand, is very plausible.
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
The federal government's internal troops are not marines, though. The federal government has law enforcement paramilitaries(under the DHS and DOJ), and if they aren't good enough there's the national guard. 'Federal paramilitaries and national guard units willing to follow questionably legal orders if they're backed by the republican party' are surely a thing- as Greg Abbott demonstrated in his border standoffs with the Biden admin.
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
The MAGA right is probably even better armed than normie Republicans.
I don't know about that. The MAGA right almost by definition are a different group from core ideological conservatives, who do indeed have lots of guns. MAGA is probably better armed than average, and the most heavily-armed groups are indeed pro-MAGA, but Trump>republican challengers is not their ideology. YMMV, but my most heavily armed cousins supported Cruz in the 2016 primary and Desantis in 2024.
That being said, I do think you're mostly correct that the red tribe would win a civil war, although it would be a lot uglier than you're counting on. I also think the actually competent groups on the left know this, so they won't try anything.
hydroacetylene
14hr ago
Almost certainly underrepresented; cholos were pretty much all born here. Theres thé occasional illegal psycho or serious criminal from the old country but the street trash which actually personally commits most of them crime grew up in American ghettos.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
But very few conscripts in general are going to frontline combat in modern militaries anyways.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
You call the billing department(call don't email, you need to speak to a person) and say you're not paying the bill they sent you. They will almost immediately begin negotiating the price, because the alternative to half a loaf is literally nothing.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
At my job, we write quotes by... giving a list of parts and the amount of time it'll take to install them to an admin, who tabulates the total cost. Healthcare's many problems do not include a shortage of admins.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
Indeed, HVAC works the same way- there's an NTE amount, you have $1k(or something) to find or fix the problem. If the labor and parts amount to more than that you submit a quote. If the quote is wrong you submit another one(and the customer is very irritated, but commercial HVAC techs Are Not Known For Their Customer Service anyways). Either way, customers have an approximation.
Now the human body is more complex than air conditioners but it seems like doctors could do the same thing?
hydroacetylene
1d ago
Don't they know they can just subcontract that part of the job out to an old farmer?
hydroacetylene
1d ago
Protip- I've found that clinics which advertise themselves as bilingual are usually happy to discuss pricing and give cash discounts.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
But women with eight children are solidly outgroup to the main body of the american elites; women having 5+ children is itself a threat to their position.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
the US in particular still manages the highest TFR in the developed world despite that sabotage
No it doesn't, Israel has the highest fertility in the developed world(or for that matter anywhere outside of Africa or Central Asia).
The baby boom was caused by a massive increase in male wages without a corresponding increase in female wages combined with conservative social norms. We're uh, not going to replicate that. Especially not on purpose. It wasn't just a generalized increase in prosperity, people just consume more when that happens. It specifically made marriage more attractive to both men and women and had the social norms to ensure marriage=babies.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
There are plenty of historical societies where girls could expect to be married to an established man in their teens. Those were age gap relationships but calling them 'ahistorical' is a stretch, they were very common. They're out of style now, I suspect because most women do not actually like double digit age gaps.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
Uh, aren't most early twenties women actually in cohabiting relationships- which our ancestors would readily recognize as concubinage? The difference between a wife and a frill wasn't the husband's economic prospects; it was social pressure on him to actually marry her, either from the Christian church or from her family's social status.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
Women have a very strong revealed preference for valuing motherhood above almost anything else, for the simple reason that women who have children overwhelmingly choose to do so again. I haven't seen much address of this point from your side of the debate, and there's lots of corroborating minor pieces of evidence- mothers overwhelmingly make large career sacrifices to prioritize motherhood, even when they could choose not to, for example.
You're also ignoring the reality of conscription specifically, which is that nobody wants to be there. It's entirely reasonable to say to the young women when the men are being drafted 'yeah, they don't want to be in the army, suck it up just like they have to'.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
I just want to point out that Israel has been in multiple existential wars while conscripting women. They're also either the only, or one of a low single digit number of, developed countries with an above replacement fertility, depending on how you count borderline cased like Georgia and Kazakhstan(and yes, Israeli fertility would still be not only above replacement but higher than the conservative muslim societies surrounding it if we excluded the groups that don't serve in the military).
Now gender roles are good, but that isn't the reason.
In most Anglosphere countries the barrier to fertility for couples is mostly ideological; women strongly prefer to bear in wedlock. They might not, but there's plenty of natural experiments(eg the fertility of military bases) showing that replacing cohabitation with marriage leads to babies.
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