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Notes -
To be fair, voting Republican because of immigration didn't work under Reagan, or Bush, or even Trump.
If people consistently voted the same way and by large margins, it would enact a shift. I don't think Reagan was particularly anti-immigration when campaigning. Trump didn't win by that large a margin and didn't have the biggest mandate. If the anti-immigration conservatives were selected in primaries and then those conservatives overwhelmingly won seats in the general election, I think you'd see a very sharp decline in immigration very fast.
The two party system does have limitations, but both sides want to win generally. If people actually hated immigration but reluctantly voted Democrat to get stuff like welfare, Democrats could shift to be anti-immigration while keeping their other policies the same and sweep the elections.
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