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Culture War Roundup for the week of February 24, 2025

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His childish behavior (inappropriate attire, attempting to alter the deal in front of the press, insolence to a nation responsible for his nation still existing) put the deal at risk, and seems to indicate that his country’s well-being no longer holds paramount sway in Zelensky.

I guess not everyone is the kind of respectable elder statesman that Trump is.

It has been said that the west will defend Ukraine to the last Ukrainian soldier, and there is some truth in that. For NATO, Ukraine is a great geostrategic investment. We pay peanuts (compared to the NATO military budget) to weaken the primary opponent of NATO and get someone else to do all the dying for us. As a bonus, the country we support is much more sympathetic than the mujaheddin were back in the old days and seem much less likely to disrupt the NYC real estate market.

Obviously, Ukraine is going to take NATO aid as long as they want to resist Putin. But expecting them to be more grateful to NATO than the mujaheddin were would be unrealistic.

Now enter Trump. This dude starts "peace talks" with Russia, immediately makes big concessions to Putin while calling Zelensky a dictator. Then he invites him to the White House and expects him to grovel. Even if Zelensky did everything Trump wanted, signed the deal, wore whatever Trump felt was appropriate, rolled over on command and so on, Trump will not be satisfied and keep the military aid flowing. In the end, he expects Ukraine to accept some peace deal he is negotiating with Putin.

When you are fighting a war, national pride (however much I might detest the concept) is an asset. Zelensky getting humiliated by Trump would definitely affect the fighting spirit of Ukrainians, and is likely not worth the few extra bombs Trump might deliver before cutting their flow to force Ukraine to accept a deal he has made with his best buddy Putin.

Swallowing your pride to keep US intelligence assets feeding you information and some level of payment for your entire civilian infrastructure doesn't seem that bad a deal.

Everyone forgets that this mineral deal was Zelensky's idea. So on some level he was okay with it.

But it looks like he thought he could get security guarantees out of it, and when Trump told him no, he forced the issue despite having no leverage. Or simply misspoke his way into a diplomatic insult. (Seriously, who tells any head of state "you will soon feel [consequences]" to their face in front of the whole world and expects to get away with it?)

Either way, Ukraine is barely holding on as it is despite the immense bravery and sacrifice of its soldiery, if the US cuts support, even if the EU doesn't, it's over.