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Yes? And? So what?
This is a 'correlation is causation' argument. It provides not temporal relevance, since it does not address why the three months is relevant. If- as seems implied- the argument is that 3 months ago the US used a highly publicized, visible mine warfare excercise as the pretext for laying mines to sabotage the pipes, it doesn't imply why now. Why didn't these mines go off a month ago? Or two months ago? Or three months ago, and cite a training accident?
Nor does it explain why bother with a public training exercise as the pretext for mine laying. If the bombs are deliberatly placed- as they seem to be in their position just outside territorial waters- there's no need for a military ship of any sort. You place that sort of precision via scuba, so you just need an underwater GPS, a scuba team, and a boat big enough for the explosive.
If the argument is that the timing was delayed 3 months (again- why?) to provide deniability, why use a publicly announced training exercise in the area as the means to emplace?
Your other arguments via tweet are at least better soundclips that, without context, could easily support this context (though why a Polish twitter account of someone who is supposed to know of the event is immediately revealing the actor, you still haven't explained), but this 'three months ago the US was in proximity' is a really dumb argument. Everyone who sails through the Baltic Sea has been in proximity in the last three months, and had the opportunity to send small boats through the area.
Give the French some credit. Rainbow Warrior wasn't even 40 years ago.
The US didn't bother covering up the attack because it's blatantly, absurdly obvious who did it. The US has made very open, public threats about making these pipelines disappear.
The ex-Polish foreign and defence minister knows perfectly well what's going on. This is just like attacks on Iranian scientists or centrifuges. We know perfectly well it's Israel and/or America behind it.
If I had to guess, I'd say the bombs were planted so the US could have another card up its sleeve in case Russia or Germany did anything. They just mobilized, so the US is using more pressure. But I guess that's just correlation=causation too.
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Right. And by now, small unmanned subs – of the type even Ukraine or Russia could build without much assistance – can probably do that well enough. Those arguments cannot be relevant.
To be honest, it's amazing how nobody bombs infrastructure of this sort all the time. It's fragile, stationary, unfeasible to guard and very expensive/consequential, so the infamy alone is a massive prize. Proof of our common civility and rationality, I guess.
US set a new, very expensive precedent. Expect small drones flying into LNG liquefaction facilities, time bombs going off near pipelines, that kind of thing.
It's really not hard for a navy to drop a half-ton time bomb next to a pipeline.
You, uh, realize that drone attacks on gas infrastructure has been going on for years in the middle east, right?
Not in Europe though. Which is probably going to change, seeing as Russians are mad and in no mood to play.
Yawn? Sabotage and targeting energy infrastructure is old news in this war.
Russia's claimed energy infrastracture sabotage operations since they seized the Zaphorizhzhia nuclear power plant in early March (easy to find articles around 4 March), and it was barely two weeks ago that Russia outright bombed Ukrainian energy infrastructure after the Kharkiv offensive. The whole Nord Stream turbine shutdown pretext may not be sabotage in the normal concept, but it absolutely was by general definition of deliberately destroying, damaging, or obstructing something for political or military advantage, which definitely applies to the pretextual closures. Nord Stream 1 actually was actively used energy infrastructure.
This is less 'the Russians are mad and in no mood to play' and 'this precedent is long dead in this war, and Russia's been killing it for some time now.'
Yeah.
Warzone and not warzone, same thing!
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