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Transnational Thursday for December 28, 2023

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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Lukashenko's rule in Belarus is a lot shakier than Putin's in Russia. I assume he is afraid of a mutiny if he asks Belarussian troops to fight in Ukraine. It is also worth noting that there was a fairly widespread campaign of railway sabotage against Russian movements through Belarus in the early stage of the war, presumably carried out by Belarussians sympathetic to Ukraine, which the regime did not seem able to prevent.