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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 27, 2025

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Well said. Especially this part:

I still took roughly a 100k pay cut to come to my current job. Largely, it was because of stress and hours worked, and because my wife, who works here, liked it so much, although with the commute (I had to come in 5 days a week prior to the EO but worked from home in my private industry job), it ends up being a long day anyway. The first time I was a federal employee, I was a theoretical physicist at a DoD lab--unlike DoE national labs, where the employees are contractors, DoD lab employees are federal employees--but I made a lot less money than I do now… The general sense I get when I talk to people at other agencies about the "buyout" is that there's a lack of belief in it's legitimacy. If you reply "resign" to an email, is there any gaurantee that they have to pay you for the full 8 months? Can they fire you or lay you off in that time? Can they require you to come into work?

As someone in a similar situation (former private sector, now federal employee who received this email) I made the change and accepted a pay cut because of the better working accommodations. If the Trump administration wants federal employees to work like private sector workers, will they be paid like private sector workers?

The ‘resign’ email is poorly worded and leaves a lot of open questions, like you said. Where will the money come from? Does it require Congressional appropriations? Which agency will pay it? Like you noted, will employees who accept the offer be expected to work through September 30, or will they be placed on admin leave immediately?

This idea has Elon’s DOGE written all over it. It’s a bold move, using the OPM to communicate directly to all federal employees and circumvent their various agencies, but seems easy to be challenged in court.

If the Trump administration wants federal employees to work like private sector workers, will they be paid like private sector workers?

The average federal government worker does NOT want that. The experience of a theoretical physicist is not at all like that of a typical federal worker who would likely take a massive pay cut or be unhirable in a private context.

In any case, if you are the GM of a baseball team, you don't get a better team by paying your existing players more.

You get a better team by signing new players at high salaries, and dumping the old ones.

Aside from the benefits, one of the attractions of government work was always that it was usually a job for life. Obviously you can still be fired for cause, but there was no concern that you'd be caught up in a corporate downsizing or let go because a manager gives you a bad performance review. The actual buyout or deferred resignation plan or whatever you want to call it was a nothingburger; the concerning part of the letter that no one is talking about is the part at the end where it says:

If you choose to remain in your current position, we thank you for your renewed focus on serving the American people to the best of your abilities and look forward to working together as part of an improved federal workforce. At this time, we cannot give you full assurance regarding the certainty of your position or agency but should your position be eliminated you will be treated with dignity and will be afforded the protections in place for such positions.

The White House is trying to claim that the offer is nothing more than an opportunity for employees who don't want to go back to the office to resign and be given an 8 month exemption they can use to find new work. In light of that paragraph, however, it looks more like he's trying to give people the opportunity to get out now before he starts eliminating positions. There was already some indication that anyone who accepted the offer would be placed on paid administrative leave, so they wouldn't be getting any work out of them during the 8 months, though the letter didn't actually say this, so anyone resigning has to assume they would still have to work.

The upshot is that Federal employment no longer has the perceived stability that it once did. Forget side benefits like WFH, at least in the private sector mass layoffs only happen at occasional, unforeseen intervals when market conditions change. If the Federal government has the same firing power as the private sector, every job essentially becomes a four year contract position, subject to renewal at the whim of whatever administration takes power. As someone who has worked his fair share of contract positions, I can assure you they don't come cheap.

I can assure you they don't come cheap.

In the paradigm most of us have become accustomed to, this is true. It appears that we're entering a new reality, where AI is likely to make obsolete millions (if not hundreds of millions) of jobs globally. For all the handwringing about bullshit jobs, a great number of people may soon find they preferred having to act busy versus having nothing to do at all.