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I'd say depends on the rules and how fit Musk is. Zuckerberg is younger, but Musk is significantly taller and probably bigger. Can be an advantage.
Unless Musk turns out to have dynamite hands for an amateur it'll probably come down to gas tank.
As long as Zuck doesnt get stuck under Elon he can try to keep his distance and wear him down. I doubt Elon is any good at cutting the ring/octagon.
TBH grappling and leveraging superior size can be absolutely tiring.
Given he hasn't fought before (AFAIK) the chances of him gassing without submitting the younger,fitter man are huge.
Zuck takes the decision or TKO by way of exhaustion.
Makes sense. I don't think Elon can knock a person out in minutes, and from my own experience, people without sparring training severely underestimate how fast you can gas out. Before I started training myself, when I was young and stupid, I was always kinda wondering why boxing rounds are so short - these people seem to be pretty fit, can't they do it longer? Now that I understand better I no longer wonder. That's why I said it depends on how fit Musk is - if he's secretly been keeping peak form, he may have a chance. If not - he's going down.
If he does the minimum research required, he could train up a lot of gas.
It doesn't take years to do so.
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