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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 13, 2023

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The problem is that even if you can generate all these things, you can also use GPT-4 (and equivalent) to detect even veiled, even sneaky, even crudely disguised dissident speech more competently than ever before. That 140 IQ verbal estimate on the bar exam suggests it's much better than any rote internet jannie at detecting intent behind posters with, uh, poor intentions.

I don't think this is the case, but that's because sneaky and even crudely disguised dissident speech is actually so similar to official, allowed speech that I don't think the simplistic kinds of modelling/guardrails used for GPT chat will be able to tell the difference. The Daily Stormer frequently puts out headlines which wouldn't be out of place in The Forward, and there's so little consistency in non-problematic goodthink that preventing false possibles will be impossible. How, exactly, is the AI going to tell the difference between a comment from a brave trans witch talking about how all rich white men need to die and an antisemitic screed talking about how we need to kill all the bankers/grabblers? To a large degree the difference between problematic speech and wholesome regime-defender speech depends on the identity of the speaker, and the moment you make that explicit the game is up and the notion that we aren't just dealing with tribalistic conflict-theorists evaporates into thin air.

I assumed that in this case we're dealing with sneaky, disguised dissident speech, which means that it would be coming from people who are not a-priori assumed to be shitlords. When the system has access to all the data you're describing then you don't actually need the AI - you just round up all the people who go to LightningSpeedEnthusiast.com or read the DailyThunderbolt, and then all the people who start having increases in anxiety after the first purge. If you've already got access to those capabilities, then you don't need the AI. If you don't, then the AI is going to have big problems. That's not to say it won't be tried or attempted, I can already see a project like this being a hilariously embarrassing boondoggle.