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To put on the tinfoil hat, what makes you think that the people in Washington are unaware of China's current trajectory? Beijing protested that the balloon shot down over SC was not a spy balloon but a weather balloon. I am surprised that seemingly nobody has put forth any conspiracy theories about the incident being used to drum up support for a war with China/action over Taiwan. The most I've seen is "the balloon is to distract everyone from the chemical disaster in Ohio."

I suppose nobody's thinking the above because, ironically, China's pseudo-revanchism and the predictable reactions it has to being challenged, combined with its current rise, make it easier to believe that they really did send a spy balloon and that they're trying something, as usual. Never mind that Xi should know that poking the American bear, even with the background noise of Ukraine to supposedly distract it, will probably end the Chinese Century before it even really begins.

Maybe “ending the Chinese century before it even begins” is why the US shot down a weather ballon. 🤷‍♂️