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Did you read the Substack post? He makes a similar argument but proposes a different methodology to account for this. But he was using the data in the original Tweets which contained an arbitrary set of cities and used varying "to this point in 2020" datasets that varied based on the available data. I ran his methodology with a complete dataset, and the results came to the opposite conclusion. If he were simply trying to prove that the Twitter guys were spouting crap then there's no disagreement there, but the article comes to the conclusion that increases were higher in Democratic-run cities, which his methodology doesn't support if you look at a complete dataset.
No didn’t read it. Will read it now. I’m agnostic on the question (my guess is crime increases are generally not directly related to policy but a host of things including policy). Just saw discussions of rate and was thinking that may be inaccurate due to different sized populations.
I generally don’t like reading blog posts by someone posting “come read my blog”.
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