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Culture War Roundup for the week of February 24, 2025

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This piece has some interesting and well-written and well thought out passages, but I can't help thinking the conclusion is just too extreme. Trump and his political equals or coalition members obviously represent reactionary push backs against a lot of the left-wing political and social overreach, but claiming that it's an end of the open society, liberal personal focus, global interconnectedness, forbidding to forbid, when that Trump coalition embodies a lot of them just to a slightly lesser degree than the most progressive 'liberal' forces in society reminds me of how any curtailing of Christian social pre-eminence is met with cries that they're banning religion in society, when opponents on the other side would claim that they're just slightly removing some of their domination.

Obviously it's possible that this only began 5-10 years ago and the author is exactly right, and that Trump not embodying every single idea of where we're ending up doesn't prove we aren't in that direction - and credit to the author for trying to write some history in the middle of it happening (a difficult thing to get correctly) but I remain skeptical for the above reasons.

Yeah, the track record of these types of works is bad. Prediction is hard, and authors who would write grand explanations of human history are almost always recency biased. Relevant examples include "The End of History" and "The Population Bomb" but you could pick pretty much any book in this category and it's the same.

That's not that these authors are uniquely wrong, only they don't have any explanatory power. They reflect the biases and thoughts of our current time, and will inevitably look silly in 10 or 20 years.