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hydroacetylene


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 04 20:00:27 UTC

				

User ID: 128

hydroacetylene


				
				
				

				
9 followers   follows 1 user   joined 2022 September 04 20:00:27 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 128

I don't understand your reference.

Well yes, there shouldn't have been rhetoric about 100 million deportations. That's ethnic cleansing territory, not immigration crackdowns.

You need to bring in a helper for her.

There's also the nonzionism solution where CEO's have to declare their mistresses.

The obvious game theoretic move is that 'we realized Trump is now senile' to get president Vance to be merely unpopular rather than toxic for the '28 election, and at least stem the republican bleed downballot. Democrats made a calculation about running Harris instead of their incumbent so they didn't lose senate seats in Virginia.

I would imagine that regular prostitution customers are more promiscuous with non-prostitutes, not less- because men who would like to pay hundreds of dollars for sex with a new partner are, well, disproportionately likely to have multiple partners.

The Italians were not puritanical by the standards of their day; the actual-fascist Spaniards weren't either, but they were in coalition with Catholic theocrats who wound up taking over the state.

Actual fascism was not particularly puritanical, the Nazis outright encouraged women to get pregnant with random SS troopers out of wedlock.

Some primitive mammals have a cloaca, so I would assume so.

Yes. In America it is generally possible for bright high schoolers to take college and high school classes simultaneously- sometimes literally the same class. In Texas community college classes are free for high school students who meet academic qualifications, for example.

Texas gas prices were much much lower than the rest of the country(in October they were only about $3.50/gal, on the high side of average rather than notably above it), and white nationalism was unusually prominent here because of Bo French. We also saw 1.8 million voters who'd never voted before(Texas has low voter turnout), most of whom were Hispanics voting for democrats.

I agree that deportations and a strict border policy are not necessarily losing issues... but the largest immigration crackdown in history which the admin allowed staffers to claim was aiming for 100 million deportations is. Running on ethnic cleansing is unpopular with basically everyone, but for obvious reasons much more so with minorities.

The gangs were basically unorganized crime. MS-13 didn't suppress random street-level violence the way actual mafias do and did. They're just big gangs.

To be fair, it is very very common in the US for republicans to run on illegal immigration crackdowns and then send a strongly worded note requesting that jail wardens refer undocumented prisoners to ICE, before then calling it a day.

Illegal immigrants purchase commercial services from generally rather sketchy people to get around their legal disabilities. Yes, there are people who are an 'underground railroad' of a sort in providing regulated services to illegals, but they are not doing it out of charity.

The most beautiful women in the world are white, but it is true there are far more very ugly white women than ugly orientals.

Not a porn consumer but I suspect that most viewers are, uh, not paying attention to those parts.

Thomas Aquinas would agree with you.

Pick a philosophy that involves direct instruction and a peer group you can put up with for primary school and, if you are a motteizean, look at dual enrollment/hybridized/etc schooling for secondary.

The strictest gun control in the US is similar to the loosest regimes in Europe.

I take it the fire using hypothesis is less mainstream than I had assumed it to be.

Again, I am not a white nationalist. I care about the rights of social conservatives to continue to exist, a sane macroeconomic environment, and keeping the government out of my business personally. All of those would take more than a single democrat admin to destroy.

If my neighbors are all mestizos its fine.

Mainstream science says, optimistically, that intelligence arose at most twice- hominids and troodontids, with the latter being wiped out by K/T before being able to make much of an impact on anything and being doubtful anyways. A 1/100 million year event, roughly, once life reaches the conditions that can develop intelligence. Not entirely implausible that there's tons of worlds stuck at jurassic levels of development, or even below.

But non-Europeans invariably hate each other more than whites.

My ideal would be Abbott 2032, sacrificial lamb in '28. He's effective, smart, good at politics, and seems to actually care about second order effects. I do not care about demographics as long as me and mine aren't discriminated against- although I have an aesthetic attachment to phenotypical Europeans, we're not going extinct anytime soon and have stabler demographics than any other group.

But that's not going to happen. He lost, and he's in a wheelchair. As an all powerful veep he's plausible. As a powerful domestic policy role he's plausible. I guess it's Desantis.

Is the Fermi Paradox Debunked?

A new paper is out(https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.02404) concluding that the Drake equation is poorly designed and humans are most likely alone in the universe:

When we take account of realistic uncertainty, replacing point estimates by probability distributions that reflect current scientific understanding, we find no reason to be highly confident that the galaxy (or observable universe) contains other civilizations, and thus no longer find our observations in conflict with our prior probabilities. We found qualitatively similar results through two different methods: using the authors’ assessments of current scientific knowledge bearing on key parameters, and using the divergent estimates of these parameters in the astrobiology literature as a proxy for current scientific uncertainty.

When we update this prior in light of the Fermi observation, we find a substantial probability that we are alone in our galaxy, and perhaps even in our observable universe (53%–99.6% and 39%–85% respectively). ’Where are they?’ — probably extremely far away, and quite possibly beyond the cosmological horizon and forever unreachable.

TDLR the Drake equation is wrong by dramatically overrating the probability of other intelligent life. We are more likely to be alone than we thought, and my take on this has been for a while that if life was common we'd have experimentally demonstrated abiogenesis by now. But this in turn debunks the great filter arguments people(mainly liberals) make about all sorts of pet issues- the great filter is already behind us.