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Israel-Gaza Megathread #2

This is a refreshed megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.

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A Gazan hospital has been hit, allegedly by a missile, allegedly by an Israeli missile: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/least-500-victims-israeli-air-strike-hospital-gaza-health-ministry-2023-10-17/

Here is why this seems incredibly unlikely to me:

  • Israel gains nothing from this.
  • Israel loses a lot from this.
  • Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, etc. whatever amalgamation of actors here are opposing Israel have demonstrated that they are willing to strike their own people.
  • Hamas etc. gain a lot from this (politically).

It'll be awhile before we know with any certainty who bombed the hospital, if ever. But the reasons you listed are not very convincing that Israel did not do it. There's numerous potential points of failure in the kill-chain that could result in an own-goal for the Israelis. Israel had been lobbing thousands of explosives into buildings in Gaza for the entirety of last week, so it's a prime environment for those fuck-ups to occur. I think it's more likely that it was bombed by Israel, but also probably unintentional.