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Reaper Drones over Houston: A War in Mexico Would Mean War in America

open.substack.com

Take I wrote on increasing calls in Republican and bi-partisan spaces for a Military intervention into Mexico against the Cartels, and why this would inevitably lead to armed conflict within America itself, along with a possible death spiral of instability in the wider North American region.

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America would need 2-3 million to do that in Mexico, or twice the number of people in the entire military... so you'd need a draft

There's 400000 Mexican soldiers and national guardsmen the US could train, plus a few hundred thousand more from the police.

And, like the Afghan Army, the Mexicans know that when the US leaves, they’ll have to stay and deal with whatever system follows. This is why US full-invasion imperialism can never work, everybody knows that the Yankee will go home when the political winds in Washington change, leaving his local collaborators to the wolves.

Mexico is different to Afghanistan - it's right on America's border and as a result, America has a strong interest in it (it wouldn't even the the first time it's been invaded). Whereas there was no US interest in Afghanistan once OSB was gone, and indeed it was on the backburner less than two years after the invasion.