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Culture War Roundup for the week of April 15, 2024

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Russia demonstrably can’t even make convoys happen efficiently.

The US military would wipe the floor with Russia, even before they burned up the bulk of their forces against a far weaker opponent than the US.

The Russian military underperformed expectations quite badly.

In contrast, the US military wiped the floor with the Iraqis twice. People forget that Saddam had, on paper, one of the best militaries in the world.

It’s easy to focus on the challenges of COIN and forget the massively successful campaigns in IQ and AF that proceeded the occupation phase.

By CNN metrics.

No, export models of Soviet and Western equipment armed with obsolete ammunition operated by Arabs whose average IQ is estimated to be 89. US army cutoff for recruitment back when there was a draft was 85. Anyone under that was just not worth having even in the rear echelon.

By CNN / newspaper chart metrics yes. By any actual metrics, no. It's a laughable claim.

Based on how the Russians have conducted themselves so badly against a weaker foe, I remain confused why you think they would fare well against the US, which wiped the floor with weaker foes.

Russian IQ ain’t helping them much. You can also look at how well they fought the Taliban back in the day compared to the US. We steamrolled them and barely took any casualties.

But RuSsiA HaS sO mUcH aRtiLleRy.

It wouldn’t last long from precision counterfire and air superiority. Those Iranian drones won’t do so hot either, based on the turkey shoot when used against Israel.

What’s laughable here is talking up the Russian military where they are literally in the midst of struggling mightily against a weaker opponent and saying they would do well in a 1v1 against the US, which has long had far better equipment, training, logistics, and intelligence than the Russians. And maintenance. Can’t forget that.

Like how badly would the Russians have to do in Ukraine before you would consider “ah yeah they were way overrated”?

Let's just ignore the reality of last years, that Ukraine is not winning but getting pushed back or that the US is unable to deal with an 80 IQ militia armed with a few Iranian missiles and assume it's 1991, it's always been 1991 and it's always going to be 1991.

And also let's pretend Ukraine is winning because you're giving them Stingers. Which you no can no longer make.

In a defensive war, Ukraine merely needs to not have lost already to demonstrate my point. They were and are outnumbered and outgunned, and yet the Russians’ initial campaign was a disaster and now any victory is going to come slowly and with high cost.

The US had no problem dealing with IQ militias in force-on-force engagements. It wasn’t a military problem, it was a police problem.

You’re clearly not interested in objectively considering military capabilities if you’re unwilling to acknowledge Russia has significantly underperformed against Ukraine, and are incapable of separating the US military being able to destroy a foe in a force-on-force engagement vs. trying to do COIN, which is extremely different.

The US military has performed very well whenever it has conducted force-on-force operations, in terms of both logistics and combat. We barely took a scratch. Russia cannot say the same, and has taken heavy losses among its best forces.

Before Ukraine, you could make a reasonable argument that Russia would do well against the US in combat. After what we’ve seen, that is a laughable assertion that flies in the face of all available evidence and it’s embarrassing that others have to point that out to you.

They weren't 'outnumbered'. Russian invaded with 150-170k troops.

Outgunned, maybe not even that.

and are incapable of separating the US military being able to destroy a foe in a force-on-force engagement

The US military has performed very well whenever it has conducted force-on-force operations, in terms of both logistics and combat. We barely took a scratch.

?? Last time US managed to win a war against a peer enemy was WW2. And that was mostly because of massive material superiority. So making assumptions based on WW2, now, is a joke.

Yes, I know US navy is still based on ideas learned in WW2. That in itself is a big joke.

I didn’t say against a peer.

Russia is, ostensibly, not fighting a peer either.

The fact that Ukraine and Russia are basically peers is my whole goddamn point actually.

Pretend the situation was reversed. Do you think the US would be struggling to win against Ukraine (assume Russian material support)?

I think not.

Also, if you’re trying to pretend Russia didn’t have a numerical advantage in the initial invasion then good lord. Ukraine’s standing army was like 200k, and it wasn’t necessarily all deployed where the Russian invasion started.

Think about how stupid it would be for the Russians to invade a foe they didn’t have outnumbered and outgunned where they were conducting operations. So you can choose: either the Russians are morons or they suck at fighting.