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Transnational Thursday for January 18, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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The mantle has now passed to you to lead Transnational Thursdays

oh god oh fuck

Uh.. A good leader leads from the the rear delegates responsibilities, I'll let you have it back, for now.

This latest episode of Iran just kind of attacking all its neighbors is pretty uncharacteristic at least, and is hopefully just their way of showing they won't take terrorism lightly, not a continuous thing they're going to commit to. Iraq and Syria at least aren't going to retaliate militarily. I can think of one or two downsides to a war with Pakistan! Though hopefully this won't turn into that.

I do think the odds of a hot war on a larger scale are modest, if only because Pakistan does have nukes (and this is closer to posturing). I do wish they'd fire said nukes in a direction that wasn't mine, if they had to, but it does seem unlikely to me.