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naraburns  nihil supernum  2yr ago (text post)   Edited 2yr ago   19147 thread views

USA Election Day 2022 Megathread

Tuesday November 8, 2022 is Election Day in the United States of America. In addition to Congressional "midterms" at the federal level, many state governors and other more local offices are up for grabs. Given how things shook out over Election Day 2020, things could get a little crazy.

...or, perhaps, not! But here's the Megathread for if they do. Talk about your local concerns, your national predictions, your suspicions re: election fraud and interference, how you plan to vote, anything election related is welcome here. Culture War thread rules apply, with the addition of Small-Scale Questions and election-related "Bare Links" allowed in this thread only (unfortunately, there will not be a subthread repository due to current technical limitations).

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So I don’t know if it is right, but it seems like in the national house overall the republicans are up 6% (not sure if the abc data I looked at awhile ago was updated properly). That is actually pretty good.

Is the conventional wisdom wrong? Perhaps the republicans managed to lose a lot of very tight races which made the overall margin look unimpressive even if the Dems lost pretty heavily?

The margin will shrink as California fills in more but does seem like republicans will still have a sizable lead.

I think most people are comparing this change to the change in other past mid term elections and compared with those it looks pretty small.

Agreed. The outcome was small. But if you had asked the Republicans pre election +6 nationally, they would’ve assumed a red wave. It’s interesting despite crushing overall the wave didn’t occur.

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