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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 17, 2022

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The way to test this is to go around saying, "90% of confidence plus or minus blah blah blah"

If normies intuitively understand significant figures and uncertainty, the blah blah amount will influence their reaction.

If normies are disgusted by numbers and wanna-be-economists, then the uncertainty wouldn't ever matter.

90% of confidence plus or minus blah blah blah

Unless you are using some transparent methodology to calculate the confidence interval, this is even worse than just saying 90% because you are now claiming to know both your priors and the uncertainty of your priors with high levels of precision.

The normie can, and probably will, also doubt how accurately your confidence interval is calculated.

(And that assumes a normie who understands the term. Intuitively understanding X is not the same as understanding all the terms used to describe X.)