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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 16, 2023

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I think that the AGI is far less probable than genetic engineering, even fairly advanced genetic engineering. Of course, both might happen, but genetic engineering will happen hella sooner.

Oh man, I'd love to bet against you on this, assuming you aren't just talking about polygenic embryo selection which already exists. AGI is almost here, probably less than a decade to go; I'd even give >50% odds of <5 years. Even if we had comprehensive genetic engineering available tomorrow, it'll take at least 15-20 years before it could start to affect the fabric of society.

(I'm not actually going to bet for various logistical reasons, but I'd love to.)

But I appreciate and agree with your concern about the prospect of personality adjustment conditioned on the availability of genetic engineering technology.