gattsuru
3hr ago
Fair, though it depends on there being a chance of a relatively-easy win at the Supreme Court. Zero isn't a probability, but this case's cert chances are about as close to zero as it gets.
gattsuru
3hr ago
(Morbid humor:
He's running for a +5R-+8R district, and his opponent (despite being literally named Poindexter) has some actual union bonafides, so there's a decent chance this sinks Miller, especially if the child abuse gets substantiated. Unfortunately, he didn't have a primary challenger. He could drop out until August 5th, but it's going to be a pretty hard battle to do it and I don't think he has the stones for it.
((Though there's very much a 'throw everything at the wall and see what sticks' here: Ohio's general voting population just doesn't care that much about an under-limit crash where no one was hurt but a lamppole, or about MDMA use. That might genuinely not have even have counted as driving under the influence under state law at the time of the crash.))
Hot off the Platner scandal, here comes Max Miller one upping him.
That is a fascinating choice of words where one party was credibly accused of multiple counts of rape, and it's not the "one up".
And the daughter for some reason seems to be scared of her father, so even if he didn't cause this particular injury it's not a great sign.
I'll caveat that they're in a very messy divorce and custody proceeding, and there's serious questions that one has (alleged misdiagnosed) BPD (and, tbf, I'd only be surprised for Miller in the sense that he doesn't seem likely to get diagnosed by consent). And the guy's a genuine putz and has been known to be one for a long time, ranging from fighting a glass window at a hookah bar to allegedly slapping Grisham. Which remains a good argument about him not getting reelected, but it makes the factual claims specific to each case a lot less strong than they look at first glance.
Likewise, it's very strange that his alleged expulsion didn't surface in the first election, and the claims are messy: both Mother Jones and the court filings jump between whether Miller "faced" expulsion or was actually expelled, and despite Mother Jone's attempt to frame the court transcript carefully, Miller did specifically deny (and offer to prove non-existence of) the expulsion to the New York Post. The stairs incident was brought up in 2021, but it's also almost twenty years after it allegedly happened now, released by someone who's name isn't on the record, and echoed by people talking as much about rumors or 'fits his character' than actually seeing whatever happened.
There's credible reasons no one can find proof - the former would only exist in records protected by federal law, the latter was allegedly a high-school party where no one was injured and the core of the allegation is just shoving someone at a wall - but it's still not very persuasive on its own.
The child abuse one and the water incident are the most impactful, but they're also the most dependent on facts not in evidence. The child's injuries were investigated and the allegations found "unsubstantiated", and the prosecutor's office that would have been involved doesn't exactly scream 'MAGA diehard'. The boiling water one fell in similar bounds, and was messy enough That Right-Wing Rag couldn't come out and call it clearly proven. The reddened skin is more than we have for Katie Portner, to be fair!
But if you are going to say "they" like crime, "they" have a strategy, etc., you need to talk about specific groups, not big nebulous groups like "the left." Unless you want to defend the proposition that literally everyone on "the left" likes criminals and dislikes people who arrest criminals.
Would you allow that? Because it doesn't seem hard.
There might be violent criminals that no one's going to accuse the Left of liking, such as the Olympic Park bomber (although.... There are definitely 'criminals' like Dexter Taylor that none of the institutional and anti-racist left cares about, no matter how grossly unreasonable their charges or sentence. The steelman is the same argument with asterisks and fancier words. If you want to be charitable to a fault you can give a paean to criminal justice reform and trying to fight recidivism in the dumbest way possible when anyone notices the constant and consistent low-ball numbers going left-ward, and when people notice the harsh punishments going one direction wave your hands about anti-racism and sentencing disparities.
But then I'll point to Matthew Dolloff again.
If I were to tell you there was a vehicular homicide attack this week, and that the murderer had a long history of past association with violent crime before this event but was left off with a slap on the wrist in the one case he was convicted over, what do you think the odds would be for political alignment? Because a 7B LLM can tell you, and that single fact distinguishes the case from the counterexamples someone like MKC's going to try and reach for. Hell, if I scratch out vehicular homicide, there was a mass shooting, too, and guess what?
Because there's a connecting thread, here, even as Tuscon Arizona and Germany are geographically and politically quite far from each other.
And the trivial disclaimer that would cover even the most self-aggrandizing defense progressives bring up doesn’t seem likely to actually solve your Reddit complaint.
The asterisks and handwaves are pretty naked. Yes, there's a tiny number of people who are leftist or liberal and Actually Committed To The Bit, and a larger number that pretend at it when it doesn't cost them anything. We have numbers, here: at most one-in-seven Democratic voters thought this wonderful array of comments weren't okay, and that's assuming that none of Jay Jone's many other scandals persuaded a single person. Is the requirement here sated if the OP had stuck "A strong majority of the progressive movement and almost all of its major advocates and leadership" in place of the first "They"?
Ten months ago, in response to the Kirk shooting, I gave you a list of varied bad actors ranging from federal Congress down to my own literal recreational social environments, predicting that none of them would be punished in the immediate aftermath. None of them were, and the only arguable examples in the following ten months was James getting suspended for other unrelated conduct, and TheSchism -- the 'we absolutely don't allow dehumanizing our political enemies place' -- have its eventual retrospective include "Kirk should not be dead. But I will not reflect on our shared humanity, nor will I mourn his passing." go unmoderated.
gattsuru
14hr ago
I'm sure she will. But the standard of review is pretty deferential, Minnesota is heavily slanted when it comes to the appeals bench, and Hendrix isn't going to get (or be able to get, or be able to distinguish) the sort of legal force necessary to show up as anything more than an example of an 'unsophisticated' defendant.
Which might cost her less than she makes in GiveSendGo funds? But that's a hilarious indictment of the entire legal system, and requires approximating tail end risks.
gattsuru
17hr ago
The Post Millenial has the jury instructions (... hosted by scribd, because fuck everything).
They are very much what a lawyer trying to cover the bases looks like, rather than a serious grappling with the First Amendment concerns... but that's probably enough to let the conviction hold, especially since the only review Hendrix gets is a universally DFW-aligned state bench (the only federal court that could hear her case is SCOTUS). In practice, she's going to be a moron for appealing anyway -- there's no way it costs her less than a thousand bucks or a couple hundred hours to actually bring the appeal, winning won't get her money back, and she's not going to win -- but that doesn't make the justice system look better.
gattsuru
2d ago
Oddly, she wasn't convicted for yelling at the kid, presumably because the fighting words doctrine would be especially inapt there.
gattsuru
2d ago
In addition to first-party updates and collabs, I'd hope for good modding support: the game could do a hell of a lot if it attracts some of the ARK and Minecraft modders. The infrastructure isn't there for it in the game yet, though.
gattsuru
2d ago
I like matcha, but I also like glass jelly and root beer, so some of this might just be a raw different tastes thing. That said, there are some fantastic options for boba; most shops will have mango tea and coconut jelly as an option, and so long as you get it low sugar it's very hard to dislike.
gattsuru
3d ago
What's the term for "This nonsentient tool that I asked to write a character summary and run a linter just installed python and a venv that I thought I'd blocked it from doing." Because that seems something different from error/loss, and it's something I hit with Pi-agent, a pretty minimal skill harness, and a 26B model.
gattsuru
4d ago
There was a bit of a bump in the Steam Hardware Survey, but it's held in the 3.5%-4% range, and there's no real breakdown of how and what demographics.
That said, Linus's "linux challenge" this year went from the normal joke where it seemed like he was intentionally trying to fuck things up, to a pretty serious effort where a handful of the people stuck with it at the end, and I have had actual students actually interested in trying it out.
gattsuru
5d ago
Botched several connections on v0.1 of the educational robot mainboard (thank you Chinese display board for having your FPC pins start with 1 on the right), but got enough to implement the inter-circuit comm UART, negotiation, and watchdog behavior. Next big push is trying to get over-wifi debugging running; it's theoretically plausible and realistically a nightmare with warnings like "don't use the second core of this processor defined by its multicore capability". Got some fixes in, and trying to figure out if I'm willing to deal with tuning my own NFC sub-board before I order v0.2.
Trying to throw together an agentic layout for editing, proof-reading, summarizing, pulling style notes from, and continuing a story. There's a lot of attempts, here, at varying levels of success, but the state of the ecosystems is just absolutely terrifying, and that's the '''good''' stuff rather than OpenClaw. Not just the obvious but hard problems like 'how do we set up permissions and access rules', though it's disappointing that the answer to that is near-universally 'docker' at best. I get the core idea of content-as-code, but holy shit people. Just because you want your LLM to be able to modify your template files doesn't mean they need to sit in the same directory as your output files!
gattsuru
6d ago
Fair. I'll admit I lost interest in the books pretty early, so probably munging some stuff.
gattsuru
6d ago
Early anime convention norms were weird: a lot of their institutional genealogy derived from watch parties and the movie equivalent of tailgating. Some of the awkward spots were people taking online mannerisms to reality, but there's also a lot of places where a norm developed organically in smaller and intimate settings, then melted when it went super-Dunbar.
I thought the show played the long-standing incest side up? Or did they only run the 'get caught and shoved kid out window' incident from her adulthood? At least in the books, it's pretty explicit that Jaime and Cersei screwed disturbingly early.
If so, fair, will focus the complaint on Daenerys
gattsuru
6d ago
Goblin Slayer's fair, but it's a little noncentral. Even stuff like Brand New Animal that screams furry and ended up with a small gooner-focused fandom (6k images on e621) is a lot cleaner as an actual work.
The sexposition in Game of Thrones was gratuitous (and kind of fun sometimes), but at least they were adults.
Cersei Lannister is 15 at the start of the series, and Daenerys Targaryen is 16 or 17. At least it's an improvement over the books: Daenerys is 13 there when she's 'married' to Drago, but still made the feminist crowing pretty awkward back when Season 1 first came out.
gattsuru
6d ago
Got her PhD in 1999, so my guess would be early-50s to mid-50s.
Some of the weirdness is an aspect of this form of academia having aimed for obscurist focuses, but I think her position is still pretty vapid underneath that.
gattsuru
6d ago
Yeah. You need a flat or mostly-flat edge a little wider than the rivet head; anything too curved will slip over the rivet, and anything sharp will dig into the surface of the plate instead. And they are much stronger, which matters more with decent quality knives than walmart-grade ones (440j isn't brittle, I'll give it that), but since you're using a knife like a chisel on metal, you want every bit of redundancy you can get.
While there's a few other cases the tantoized shapes make sense (uh, mostly leather or upholstery work?), for most cases I wouldn't recommend it.
gattsuru
6d ago
Sorry, typo. Removing rivets, generally from joined plates. If you ask a mechanic, the 'right' way to do it involves a properly matched good quality drill bit, but if you have a good knife or even a wood chisel (and don't mind permanently damaging the knife/chisel!) you can get almost all aluminum rivets out with just the heel of your palm, and some steel rivets out with a good hammer.
gattsuru
6d ago
Most "US" multitools are based around the gerber style, which usually ends up around a 2.5" 'primary' blade. You'll see Swiss Army keychain knives that closer to what you're thinking and are someone common (if considered very much a 'for kids' product, especially Scouting), but the last time I've seen one of the multi-tool-but-tiny versions was well before COVID.
They may be more common on the coasts; New Jersey and Massachusetts have much closer norms around >3 inch knives than the midwest or southwest does.
gattsuru
7d ago
I realize this is a common cultural difference even within the United States, but there's a lot of relevance, anywhere from opening packages to cutting zip ties to prying out heat-set inserts to breaking open containers to stripping cable to trimming plastic nubs.
My uses are a little more common than most people -- I carry the cheapest tantoized blade possible because I've had to derivit aluminum plate in the field enough that it's a parlor trick -- but still, I work in a field with soft hands.
I try not to carry to public events like a concert, but I'll admit I've had to throw mine away a couple times because I just forgot I had it on me and went to a venue that banned them.
gattsuru
7d ago
Ah. For Kimi K3 specifically, the weights haven't even been released yet, so it's basically just a (paid) preview mode. The mega-parameter models are also pretty much impossible to tune as an individual or small organization, and even the 200B-1T range is expensive. Model merges in this range mostly haven't worked, to the limited extent they worked cross-family to start with.
Most of the community ecosystems are focused more on the <50B range. Some of the lower visibility is just fragmentation, or the base models being good enough for a lot of purposes, or technical limitations (MoE models are much nicer to low-VRAM users, and also much harder to finetune), but there's just some awkward side effects of the highest-profile models being way outside of home enthusiast use. That said, Qwen3.6 got a massive amount of attention for that lower-range, and I'd expect any 3.8 <100B model gets similar focus.
And a lot of major providers have kinda settled on things as 'good enough'. NovelAI's highest-end model is a GLM-4.6 finetune at 355B param, which is great and all until you look at the release dates.
The movement toward tool use also makes things weird. There's no "here's an opencode project" sharing environment like there is Huggingface or CivitAI, for both obvious reasons (the LLMs can build it themselves... if you know enough to ask them the right questions) and technical ones (opencode has terrible project design and doesn't really distinguish templates from content as an intentional choice). But they do genuinely offer really strong ways to customize an LLM to your use case. So that's probably drawn a bit of the focus away from some of the finetunes.
Some of it's just reaction to the marketing talk: there's a lot of people who haven't run Kimi, or only have run it through OpenRouter, who treat it as Fable equivalent because the benchmarks were good, and a Fable version that can't 'go away' is politically meaningful for the broader open-source movement. Whether they'll actually use it is a separate question.
It does also somewhat reduce the maximum cope levels for anti-AI groups. There's a theory that the 'real' cost of frontier model inference is being subsidized by orders of magnitude, and having the weights makes the upper bound of actual inference costs limited.
A lot of the open model uses aren't something you'll hear about in public. The strongest arguments are for rolling your own inference server are those environments where you can't publish anything, after all. And even if they're only a few steps behind, a lot of 'success' from an open-model is natively less interesting than the 'original' accomplishment from a frontier one, simply because if someone using Kimi K3 to disprove the Jacobian Conjecture literally today it's could plausibly not be independently discovered. Lower-profile stuff like the ThinkingMachines Inkling model put this on the table, but Kimi is at least close to frontier capabilities in ways that Inkling just isn't.
I think the more interesting stuff is happening with the lighter-weight models, stuff in the 100B-250B parameter range. But there's more value than just the dollar/outcome metric.
gattsuru
7d ago
WINE specifically is in a bit of a 'Caesar's wife must be above reproach' situation: there's a lot of possible futures where Microsoft wants to crush them, they're absolutely critical for mainstream Linux success, and even if they're in the free-and-clear legally, they have to be able to believably tell users that they'll be clear-and-free legally.
There's definitely groups interested in trying to bring copyright lawsuits, including some that have settled, but they're mostly limited to the input side. Getting a hook in on the output side seems naively like it would be rougher, especially given the gimmicks that the authors of that paper have to put in, but something something Musk Cross The Delaware.
From your link: "Cuyahoga County’s DCFS investigation into possible child abuse was “unsubstantiated”—that is, there was not enough evidence to support a finding of neglect or abuse." Now, I'd consider the facts separately from police or administrative findings. But it's a bit odd a look for you.
What an odd thing to say.
One set of allegations is that he literally poured boiling water on her, from a pot on the stove. Another is that he sprayed her with water from a kitchen sink. One of these is a serious allegation of criminal assault, and any pretense that Miller would not have intended injury would be a cruel joke. The other is inadvisable horseplay. The Snopes link has direct images, as presented by Moreno, of the alleged injuries.
I'm not a doctor; it's a single click and five seconds to evaluate.
I don't think this meaningfully proves what you're trying to prove; it picks up the goalposts and sprints for the horizon.
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