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To reply to a couple of other points, the bargaining chips they gave away are (1) saying ahead of the negotiations that Ukraine will have to make territorial concessions, and (2) saying ahead of the negotiations that NATO membership is off the table. These things may not be achievable but it seems malevolent for the US to say so unilaterally before the negotiations.
And whether Vance's speech was at the level of 1956 ... I admit I don't know the story there. And what I do know as a matter of fact is that Europeans are interpreting what's coming out of the US as seismic shift in US policy. Assuming they don't wind this back, it is shaping up to be a realignment on a scale much bigger (and frankly scarier) than anything in my lifetime, though I guess I wouldn't know about 70 years ago.
Maybe, but on the other hand it might have been necessary to get Russia to even come to the table, I'm not certain. Particularly on the second point it might not be in perceived US interests to attempt to give Ukraine NATO membership.
This seems plausible, but it seems to me that if they were caught completely flat-footed by this it was because of willful ignorance.
Good. The United States cannot fight Russia and China at the same time alone. European NATO should have the resources to deter Russia single-handedly or with limited support from the US at most, the US should not need to hold its hand every step of the way (this is entirely consistent with the US being an enthusiastic NATO partner and assisting with deterring Russia, by the by).
As far as Vance criticizing Europe for suppressing political parties, free speech, and immigration, I think on balance he is correct on the merits, at least directionally. Now, with that being said, I am not European, so I do hesitate to tell other nations what to do. But this is part of my reflexive American isolationism and if you like the part of my reflexive American isolationism where I say "you know what, Europe can do what they want with their own internal politics" you won't like the part where I say "you know what, Europe can do what they want with their own external politics."
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