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I am familiar with the SCUD hunt. I also know what SENTIENT is. Are you familiar with Soviet attempts to find carrier battle groups?
To establish air supremacy or superiority, yes. Obviously it did not take the Ukrainians weeks to penetrate the Russian air-defense grid once they got the right capabilities, nor would it take the US weeks to penetrate it if they wanted to.
I do not necessarily think stealth aircraft are the best assets the US has against mobile ballistic missile launchers. Nevertheless we've learned that modern air defense systems do not render even non-stealthy aircraft incapable.
Now frankly I think it would likely be stupid to waste munitions on something the size of a ballistic missile launcher that might move at any moment. (And my understanding is that US doctrine was actually to avoid striking Chinese launchers anyway.) But my point is that the US having the theoretical capability does not make the missile useless! I agree with you that there are countermeasures against targeting mobile ballistic missile launchers! It's hard to do!
And the US has ways of operating despite dazzlers - stealth satellites, [likely] high-altitude hypersonic recon/(strike?) aircraft, maneuvering spacecraft, non-optical recon satellites, some dude with a quadcopter, SIGINT, etc.
Moving the launchers around constantly is unlikely (although moving them consistently is). (And, for the record, at least some modern cruise missiles are capable of hitting moving targets, although I agree with you that the moving complicates matters.) But as I said above, I think it would be a dumb use of munitions. Which, again, goes to my point: having the theoretical ability to destroy something does not mean that such a course is easy, or even a good idea.
Really, everything you've said about hunting missile launchers is also true of hunting carriers, although carriers are much larger and more valuable targets, making them much more reasonable to target than a single ballistic missile launcher.
I'm familiar China has a satellite constellation for the same and rocket propelled hypersonic drones. And also recently tested a pulse detonation engine for really high speeds.
I don't think is a problem for them. You can't intercept mach 5 drones 35 km up that evade at 15 G.. you simply don't have the dV for it.
China is a panopticon state with a nationalist population.
They only need to deter the carrier groups long enough to secure Taiwan.
Yeah, the Russians also had a satellite constellation. By your telling carriers have been obsolete for 50 years. (Not necessarily implausible but...I doubt it).
I don't think this is true at all, THAAD and the SM-3 are both much faster than Mach 5 and should have the dV. I do think their fast drone is one of the better backup solutions for sea control, but the Russians had plenty of MPA aircraft too, and they had trouble finding US carriers even in peacetime when their patrol aircraft weren't at risk of getting shot down.
But if it is true that hypersonic vehicles can't be intercepted, that's...not necessarily good for China.
I am not really sure that carrier groups are needed to defend Taiwan at all.
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