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Culture War Roundup for the week of August 21, 2023

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a footnote in bin Laden’s motives

Not so. Per your own link:

bin Laden: 'The expansion of Israel is one of the greatest crimes, and you are the leaders of its criminals'.

According to Michael Scheuer, who directed the CIA's intelligence unit on al Qaeda and its founder, the young bin Laden was for the most part gentle and well behaved, but "an exception to Osama's well-mannered, nonconfrontational demeanor was his support for the Palestinians and negative attitude towards the United States and Israel."

According to Benjamin and Simon, the "most prominent grievance" in bin Laden's 1996 fatwa (titled "Declaration of War Against the Americans Occupying the Land of the Two Holy Places") is "bin Laden's hallmark: the 'Zionist-Crusader alliance.'" Bin Laden refers explicitly to Muslim blood being spilled "in Palestine and Iraq" and blames it all on the "American-Israeli conspiracy."

The other guy who bombed the World Trade Center back in 1993, Ramzi Yousef, was primarily motivated by hatred of Israel and sought to bomb American targets to bring about change. Key Islamist leaders like Sayyid Fadlallah or Sayyid Qutb hated America for its support of Israel.

As for Iran, while the US has non-Israel related incentives to prevent Iran dominating the region, Israel makes things much harder harder. Israel has constantly been pushing for the US to invade Iran, constantly trying to prevent a diplomatic solution. Even in the 1990s, the Israelis lobbied for the US to adopt dual containment of Iraq and Iran, bringing in a large number of troops to contain Kuwait and Saudi Arabia (thus creating another of bin Laden's agreements). AIPAC has undermined US relations with Iran, mobilized to strengthen anti-Iran sanctions. For example, when Iran chose an American oil company, Conoco, to develop the Sirri oil fields as an overture, Clinton killed the deal. Clinton later said that Edgar Bronfman, former head of the World Jewish Congress was one of the deal's most effective opponents. AIPAC was also involved. There are many such examples.

If Israel didn't exist, there would probably have been US-Iranian rapprochement.