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Notes -
Just did some reading of actual studies. E.g. this meta-analysis from NCBI:
Why should I find this plausible, rather than making the standard "correlation is not causation" point? Surely people with issues sleeping are in general less healthy, physically and/or psychologically. I don't see anything in there to indicate they controlled for anything.
Some references also seem to do nothing more than ask if people took any sleep aid, lumping together everything from melatonin (presumably very safe, maybe placebo) to daily benzos (clearly neither very safe nor a placebo).
Edit: I am bad at reading (maybe it's the doxylamine). They did control for things. But my question re causation stands. I feel like TheMotte is usually very skeptical, and I find myself surprised by the strength of multiple posters' convictions here.
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