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Notes -
How about neither?
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=179Pg
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=179Pi
As far as major economic trends, nothing seems to have even changed when Trump was elected. These graphs show % change from 1 year prior, but they're easy to modify to show raw level or whatever else. I guess he was "lucky" in the sense of being elected after the recovery was well under way but even that seems like a stretch.
Data proves me point he got the economy just a tad hotter than it ran before. We are talking fraction of percents more.
I don't see that in these data; any change is likely noise. And even if there were such a change at approximately the correct time, you can't just read causality off of a timeseries graph.
edit: If anything, the decline in unemployment slows slightly after 2016, though this jut because it's approaching the lower bound at that point.
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