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naraburns  nihil supernum  1yr ago (text post)   3305 thread views

Friday Fun Thread for February 3, 2023

Be advised: this thread is not for serious in-depth discussion of weighty topics (we have a link for that), this thread is not for anything Culture War related. This thread is for Fun. You got jokes? Share 'em. You got silly questions? Ask 'em.

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Sure, I more meant that it's not generalizable.

I think most of the directional correlations would probably be generalizable. Like if you see from the survey, men in Aella's demographic are more likely to enjoy visual porn than the women in Aella's demographic, you can infer men in general are more likely to enjoy visual porn than women in general. Even if it tells you nothing about the actual specific rates men in general enjoy visual porn. Or are there any correlations listed that you think would be reversed if we redid this survey but asked everyone instead of just Aella's followers?

Or are there any correlations listed that you think would be reversed if we redid this survey but asked everyone instead of just Aella's followers?

I think most of these are likely to generalize, but enough won't that it's useless to attempt to learn anything from the survey. I don't know these sorts of statistics off the top of my head, so I'd have a hard time pointing to particular results, but if you put a gun to my head then I'd focus on answers particularly likely to be related to Aella's userbase or to the nature of surveys. So here are a few that I think won't generalize:

  1. The world would be better without Christianity (women are much more religious than men)

  2. If I could live anywhere in the world without paying more... I would move (I expect men would move at greater rates)

Basically everything about socially conservative people, because I think socially conservative people who follow Aella are particularly weird and unlikely to match the broader population.

I don't really care to make predictions about the sex stuff save to say that I think the data is wrong enough to not be worth learning from.

I want to reiterate that these are totally unprincipled, and I'm basically pointing at some of the survey responses which conflict most with my intuition. In other words the survey just hasn't shifted my priors one bit.

Fair enough. To me the survey is mostly just something of mild interest, not something that I'm building world views around. And I think it could be useful as a jumping point for more rigorous study. Like you notice that "The world would be better without Christianity" demographics isn't a result you would expect, so you go do a better more unbiased survey to see if it is the truth or just a result of Aella's sampling bias.

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