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naraburns  nihil supernum  1yr ago (text post)   32405 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of January 23, 2023

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The 13/53 figure is for murder not crime in general. Which is something the rest of your post should be taking into account. For instance there aren't a lot of murderers being let out of prison to commit murder again 4 more times, though I suppose you could have an altered but similar hypothesis like "failing to sufficiently catch and punish black criminals before they commit murder" or black career criminals being more severe in that they escalate to violence more often.

Are you claiming 13/53 is not representative of non-murder crimes? Or are you merely claiming the data isn't easily available?

In any case, criticizing the lack of data in a comment that explicitly acknowledged incomplete data and asked where to find better data is a little silly. It's adding nothing.

Also murder being the single most reliable stat for tracking crime rates since it's close to (definitely not entirely) impossible to cover up or mistake for something else. It doesn't get under OR over-reported as much as other crimes might, and as you mentioned, it's usually not the case that one person commits a dozen murders over the course of months or years.

Mostly agree, but few nitpicks.

Some African countries report very low homicide. On another hand, more functional ones (South Africa and Botswana) report very high ones. Chechnya seemingly reports a lot of killed as 'missing'.

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